Buttery-Fusarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

119

Trades

594

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-01 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 62% -$94

Politics

16% 27% -$136

Other

7% 17% -$84

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$5.4K	3,894	3,894	+0	No	-$428	06-01 16:29
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	9	$1.5K	1,417	1,417	+0	Yes	+$52	06-01 12:40
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$752	394	394	+0	No	+$8	05-29 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$710	501	501	+0	No	+$98	05-29 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$458	248	248	+0	Up	+$8	05-30 19:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	6	$407	1,134	209	+926	No	-$68	05-28 20:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$404	217	217	+0	open	—	05-28 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	8	$393	330	222	+108	Up	+$51	05-29 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	18	$380	380	380	+0	Up	+$10	05-30 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$376	523	331	+192	Down	+$176	05-29 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	15	$374	338	184	+154	Down	+$25	05-29 17:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	3	$360	208	208	+0	No	-$2	05-29 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$348	302	295	+7	Down	+$97	05-29 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$345	197	197	+0	Up	+$45	05-30 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$335	284	284	+0	Up	+$85	05-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$325	180	180	+0	Up	+$25	05-29 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	10	$307	358	124	+234	Up	-$143	05-29 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$303	398	279	+120	Up	+$153	05-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$274	162	162	+0	Up	+$14	05-29 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$243	195	195	+0	Down	+$143	05-29 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$228	173	105	+67	Up	-$22	05-29 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$226	237	91	+146	Down	+$22	05-31 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$225	418	0	+418	Up	+$193	05-31 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$211	182	71	+111	Down	+$22	05-29 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$210	114	114	+0	Down	+$10	05-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$209	202	177	+25	Up	+$14	05-29 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	9	$199	139	139	+0	Down	+$19	05-29 17:54
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	2	$199	109	109	+0	open	—	05-31 14:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$194	286	286	+0	No	-$6	05-31 11:56
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?	2	$182	109	109	+0	Yes	-$18	05-31 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:29:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	949	53¢	$500	0x177687…
06-01 13:37:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	66¢	$33	0x17a61a…
06-01 12:59:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	67¢	$600	0x2d7096…
06-01 12:57:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,024	57¢	$588	0xb97ed7…
06-01 12:40:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	391	77¢	$300	0xa48b1a…
06-01 12:40:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	702	43¢	$302	0xe1a4f8…
06-01 12:37:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0xb8fa3f…
06-01 12:36:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	361	21¢	$76	0x1af91b…
05-31 14:08:29	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	109	91¢	$99	0xbce745…
05-31 14:01:31	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd5a404…
05-31 13:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x1c2d9f…
05-31 13:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x0d4f87…
05-31 13:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xe63e4b…
05-31 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x860509…
05-31 13:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2c781d…
05-31 13:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf151c7…
05-31 13:10:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0xac41e0…
05-31 13:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xb98edd…
05-31 13:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3f0e89…
05-31 13:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7024e4…
05-31 13:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x7957a9…
05-31 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe7672b…
05-31 13:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0xf0cc4d…
05-31 13:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x70cec6…
05-31 13:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x0fc12b…
05-31 13:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	91	56¢	$51	0xd85dfd…
05-31 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa0e1d0…
05-31 13:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd076f0…
05-31 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc047e7…
05-31 12:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4dc87b…
05-31 12:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xc02b15…
05-31 12:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xeb7b31…
05-31 12:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x2c82d9…
05-31 12:50:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x4089c6…
05-31 12:42:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x6c853d…
05-31 11:56:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	286	33¢	$94	0x7e48ec…
05-31 11:54:42	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	345	1¢	$5	0x0e4349…
05-31 11:48:08	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xb19529…
05-31 11:45:25	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x13d722…
05-31 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xd28c6c…
05-31 11:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xc45a7a…
05-31 11:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x95ef88…
05-31 11:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2efab2…
05-31 11:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	46	72¢	$33	0x63a67a…
05-31 11:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x706c68…
05-31 11:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x8b55c9…
05-31 11:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe475a0…
05-31 11:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x5c00dc…
05-31 11:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb99a68…
05-31 11:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x01cdc7…
05-31 11:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x632940…
05-31 11:06:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	235	43¢	$100	0xaf0e74…
05-31 11:06:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xdce4d1…
05-31 11:04:49	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	SELL	110	56¢	$61	0xacff55…
05-31 11:04:05	Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	75¢	$82	0x79fa29…
05-31 11:03:32	will netherlands participate in eurovision 2027	No	SELL	123	14¢	$17	0x894afd…
05-31 09:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb6ae69…
05-31 09:33:12	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa8b57c…
05-31 09:32:06	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x672330…
05-31 09:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x93dff8…
05-31 09:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x23e02a…
05-31 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0xb93e0f…
05-31 09:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbe0390…
05-31 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xbff3de…
05-31 08:59:21	will netherlands participate in eurovision 2027	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x95dfab…
05-31 08:57:44	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2b629c…
05-31 08:56:41	Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5475a3…
05-31 08:49:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9a023e…
05-30 21:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	56¢	$14	0xd47ea4…
05-30 21:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x123db3…
05-30 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xba0d7f…
05-30 21:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc25e4d…
05-30 21:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6c6db4…
05-30 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xebd5df…
05-30 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x56b070…
05-30 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xfee6f2…
05-30 21:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x9dcbac…
05-30 21:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x25d874…
05-30 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0xb45fa3…
05-30 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8e4ecc…
05-30 21:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x925a6e…
05-30 21:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x10eac6…
05-30 21:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0xafffff…
05-30 21:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x64af07…
05-30 21:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x9fe2a0…
05-30 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xbd2e5a…
05-30 21:13:39	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x5a4da9…
05-30 21:10:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xb3af91…
05-30 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x6532b4…
05-30 20:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xe46d3d…
05-30 20:11:07	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x913f32…
05-30 20:10:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	715	63¢	$451	0xab0ae3…
05-30 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53	16¢	$8	0xc2da78…
05-30 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x7693c5…
05-30 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x3bd9ec…
05-30 19:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc0a1f4…
05-30 19:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x300fc5…
05-30 19:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5313f9…
05-30 19:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	211	96¢	$202	0x7c17b5…
05-30 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xde0f22…