Jaded-Displacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$478

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-19 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 79% +$221

Politics

17% 0% $-699

Other

15% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$1.2K	911	911	+0	open	—	05-01 19:29
btc updown 5m 1776362400	2	$1.1K	561	560	+0	open	—	04-16 18:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$786	414	414	+0	open	—	04-26 06:00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$699	1,660	0	+1,660	Yes	$-699	05-08 10:33
lol bro2 ns 2026 04 19 game1	5	$621	379	375	+4	open	—	04-19 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$550	646	0	+646	open	—	05-04 17:19
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	1	$415	424	0	+424	open	—	04-18 18:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$368	483	0	+483	open	—	04-15 15:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$318	412	0	+412	open	—	04-20 18:05
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$313	372	0	+372	open	—	04-26 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$308	483	277	+207	Up	$-85	05-09 17:59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$306	370	0	+370	open	—	05-01 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$300	360	0	+360	Up	+$60	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$300	410	0	+410	open	—	05-04 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$300	323	0	+323	Up	+$23	05-08 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$267	398	0	+398	Up	+$132	05-09 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$250	266	0	+266	Down	+$16	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$202	104	104	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$200	255	0	+255	Up	+$55	05-07 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$200	269	0	+269	Down	$-200	05-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$200	215	0	+215	Up	+$15	05-08 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$200	248	0	+248	Up	+$48	05-08 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$200	268	0	+268	Up	+$68	05-09 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$200	346	0	+346	Up	+$146	05-05 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$200	244	0	+244	Down	+$44	05-08 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$200	211	0	+211	Up	+$11	05-08 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	7	$188	259	0	+259	Up	$-188	05-09 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$180	191	0	+191	Down	+$11	05-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$175	195	0	+195	Up	+$20	05-08 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:39:18	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xed9108…
05-19 12:03:42	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf7259f…
05-16 10:28:55	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19ff7b…
05-09 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2db134…
05-09 18:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x38ac3d…
05-09 18:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x356e3a…
05-09 18:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x972eff…
05-09 18:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb577b2…
05-09 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x30e324…
05-09 18:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x544f06…
05-09 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xb3f60e…
05-09 18:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x7a7be9…
05-09 18:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdcee53…
05-09 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe0e589…
05-09 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcd19d6…
05-09 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7a0580…
05-09 18:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x38f933…
05-09 18:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x7039b4…
05-09 18:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x8fef0a…
05-09 18:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	140	69¢	$97	0x981dea…
05-09 17:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x1110f4…
05-09 17:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6e2adf…
05-09 17:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	277	3¢	$8	0xc4c727…
05-09 17:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x57c741…
05-09 17:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0xccc953…
05-09 17:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x76de6b…
05-09 17:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x897747…
05-09 16:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0xe476f6…
05-09 14:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3f1641…
05-09 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb0b320…
05-09 05:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xf66657…
05-09 05:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xe6c71b…
05-09 05:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x75d9b9…
05-09 05:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x847b7a…
05-09 05:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc8d4bd…
05-08 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xfad859…
05-08 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xba386c…
05-08 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xabb67b…
05-08 18:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3f8e9c…
05-08 18:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x30cdc9…
05-08 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xda05c0…
05-08 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf8eb5e…
05-08 18:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc81bbb…
05-08 17:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x7a44bd…
05-08 17:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xab0985…
05-08 17:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8c06b2…
05-08 17:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x36fd1b…
05-08 13:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xdb02a1…
05-08 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc870a7…
05-08 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xddab04…
05-08 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x30115c…
05-08 13:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e9e3a…
05-08 13:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x5b0021…
05-08 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x2db382…
05-08 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x24b402…
05-08 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x088f7e…
05-08 13:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0ab5b1…
05-08 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x21dfab…
05-08 13:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x3fdc7e…
05-08 13:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x15f01f…
05-08 13:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	196	7¢	$14	0xd17134…
05-08 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0x4a55b2…
05-08 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x7a99a0…
05-08 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf4890d…
05-08 12:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xefd457…
05-08 10:33:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	261	38¢	$99	0xd9f852…
05-08 10:32:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	1,124	36¢	$400	0x5f4b1e…
05-08 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2fb400…
05-08 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x8ccd12…
05-07 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd349af…
05-07 18:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6242a9…
05-07 18:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x5e47d8…
05-07 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xfc47f3…
05-07 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd7ba55…
05-07 17:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9a0d82…
05-06 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa890be…
05-05 11:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x1496ff…
05-05 11:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x02ce04…
05-04 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x394446…
05-04 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbec51d…
05-04 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x66edb8…
05-04 17:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe08288…
05-04 17:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x06efc3…
05-04 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xa0bc40…
05-04 17:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x12f139…
05-04 17:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xc6a5ec…
05-04 17:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x66acd3…
05-04 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf16d0d…
05-04 17:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xcf1550…
05-04 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x6b9d8f…
05-04 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x49bcdf…
05-04 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x10307e…
05-03 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x41b305…
05-03 10:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x00c990…
05-03 10:35:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd79778…
05-03 10:30:18	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x365852…
05-03 08:30:30	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x005d5c…
05-02 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xaefa86…
05-01 19:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x6f7726…
05-01 19:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	911	79¢	$721	0xc05446…