Soggy-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

2,231

Trades

3,490

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-29 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% +$151

Other

3% 53% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$543	419	419	+0	Down	+$287	10-06 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	27	$537	413	413	+0	Up	+$281	10-07 02:08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$510	546	546	+0	No	-$10	10-04 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$333	272	272	+0	Down	+$205	10-06 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$299	237	237	+0	Down	+$171	10-07 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$287	225	225	+0	Up	+$159	10-09 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$226	212	110	+102	Down	+$63	10-07 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$154	200	200	+0	Down	+$26	10-07 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$150	116	116	+0	Down	+$78	10-08 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$141	110	110	+0	Up	+$77	10-07 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$136	110	110	+0	Up	+$72	10-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$129	429	0	+429	Up	-$129	10-07 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$118	109	109	+0	Up	+$54	10-07 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$117	154	154	+0	Up	+$37	10-08 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	4	$112	63	52	+12	Down	-$10	10-04 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:35 UTC	2	$101	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	10-10 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	10-22 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	-$100	10-22 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	2	$97	86	86	+0	Up	+$37	10-04 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$80	250	0	+250	Up	-$80	10-07 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$78	65	62	+4	Down	+$48	10-08 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$77	62	62	+0	Down	+$45	10-07 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$73	57	57	+0	Down	+$41	10-07 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$73	57	57	+0	Up	+$41	10-07 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$71	114	114	+0	Down	+$7	10-08 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$71	55	55	+0	Down	+$39	10-07 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$69	53	53	+0	Down	+$37	10-07 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$69	53	53	+0	Up	+$37	10-09 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:10 UTC	4	$68	61	61	+0	Down	+$16	10-04 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x82a004…
10-29 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xd7ffc5…
10-29 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x73742e…
10-29 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x4bb817…
10-29 04:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5c717f…
10-29 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xf429bc…
10-29 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xdffac4…
10-29 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x499ae1…
10-29 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1acd9d…
10-29 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xdfbe67…
10-29 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x662b49…
10-29 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x183ae8…
10-29 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc5e675…
10-29 01:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfaff30…
10-28 20:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7c7e87…
10-28 20:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x78ac38…
10-28 20:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x21c5a2…
10-28 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc76ae0…
10-28 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7a38f5…
10-28 20:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0901b8…
10-28 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xf09400…
10-28 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0866a1…
10-28 20:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc781a4…
10-28 20:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe5d277…
10-28 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xe5909e…
10-28 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x706e73…
10-28 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x90a6f7…
10-28 20:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x80d88e…
10-28 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb2c18e…
10-28 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4de76a…
10-28 20:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf2feb5…
10-28 19:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfca98e…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xea1a4f…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc76964…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xae29c4…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x98c41d…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9709a4…
10-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x355cd2…
10-28 19:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe94cef…
10-28 19:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbfd1c6…
10-28 19:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd05df2…
10-28 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xfc2a94…
10-28 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xd4f16f…
10-28 19:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x133b98…
10-28 19:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4c79c9…
10-28 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf8508f…
10-28 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xd522ca…
10-28 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2ef77a…
10-28 13:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb9f0da…
10-28 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x15c774…
10-28 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x04fe9b…
10-28 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7846ff…
10-28 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf55a96…
10-28 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd632f7…
10-28 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1e41ed…
10-28 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x041a27…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xde49b1…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x821a2c…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x69d5da…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4605ab…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3d9d7d…
10-28 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x150ea6…
10-28 13:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd6f688…
10-28 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x87ee2b…
10-28 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x837ed3…
10-28 13:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xccbfcb…
10-28 13:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc5a461…
10-28 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xcb417f…
10-28 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaffb8c…
10-28 13:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb59d4…
10-28 13:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x1b8238…
10-28 13:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1b21b4…
10-28 13:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x9a34f9…
10-28 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xe8c349…
10-28 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x56e116…
10-28 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x36aff8…
10-28 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x30b4c8…
10-28 13:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7bc72e…
10-28 13:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xfd46fc…
10-28 13:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xd5b3be…
10-28 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xe84a30…
10-28 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x83193a…
10-28 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x729d82…
10-28 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x591814…
10-28 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3c1008…
10-28 13:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x94d138…
10-28 13:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6e5d88…
10-28 13:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3999fc…
10-28 12:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xea7aaf…
10-28 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xdd2adc…
10-28 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x6b68bd…
10-28 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x57196c…
10-28 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x4b1a71…
10-28 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3137cb…
10-28 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4862d8…
10-28 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x411882…
10-28 12:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x0e0305…
10-28 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x544882…
10-28 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6c93b4…
10-28 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x377f27…