Fat-Biplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,924

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-11 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$32

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775077200	2	$274	182	176	+6	open	—	04-01 21:04
btc updown 5m 1775074200	3	$208	239	226	+12	open	—	04-01 20:13
btc updown 5m 1774816800	2	$101	73	72	+1	open	—	03-29 20:44
btc updown 5m 1771795200	2	$92	121	119	+2	open	—	02-22 21:22
btc updown 5m 1775160900	3	$91	76	70	+5	open	—	04-02 20:17
btc updown 5m 1771794600	2	$85	83	81	+1	open	—	02-22 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$80	48	47	+1	open	—	04-25 18:40
btc updown 5m 1775161200	1	$80	186	0	+186	open	—	04-02 20:20
btc updown 5m 1771795500	1	$80	153	0	+153	open	—	02-22 21:27
btc updown 5m 1775076900	2	$71	149	143	+6	open	—	04-01 20:59
btc updown 5m 1775079000	1	$71	129	0	+129	open	—	04-01 21:30
btc updown 5m 1775076300	3	$65	54	52	+2	open	—	04-01 20:49
btc updown 15m 1775161800	3	$59	127	45	+82	open	—	04-02 20:43
btc updown 5m 1775854200	2	$53	35	34	+1	open	—	04-10 20:54
btc updown 15m 1775079000	1	$52	179	0	+179	open	—	04-01 21:39
btc updown 15m 1776887100	2	$51	37	36	+1	open	—	04-22 19:56
btc updown 5m 1775079300	1	$50	172	0	+172	open	—	04-01 21:35
btc updown 15m 1775061900	2	$47	39	38	+1	open	—	04-01 16:46
btc updown 5m 1774817700	3	$42	50	47	+3	open	—	03-29 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$35	26	25	+1	open	—	04-25 20:11
btc updown 15m 1775929500	2	$34	69	66	+3	open	—	04-11 17:55
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 3pm et	2	$34	28	26	+1	open	—	04-10 19:41
btc updown 5m 1772658000	2	$33	24	23	+0	open	—	03-04 21:04
btc updown 5m 1774934700	3	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	03-31 05:30
btc updown 5m 1775855400	1	$32	52	0	+52	open	—	04-10 21:11
btc updown 5m 1775063700	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-01 17:20
btc updown 5m 1775934000	2	$31	29	28	+1	open	—	04-11 19:02
btc updown 5m 1774469700	1	$30	75	0	+75	open	—	03-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 19:29
btc updown 15m 1775925000	2	$29	24	23	+1	open	—	04-11 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x710519…
05-11 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3aa262…
05-11 18:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x623b2e…
05-11 18:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xecc4a6…
05-11 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cf696…
05-11 18:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x34267d…
05-11 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa242e7…
05-11 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfd70b1…
05-11 16:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xeb0ee8…
05-11 16:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb93b6c…
05-11 16:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x721776…
05-11 16:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcca6a4…
05-11 16:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7b0d5f…
05-11 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81abf6…
05-11 16:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x23c3d5…
05-11 16:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x344fcd…
05-11 15:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad26e0…
05-11 13:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x79f020…
05-11 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa74ebf…
05-11 12:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c4664…
05-11 12:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc9123d…
05-11 10:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x855d46…
05-11 10:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x28b899…
05-11 09:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xacb343…
05-11 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc94527…
05-11 03:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1a2f1d…
05-11 01:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x288780…
05-11 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3f6844…
05-11 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0f8b9f…
05-11 01:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x797c6c…
05-10 23:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa44233…
05-10 22:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9c87d5…
05-10 22:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe5508c…
05-10 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c8c56…
05-10 21:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf76f2…
05-10 19:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac05c3…
05-09 18:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x26281e…
05-09 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x838b01…
05-09 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeab0b1…
05-09 17:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1fb6c1…
05-09 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab0df0…
05-09 17:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x142ffd…
05-09 17:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba8e2e…
05-09 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x16403c…
05-09 17:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x1b3bee…
05-09 17:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4c5c9e…
05-09 17:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x02358e…
05-09 17:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe2660e…
05-09 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5755b2…
05-09 17:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9de78f…
05-09 17:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x900f0b…
05-09 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x243711…
05-09 16:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4dffea…
05-09 16:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x773b09…
05-09 16:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe7e882…
05-09 14:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa97ea6…
05-09 07:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xad88c1…
05-09 07:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x109db1…
05-09 01:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x387164…
05-09 01:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf36475…
05-09 01:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa85719…
05-09 00:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3dbc2e…
05-08 15:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf50cfe…
05-08 13:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2ca713…
05-08 12:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x55b8bb…
05-08 11:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcac310…
05-08 06:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x277d3f…
05-08 05:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c1293…
05-08 04:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd8f762…
05-07 22:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x83bc32…
05-07 21:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x773989…
05-07 21:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x37b327…
05-07 21:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9d37fc…
05-07 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf78ed9…
05-07 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfb78b8…
05-07 21:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xa1fbeb…
05-07 21:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4de474…
05-07 21:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcce0f1…
05-07 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x36b403…
05-07 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd6ad39…
05-07 20:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x24dc83…
05-07 20:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb9a562…
05-07 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05f581…
05-07 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x15da92…
05-07 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x140f89…
05-07 18:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcd97b3…
05-07 03:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x340555…
05-06 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbe583c…
05-06 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6a1e29…
05-06 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x76f2d5…
05-06 20:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3c4087…
05-06 20:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d98d8…
05-06 20:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb9ffcd…
05-06 20:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfdc41f…
05-06 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ef50b…
05-06 20:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x19f275…
05-06 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x06dc1a…
05-06 19:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xb296af…
05-06 19:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb046cf…
05-06 19:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0c2d70…