Natural-Cart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

243

Trades

470

lifetime

Volume

$867

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 07-16 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 69% -$17

Other

9% 64% -$5

Sports

3% 67% +$2

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$18	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:05 UTC	4	$17	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	06-23 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$14	25	25	+0	Up	-$2	05-23 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	5	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	06-16 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-23 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$11	12	2	+10	Down	$0	05-23 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	06-20 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	06-16 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:55 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	06-23 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$1	05-22 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$9	103	103	+0	Down	+$3	05-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$9	11	0	+11	Up	-$9	05-23 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:40 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	06-17 05:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:10 UTC	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	$0	06-15 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$8	25	20	+5	Up	+$1	05-23 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$8	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 22:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$7	8	3	+5	Up	+$1	05-22 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:40 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$7	107	7	+100	Down	-$1	05-23 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	05-23 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$1	05-23 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 08:56:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xd0a95d…
06-23 14:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x638003…
06-23 14:31:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7e4ccd…
06-23 05:14:58	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x579d52…
06-23 05:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae95ec…
06-23 05:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbd7d9d…
06-23 05:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x50d515…
06-23 05:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xa7a180…
06-23 05:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x117fce…
06-23 05:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x54b994…
06-23 05:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x849f63…
06-23 04:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1b07a9…
06-23 04:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6da1e2…
06-23 04:48:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xacf13a…
06-23 04:48:17	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x15152f…
06-20 14:54:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x4ba9a0…
06-20 14:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xef06c1…
06-20 14:49:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff1f78…
06-20 14:35:35	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x5db9d8…
06-20 14:34:14	wta sonmez vandewi 2026 06 20	Zeynep Sonmez	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3318a1…
06-20 14:33:40	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	FURIA	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa758c6…
06-20 13:09:14	wta sonmez vandewi 2026 06 20	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc890df…
06-20 13:06:34	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xbf70f7…
06-20 13:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x29f2b8…
06-20 13:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x26f5ee…
06-20 12:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x2230d4…
06-20 12:56:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51ced6…
06-20 12:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd16313…
06-20 12:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x10aca4…
06-20 12:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe44fea…
06-20 12:48:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x5facf7…
06-20 12:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x40a293…
06-20 12:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x378aaf…
06-20 12:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x80ba7c…
06-20 12:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb50afe…
06-20 12:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x485e2e…
06-18 06:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x82104c…
06-18 06:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2904ef…
06-18 06:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c9322…
06-17 15:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x54d9e0…
06-17 15:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb775a1…
06-17 15:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd72df0…
06-17 15:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x28163b…
06-17 15:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x391299…
06-17 15:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x19f3b2…
06-17 15:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xdd6573…
06-17 15:17:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8330e5…
06-17 15:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4b0cf4…
06-17 15:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8d265c…
06-17 12:14:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6b73cb…
06-17 11:56:26	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfccf63…
06-17 11:50:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe2ad42…
06-17 11:48:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xad9745…
06-17 05:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x271e4e…
06-17 05:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3120ee…
06-17 05:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x24404d…
06-17 05:33:32	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7fa0eb…
06-17 05:33:25	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x40cb76…
06-17 05:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0e6ffd…
06-17 05:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x96d2b7…
06-17 05:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea83ce…
06-17 05:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc3538a…
06-17 05:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbb82f1…
06-17 05:11:37	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9c4bfa…
06-16 10:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe5d910…
06-16 10:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x294fd0…
06-16 10:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0610d1…
06-16 10:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x2b28eb…
06-16 10:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x239a15…
06-16 10:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x825ffd…
06-16 10:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6280a0…
06-16 10:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x1ad63c…
06-16 10:42:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9a43ac…
06-16 10:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x41e034…
06-16 10:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6bb7dc…
06-16 07:51:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2d0faa…
06-16 07:48:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbace30…
06-16 07:47:03	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcc17a2…
06-16 07:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x3e32eb…
06-16 07:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd4a2b2…
06-16 07:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfaa56c…
06-16 07:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x20e53d…
06-16 07:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xf29221…
06-16 07:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x376161…
06-16 07:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa2fc96…
06-16 07:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x147cc6…
06-16 07:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x30fb27…
06-16 07:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0d0be6…
06-15 17:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6a6cd6…
06-15 17:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x992e00…
06-15 17:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xf685b1…
06-15 17:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x96392e…
06-15 17:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xfa9b74…
06-15 17:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2622ca…
06-15 17:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xe2953e…
06-15 17:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x03ae67…
06-15 17:05:09	cs2 navi g2 2026 06 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa44dba…
06-15 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x088080…
06-15 16:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6be4e4…
06-15 16:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2439ec…