Scared-Intent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,774

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-05 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 51% $-22

Other

30% 0% $-2

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 508 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$298	67	267	-200	open	—	05-31 10:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 76 77f	10	$211	109	109	+0	open	—	04-17 20:23
sol updown 5m 1772131200	22	$152	113	90	+23	open	—	02-26 18:44
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 17 2026 17c	14	$140	72	72	+0	open	—	04-17 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	40	$133	204	0	+204	open	—	05-26 15:09
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 70 71f	15	$119	115	112	+3	open	—	04-19 20:01
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 40corbelow	7	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-19 09:14
eth updown 5m 1772131500	16	$110	110	108	+2	open	—	02-26 18:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 52 53f	4	$105	85	23	+62	open	—	04-18 22:05
btc updown 5m 1775735400	2	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 11:54
eth updown 5m 1775572200	3	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-07 14:34
sol updown 5m 1775756700	5	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 17:50
sol updown 5m 1775634000	3	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-08 07:45
btc updown 5m 1775635500	4	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-08 08:10
btc updown 5m 1775740800	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 13:25
eth updown 5m 1775766000	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 20:24
eth updown 5m 1775571300	9	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-07 14:20
btc updown 5m 1775813700	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-10 09:40
sol updown 5m 1775740500	4	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 13:20
btc updown 5m 1775571300	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-07 14:20
sol updown 5m 1775738700	2	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 12:50
sol updown 5m 1775724600	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 08:54
eth updown 5m 1775764200	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 19:54
sol updown 5m 1775764200	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 19:54
sol updown 5m 1775577000	3	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-07 15:55
btc updown 5m 1775811000	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-10 08:55
btc updown 5m 1775637300	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-08 08:39
eth updown 5m 1775767800	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 20:54
eth updown 5m 1775732700	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-09 11:10
btc updown 5m 1775814300	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-10 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:55:13	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x939480…
06-05 13:55:06	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x62b262…
06-05 13:45:12	btc updown 5m 1780667100	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa1418a…
06-05 13:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780667100	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe01e5f…
06-05 13:44:33	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x0bd725…
06-05 13:44:24	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x5ffa1e…
06-05 13:44:10	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa602ba…
06-05 13:43:55	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8caf1f…
06-05 13:40:57	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xecad0f…
06-05 13:40:31	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0a31a4…
06-05 13:40:25	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x711592…
06-05 13:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xecb98d…
06-05 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7a94a4…
06-05 13:35:33	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xe66735…
06-05 13:35:25	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd8f003…
06-05 13:35:10	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfdcd80…
06-05 13:35:06	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x7a408e…
06-05 13:34:54	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1dcff1…
06-05 13:31:31	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x02c67d…
06-05 13:30:06	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0808dd…
06-01 09:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x102ea9…
06-01 09:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x96b8ba…
06-01 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8d6e9e…
06-01 09:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x846b64…
06-01 09:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x36f2dd…
06-01 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x48059a…
06-01 09:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x8f4409…
05-31 17:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa4bd57…
05-31 17:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfc5157…
05-31 17:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7d4111…
05-31 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x04dc42…
05-31 17:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xd8a30c…
05-31 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa6c888…
05-31 17:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xfdcb7d…
05-31 17:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x44b739…
05-31 17:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x080262…
05-31 17:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xe36fb1…
05-31 17:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9d2df6…
05-31 17:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa5df56…
05-31 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x00bafb…
05-31 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0fe05f…
05-31 17:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x6990b7…
05-31 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb671f6…
05-31 17:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x417f89…
05-31 17:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xe94e68…
05-31 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0f0c3f…
05-31 10:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	260	99¢	$257	0x76b652…
05-31 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0xce138f…
05-31 10:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x7fc8c3…
05-31 10:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0xabe0fa…
05-31 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xfb5327…
05-31 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xac107a…
05-31 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	62¢	$36	0x3de698…
05-31 10:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x762c37…
05-31 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x284b36…
05-31 09:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0xa6f825…
05-30 14:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x696b92…
05-30 14:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe8283a…
05-30 14:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa97b3a…
05-30 14:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xae5c62…
05-30 14:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xe39147…
05-30 14:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9b50e0…
05-30 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xaa3090…
05-30 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x62f5ff…
05-30 14:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0597d9…
05-30 14:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7681bc…
05-30 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8b8319…
05-30 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe328c0…
05-30 14:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x21623f…
05-30 10:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0c92c8…
05-30 10:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2985bd…
05-30 10:44:30	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x3c8c53…
05-30 10:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5fa87a…
05-30 10:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x517a74…
05-30 10:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcf0d6a…
05-30 10:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x0403d6…
05-30 10:17:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8a9457…
05-30 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x80708d…
05-30 10:13:56	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb49c80…
05-30 10:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xab1711…
05-30 10:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x73d7df…
05-30 10:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x313229…
05-30 10:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb05718…
05-30 10:00:15	hype updown 5m 1780135200	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xd5cf1e…
05-30 10:00:10	bnb updown 5m 1780135200	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xff563d…
05-30 09:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2cde63…
05-30 09:56:05	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa331f8…
05-30 09:56:02	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5fd529…
05-30 09:55:42	hype updown 5m 1780134900	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2d9c4d…
05-30 09:55:21	hype updown 5m 1780134900	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4978c4…
05-30 09:55:11	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa1fad3…
05-30 09:53:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4b7e09…
05-30 09:51:09	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcaa287…
05-30 09:50:24	doge updown 5m 1780134600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1515bf…
05-30 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb3e195…
05-30 09:30:58	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x171fbb…
05-30 09:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa4d1b0…
05-30 09:25:47	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae5d7d…
05-30 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b62c8…
05-30 09:20:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c166a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	471	$553	869	05-13 23:20
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	432	$924	2,338	06-05 13:58
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	405	$7.83K	772	05-16 17:30
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	394	$33.9K	9,092	06-05 13:56
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	368	$354.9K	63,107	06-05 13:57
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	356	$669	1,740	06-05 13:57
Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b	355	$12.1K	3,973	06-05 13:53
Partial-Musician 0x6e19…5841	352	$1.56K	379	06-05 13:48