Sardonic-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$791

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

697

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-13 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

94% 40% -$545

Sports

4% 62% -$51

Crypto

1% 41% -$11

Politics

1% 50% -$184

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	5	$705	441	441	+0	Team Yandex	+$175	10-11 19:51
Bills vs. Rams	16	$437	479	412	+67	Bills	+$11	10-13 03:46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	4	$386	252	252	+0	Yes	+$116	06-29 19:17
Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	2	$331	406	406	+0	Yes	+$271	10-09 00:21
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$312	459	0	+459	Spain	+$147	07-19 21:39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	3	$301	194	194	+0	Team Spirit	+$87	10-11 13:11
dota2 navi lgd 2026 09 24	4	$298	208	208	+0	LGD Gaming	+$118	09-24 12:48
atp doubles alcamen bublfri 2026 09 25	6	$289	186	186	+0	Alcaraz/Mensik	+$82	09-25 21:57
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?	5	$279	178	178	+0	Yes	+$77	10-11 03:12
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	7	$272	206	206	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$88	06-01 23:11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	5	$272	265	265	+0	Yes	+$128	09-14 20:55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	5	$268	207	207	+0	Yes	+$144	07-14 21:04
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	7	$257	397	191	+206	Jakub Mensik	+$7	06-02 20:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$236	137	137	+0	Yes	+$37	07-07 18:10
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	6	$232	171	171	+0	Team Lynx	+$16	10-12 16:23
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C	8	$229	156	156	+0	OG	+$83	10-02 20:25
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs	7	$220	203	203	+0	Team Synapse	+$26	09-23 18:55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	6	$204	133	133	+0	Yes	-$2	10-13 18:54
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?	3	$202	117	117	+0	Yes	+$32	07-29 02:26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	3	$202	121	121	+0	Yes	+$40	10-10 20:59
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	3	$195	115	115	+0	Yes	+$35	07-01 18:05
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	4	$195	122	122	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$49	10-05 13:56
bra flu fla 2026 04 11 fla	3	$194	151	148	+3	Yes	+$76	04-12 23:03
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$193	562	0	+562	No	-$193	10-04 21:49
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?	3	$185	117	117	+0	Yes	+$49	10-11 22:56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	5	$184	146	146	+0	Yes	+$18	09-13 17:22
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	12	$178	433	433	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$46	05-29 18:55
atp doubles bolevav luzmato 2026 08 21	4	$172	122	122	+0	Luz/Matos	+$72	08-21 18:56
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$170	200	200	+0	No	+$70	07-07 17:47
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$160	114	112	+2	Yes	+$67	04-12 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 21:11:54	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9a38d9…
10-13 21:10:48	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	161	51¢	$82	0xf65e54…
10-13 20:43:52	dota2 pr1 ch1 2026 10 13	CyberHero	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x5329f3…
10-13 20:43:21	dota2 pr1 ch1 2026 10 13	CyberHero	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0x5e12b4…
10-13 19:53:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x084053…
10-13 19:04:12	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x38ce50…
10-13 19:02:27	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	114	21¢	$24	0xc214eb…
10-13 18:56:43	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xfbc399…
10-13 18:54:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x7c0761…
10-13 18:42:12	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	46	38¢	$17	0x991eaf…
10-13 18:22:58	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x648bff…
10-13 18:22:42	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd63bc0…
10-13 18:22:34	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x3f0fd4…
10-13 18:22:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0xbbc8b9…
10-13 17:41:49	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x21a3ea…
10-13 17:41:31	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0xfc4cbf…
10-13 17:39:30	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xde99ce…
10-13 17:39:16	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xc5c440…
10-13 17:38:12	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xfcaf87…
10-13 17:09:49	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x2a1dcf…
10-13 17:09:34	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x90fd35…
10-13 17:03:39	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x021408…
10-13 17:03:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xac6837…
10-13 14:22:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0x0458c2…
10-13 14:22:02	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xdb8462…
10-13 13:20:29	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0x8a0751…
10-13 13:20:05	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x79dc83…
10-13 13:19:40	dota2 ch1 shadow 2026 10 13	Shadow Dance	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x55ac6c…
10-13 13:19:16	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x030bdd…
10-13 13:18:25	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe313fb…
10-13 11:02:41	dota2 lynx z10 2026 10 13	Team Lynx	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfc56ec…
10-13 03:54:02	dota2 tr7 ip1 2026 10 13	Imperial Power	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6e6729…
10-13 03:52:54	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xeb70f1…
10-13 03:52:20	dota2 lynx z10 2026 10 13	Team Lynx	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x8a4cfc…
10-13 03:46:18	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x6db66b…
10-13 03:44:57	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	139	91¢	$127	0xc5fb46…
10-13 03:41:09	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xccee59…
10-13 03:40:53	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	26	36¢	$10	0x43e057…
10-13 03:40:14	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xc9ea90…
10-13 03:39:57	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x84df7c…
10-13 03:33:35	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2058a5…
10-13 03:26:11	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x61df1b…
10-13 03:22:09	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x2fc35e…
10-13 03:12:51	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xb6934e…
10-13 03:00:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xd2045d…
10-13 02:57:35	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0xffc12d…
10-13 01:01:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0fad32…
10-13 01:00:50	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x91bb1b…
10-13 00:03:53	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xa010b9…
10-13 00:02:38	Will Criciúma EC vs. América FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0xb9d49b…
10-12 23:10:09	Will Grêmio Novorizontino vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd9191f…
10-12 21:49:00	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x1a4c1e…
10-12 21:47:54	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x8d65d1…
10-12 21:46:23	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	The Warriors	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x658ea4…
10-12 21:45:24	Will Criciúma EC vs. América FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf990e8…
10-12 21:44:38	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0xb02a0e…
10-12 21:44:08	Will Grêmio Novorizontino vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x238846…
10-12 19:36:27	Will CA Lanús win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xf52458…
10-12 16:27:44	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xdc3075…
10-12 16:27:18	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x933c17…
10-12 16:25:36	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x1e9f0d…
10-12 16:25:17	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0xf9b216…
10-12 16:23:57	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	Team Lynx	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x144056…
10-12 16:15:11	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	Team Lynx	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0xb5cec0…
10-12 16:14:57	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	CyberHero	SELL	80	42¢	$33	0xa41715…
10-12 16:09:03	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	Team Lynx	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x44ceac…
10-12 15:31:23	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	CyberHero	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x48d655…
10-12 15:30:02	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 111 (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x0c88b8…
10-12 14:22:54	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 111 (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xb219a6…
10-12 14:22:03	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0xc46bf9…
10-12 13:23:36	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xb47862…
10-12 13:23:06	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 111 (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xb83a35…
10-12 13:22:35	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	CyberHero	BUY	57	69¢	$39	0x6f9b7c…
10-12 03:48:44	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	PuckChamp	BUY	181	10¢	$18	0x532425…
10-12 03:48:20	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x08a49d…
10-12 03:27:51	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x2d5d10…
10-12 03:20:23	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	53	73¢	$39	0x315213…
10-12 03:18:48	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 40.5	Over	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x583618…
10-12 03:15:51	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x3d46b0…
10-12 03:12:09	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xebff98…
10-12 02:41:50	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x3e511a…
10-12 00:41:59	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc58981…
10-12 00:40:50	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x04cd26…
10-11 22:56:08	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xd2d400…
10-11 21:04:52	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0x62097c…
10-11 20:18:54	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0xb42939…
10-11 19:51:48	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0xe7cc87…
10-11 19:51:30	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	SELL	441	100¢	$440	0xb405fa…
10-11 15:12:49	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x182010…
10-11 15:12:21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x24eebe…
10-11 15:11:12	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xd752ea…
10-11 15:07:55	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x128e15…
10-11 15:05:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x09b701…
10-11 14:39:25	dota2 ty ts8 2026 10 11 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7aa546…
10-11 14:39:15	dota2 ty ts8 2026 10 11	Team Yandex	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x8dfec6…
10-11 14:00:15	dota2 ty ts8 2026 10 11	Team Yandex	BUY	209	70¢	$147	0x0aaa35…
10-11 13:11:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xada903…
10-11 12:36:45	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	91	81¢	$74	0x23fc5c…
10-11 03:12:56	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xa9d1bc…
10-11 00:50:27	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xc51e3f…