Hollow-Chocolate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-12 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$0

Other

36% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No		+18	$18	100¢	$18	$-0	07-23 08:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	1	$174	174	+174	open	—	03-13 01:48
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	1	$174	174	+174	open	—	02-14 11:03
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$174	174	+174	open	—	02-11 02:21
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$174	174	+174	open	—	02-03 03:02
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$173	174	+174	open	—	01-30 09:40
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$173	173	+173	open	—	01-26 08:00
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$173	173	+173	open	—	01-21 09:43
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 340 359	1	$172	172	+172	open	—	01-07 08:22
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	1	$172	172	+172	open	—	01-17 02:43
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$171	171	+171	open	—	03-07 01:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	1	$170	170	+170	open	—	03-17 02:00
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	1	$169	169	+169	open	—	03-27 02:20
bitcoin above 78k on march 24	1	$168	168	+168	open	—	03-23 02:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	05-09 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	1	$166	166	+166	Yes	+$0	05-05 01:56
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$165	165	+165	open	—	04-07 02:09
ethereum above 2100 on april 23	1	$161	161	+161	open	—	04-23 02:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	04-30 09:17
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	04-12 02:05
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	04-17 01:19
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	07-23 08:45
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	03-31 06:48
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$5	2,600	+2,600	open	—	03-31 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$5	2,300	+2,300	open	—	03-23 02:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-07 01:58
will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 06:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-28 02:30
will bitcoin dip to 58k april 13 19	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 01:19
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-23 02:01
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:45:42	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xde52fc…
06-12 03:01:16	will ethereum reach 2100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd092d3…
06-12 02:58:00	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed2d22…
06-12 02:57:54	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd5027…
05-28 02:30:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e2fad…
05-28 02:30:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd8521…
05-09 08:20:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xc4f7cf…
05-05 01:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x6017cb…
04-30 09:17:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xc8fd10…
04-23 02:01:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xe85cfd…
04-23 02:01:36	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x15ddfe…
04-23 02:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c1800…
04-17 01:19:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xdcb2ef…
04-17 01:19:32	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 13 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b2327…
04-17 01:19:20	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x860443…
04-12 02:05:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xc3b981…
04-12 02:05:13	highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 66forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf76c63…
04-12 02:04:53	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ede2c…
04-12 02:04:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd563a9…
04-07 02:09:39	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xfb6e46…
03-31 06:48:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f9d36…
03-31 06:48:11	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7306a1…
03-31 06:47:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$5	0xb0fee2…
03-27 02:20:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x7c7e4c…
03-23 02:43:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x6f2d06…
03-23 02:43:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	Yes	BUY	2,300	0¢	$5	0xe69f8a…
03-17 02:00:41	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x98588e…
03-17 02:00:33	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 11c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34a59e…
03-17 02:00:11	will zai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcbc92…
03-13 01:48:23	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xc4baac…
03-07 01:59:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x8340af…
03-07 01:58:51	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa2a7f…
03-07 01:58:31	nba dal bos 2026 03 06	Celtics	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2531c7…
03-07 01:58:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40e67b…
02-14 11:03:45	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x7284ab…
02-11 02:21:37	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x8b1f0e…
02-03 03:02:16	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x9fefa2…
01-30 09:40:50	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x692dbe…
01-26 08:00:11	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x7e2500…
01-21 09:43:56	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x333bb4…
01-17 02:43:50	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x92d757…
01-07 08:22:21	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 340 359	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xefe92b…