Separate-Sentence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$59

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

64% 98% +$7

Politics

28% 100% +$33

Crypto

7% 87% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	+30	$30	99¢	$30	+$0	10-25 15:12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	09-20 14:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	09-21 00:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	4	$106	109	+109	No	+$4	03-01 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	09-25 11:29
key quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt39	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	01-20 11:39
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$64	70	+70	No	+$6	01-17 02:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	09-25 00:29
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	09-29 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	10-27 07:46
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	01-15 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	09-27 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	2	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	10-25 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26?	2	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	09-26 06:02
bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt99	3	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	01-13 13:35
trump out as president by march 31	1	$49	50	+50	No	+$1	03-14 14:59
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	1	$48	50	+50	No	+$2	03-01 01:30
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	01-18 15:46
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-01 01:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	2	$39	39	+39	No	+$0	09-28 00:33
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$39	40	+40	No	+$1	02-19 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	1	$39	40	+40	Yes	+$1	09-20 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-25 06:45
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-02 09:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	10-25 15:12
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	3	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	03-01 00:41
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	02-17 11:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?	2	$29	30	+30	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$29	30	+30	No	+$1	01-18 15:48
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	30	+30	No	+$1	04-19 08:43
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$28	30	+30	No	+$2	01-15 11:54
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$28	30	+30	No	+$2	01-18 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-17 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf0025…
10-25 15:12:18	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9af693…
10-25 06:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x877f65…
10-25 05:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x045dec…
10-25 04:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x852159…
10-25 04:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa6c58e…
10-25 04:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa006be…
09-29 06:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x384af9…
09-29 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4053f1…
09-29 01:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2089da…
09-29 00:26:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaaef38…
09-28 00:33:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7a537…
09-28 00:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c5059…
09-27 08:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x827e99…
09-27 05:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6308bf…
09-27 04:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x158719…
09-27 01:07:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd202f…
09-27 01:07:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc0bc8f…
09-26 06:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x20e7c7…
09-26 05:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe979dc…
09-26 00:53:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbca025…
09-26 00:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dd393…
09-25 13:54:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x89585c…
09-25 11:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x81fd22…
09-25 00:29:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5da3e…
09-23 04:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92ae20…
09-22 07:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x601bd0…
09-21 00:28:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x166dcf…
09-20 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdb35c7…
09-20 16:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x144025…
09-20 14:19:13	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd1de0…
09-20 11:02:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67766a…
09-20 09:53:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x160368…
09-20 09:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd0ae…
09-13 15:30:33	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x85bc50…
05-24 14:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9d1faa…
05-24 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x29e55c…
05-24 14:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e436f…
05-24 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x306dbe…
05-17 07:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xadf44d…
05-17 07:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2eb590…
05-17 07:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0ef78e…
05-17 06:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc53213…
05-17 06:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc49dae…
05-17 05:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45f635…
05-17 05:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x451a49…
05-17 05:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x25c35c…
05-17 05:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc0e90b…
05-04 10:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x379ece…
05-04 10:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xabee7f…
05-03 11:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78ee2d…
05-03 08:18:38	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57da47…
05-02 09:39:14	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1ca9ef…
04-26 01:24:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99a14b…
04-26 01:20:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45067a…
04-19 08:43:22	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xdb35f2…
04-19 08:41:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x847518…
04-07 10:25:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x628569…
04-05 16:48:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe86aca…
03-29 12:13:04	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7087bc…
03-25 00:53:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x36ee34…
03-21 01:18:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x543441…
03-14 14:59:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4c430a…
03-14 14:41:49	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 gir	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cd1e9…
03-14 14:40:39	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 gir	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6a1ba…
03-14 14:38:43	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 spread away 1pt5	Girona FC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b673…
03-14 14:19:21	elc cov sot 2026 03 14 sot	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xcfaa13…
03-14 14:16:25	elc mid bri 2026 03 14 mid	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3da4e1…
03-14 14:04:25	elc oxf cha 2026 03 14 spread away 1pt5	Oxford United FC	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1fa489…
03-14 14:03:23	elc cov sot 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	Southampton FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89854a…
03-10 00:40:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x06e00f…
03-06 15:58:23	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1410ef…
03-06 15:58:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95bfb5…
03-01 16:12:47	bun stu wol 2026 03 01 stu	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x888f22…
03-01 15:56:29	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa67e11…
03-01 14:53:05	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2436cb…
03-01 13:28:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd2fb0c…
03-01 13:23:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4047d4…
03-01 02:42:57	will khamenei leave iran by december 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85c1af…
03-01 01:43:13	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc73cce…
03-01 01:36:59	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xac170f…
03-01 01:34:33	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xedea24…
03-01 01:31:03	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x41100a…
03-01 01:30:51	khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xfbbc4b…
03-01 01:30:41	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x0fcbb4…
03-01 01:30:05	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xfe1ef9…
03-01 00:54:17	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xce36e5…
03-01 00:41:19	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb92180…
03-01 00:40:33	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9c019b…
03-01 00:13:15	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd9087b…
03-01 00:01:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb230ab…
02-28 07:20:29	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce7f35…
02-28 07:19:51	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a82d4…
02-28 06:51:25	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xaf6d66…
02-28 06:50:17	US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x747869…
02-28 06:43:57	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xbc0897…
02-28 06:43:55	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcd5852…
02-25 13:04:06	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcf61e3…
02-25 03:41:52	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x226cd2…
02-25 03:40:54	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x626120…