Stark-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$728

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$25.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$211

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-20 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-728

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	15	$1.5K	1,785	0	+1,785	Up	$-1,458	05-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,076	1,076	+0	open	—	05-04 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	05-04 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$1.2K	836	835	+1	Up	$-331	05-07 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$1.1K	1,375	0	+1,375	Down	+$244	05-06 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$871	1,078	0	+1,078	Down	+$206	05-07 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$800	2,414	0	+2,414	open	—	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$790	840	0	+840	Down	+$50	05-06 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$737	803	0	+803	Down	+$66	05-06 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$724	385	385	+0	Down	+$38	05-08 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$713	813	0	+813	Down	+$100	05-06 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$709	376	376	+0	Down	+$36	05-07 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$673	354	354	+0	Down	+$28	05-07 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$672	747	0	+747	Down	+$75	05-06 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$643	523	349	+174	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$631	698	0	+698	open	—	05-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$602	669	0	+669	open	—	05-04 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$597	671	0	+671	Down	+$74	05-06 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$596	644	0	+644	open	—	05-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$593	644	0	+644	Down	+$51	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$566	390	390	+0	open	—	05-04 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	14	$566	387	387	+0	Up	$-131	05-07 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$561	624	0	+624	open	—	05-04 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$561	626	0	+626	Down	+$65	05-05 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$554	612	0	+612	Down	+$58	05-05 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	10	$536	363	215	+148	Down	+$38	05-07 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$531	600	0	+600	Down	+$69	05-05 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$522	559	0	+559	Down	+$37	05-06 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$514	591	0	+591	Up	+$76	05-06 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$500	1,331	0	+1,331	open	—	05-04 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 23:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x44b94b…
05-15 04:17:03	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	878	2¢	$17	0x963704…
05-10 03:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbdaefb…
05-10 03:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc4f729…
05-08 04:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	385	99¢	$381	0x948886…
05-08 04:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	385	89¢	$343	0x61443b…
05-08 03:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xef04f0…
05-08 00:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0xa779fd…
05-08 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xb1715e…
05-08 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xab89d2…
05-08 00:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	141	87¢	$122	0x0f2132…
05-07 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0x729fe9…
05-07 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xe85d5a…
05-07 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd362de…
05-07 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x0208df…
05-07 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x01d891…
05-07 20:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xb7e1bf…
05-07 20:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x5da142…
05-07 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xcef9b0…
05-07 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x346cd3…
05-07 20:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	178	89¢	$159	0x1adbde…
05-07 19:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	354	99¢	$350	0x059b67…
05-07 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	354	91¢	$322	0x303ab3…
05-07 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x22ef38…
05-07 16:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x78d483…
05-07 16:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf3cbe8…
05-07 16:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8e5d74…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xa34e8b…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x749e0b…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x6bf9e9…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4d5291…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x489f7e…
05-07 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3637f2…
05-07 16:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x53aaa4…
05-07 13:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	280	56¢	$157	0x7f8ebb…
05-07 13:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	107	57¢	$61	0x196b5f…
05-07 13:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfbb6b3…
05-07 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	164	90¢	$147	0xf16d65…
05-07 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1b3a21…
05-07 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xc7b497…
05-07 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x018b06…
05-07 13:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcfcdaa…
05-07 13:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0x7de9b3…
05-07 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xacb503…
05-07 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x4681e5…
05-07 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x1cbfd1…
05-07 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x0cb55d…
05-07 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0xd790c5…
05-07 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	376	99¢	$372	0x656f91…
05-07 13:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	376	89¢	$336	0xc7e8dd…
05-07 12:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	435	48¢	$211	0x14658f…
05-07 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	292	75¢	$219	0x948c50…
05-07 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	303	75¢	$227	0x6e2cdf…
05-07 05:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	97	85¢	$83	0xa9ccf7…
05-07 05:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	201	85¢	$171	0x788537…
05-07 05:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd0967f…
05-07 05:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x6b45e5…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xe2e131…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc6a475…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xad382a…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	201	85¢	$171	0x5c37bb…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x5a2369…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x59986f…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4e2ceb…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x37b8a1…
05-07 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	419	85¢	$356	0x10fbc2…
05-07 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	553	75¢	$415	0x0e1d5a…
05-07 03:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	525	87¢	$457	0x31474a…
05-07 01:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	835	52¢	$434	0x05c74c…
05-07 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	836	92¢	$765	0x93ea5b…
05-06 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	840	94¢	$790	0x56895c…
05-06 18:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	531	93¢	$496	0xfc0305…
05-06 18:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xc62659…
05-06 18:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x21d05d…
05-06 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	803	92¢	$737	0x52f589…
05-06 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	591	87¢	$514	0x7fe2cf…
05-06 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	747	90¢	$672	0x5ef598…
05-06 02:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	410	75¢	$307	0x67c613…
05-06 02:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	107	75¢	$81	0x8b1a51…
05-06 02:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	858	87¢	$744	0x584bc3…
05-06 02:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	671	89¢	$597	0x72d0de…
05-06 00:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x2e16bc…
05-06 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0x9d830f…
05-06 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x29cbe8…
05-06 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x2522f9…
05-06 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	610	88¢	$534	0x1e6a39…
05-05 23:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	600	89¢	$531	0x3aa0b3…
05-05 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	612	90¢	$554	0x47d9d6…
05-05 19:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	544	87¢	$471	0x59573e…
05-05 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	644	92¢	$593	0xaba1fb…
05-05 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	626	90¢	$561	0x97d28b…
05-04 20:32:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xd6a072…
05-04 20:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	299	7¢	$20	0x70f025…
05-04 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xc1e81f…
05-04 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb3cdaf…
05-04 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xffe2f0…
05-04 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	54	70¢	$37	0xa2f7d8…
05-04 20:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0xaed9da…
05-04 17:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2,414	33¢	$800	0xe34e62…
05-04 15:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	349	55¢	$193	0xc2391b…