Surprised-Clause-Island — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$597

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 11-04 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$30

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$4	05-30 01:38
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	1	$2.1K	2,087	0	+2,087	Yes	+$4	05-29 08:18
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?	1	$2.1K	2,084	0	+2,084	No	+$6	05-29 01:09
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28?	1	$2.1K	2,078	0	+2,078	No	+$4	05-28 11:15
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	1	$2.1K	2,075	0	+2,075	No	+$4	05-28 00:46
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 27?	1	$2.1K	2,070	0	+2,070	No	+$4	05-27 09:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 26?	1	$2.1K	2,067	0	+2,067	No	+$4	05-27 01:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?	1	$2.1K	2,063	0	+2,063	No	+$4	05-26 08:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	1	$2.1K	2,058	0	+2,058	No	+$4	05-26 01:47
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	1	$2.1K	2,055	0	+2,055	No	+$4	05-25 12:35
bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-15 05:08
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-09 06:09
bitcoin above 68k on august 13 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-12 02:59
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	1	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-23 05:02
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	-$16	08-19 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-06 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	07-29 03:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	09-08 06:16
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	11-04 06:02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 20?	1	$4	2,090	0	+2,090	No	-$4	05-21 01:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 15?	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$4	05-16 02:16
will ethereum reach 1750 on june 9	2	$4	2,085	0	+2,085	No	-$4	06-10 03:13
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?	1	$4	2,079	0	+2,079	No	-$4	06-02 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 9	1	$4	2,075	0	+2,075	No	-$4	06-10 02:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 23?	1	$4	2,073	0	+2,073	No	-$4	05-24 02:21
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 14?	1	$4	2,069	0	+2,069	No	-$4	06-15 02:34
ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	1	$4	2,068	0	+2,068	No	-$4	06-05 10:33
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?	1	$4	2,066	0	+2,066	No	-$4	05-18 12:51
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20?	1	$4	2,060	0	+2,060	No	-$4	06-20 05:02
xrp above 0pt9 on june 7 2026	1	$4	2,056	0	+2,056	Yes	-$4	06-07 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:02:00	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbf3440…
09-08 06:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60d175…
08-19 02:11:16	bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x34aad8…
08-12 02:59:54	bitcoin above 68k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfff0c8…
08-06 07:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8a4480…
07-29 03:31:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x030bd3…
07-23 05:02:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x2e22d9…
07-15 05:08:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb09822…
07-09 06:09:58	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x225c5e…
06-30 02:00:14	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 29	Yes	BUY	2,043	0¢	$4	0xc49fc2…
06-26 02:55:13	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 25	Yes	BUY	1,963	0¢	$4	0xcf835f…
06-20 05:02:50	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2,060	0¢	$4	0x287d75…
06-15 02:34:09	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2,069	0¢	$4	0x6b4f43…
06-12 07:43:22	ethereum above 1500 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	2,055	0¢	$4	0x34191f…
06-10 03:13:45	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 9	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3f36fc…
06-10 03:13:27	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 9	Yes	BUY	2,074	0¢	$4	0xb36b0a…
06-10 02:08:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 9	Yes	BUY	2,075	0¢	$4	0x3fd880…
06-07 11:30:30	xrp above 0pt9 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,056	0¢	$4	0x03df7d…
06-05 10:33:21	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2,068	0¢	$4	0xbb8b6f…
06-02 07:30:37	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2,079	0¢	$4	0xc0e4c1…
05-31 02:40:37	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0032fb…
05-30 01:38:34	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,083	0x55c675…
05-29 08:18:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2,087	100¢	$2,083	0x6c97c9…
05-29 01:09:59	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,077	0x4dbc69…
05-28 11:15:37	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28?	No	BUY	2,078	100¢	$2,074	0x3d4d48…
05-28 00:46:17	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	2,075	100¢	$2,071	0x40c8f8…
05-27 09:04:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 27?	No	BUY	2,070	100¢	$2,066	0xcc7e98…
05-27 01:41:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,067	100¢	$2,063	0x596b3f…
05-26 08:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,063	100¢	$2,058	0x26cf21…
05-26 01:47:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2,058	100¢	$2,054	0x551dfc…
05-25 12:35:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	2,055	100¢	$2,051	0x1056a4…
05-24 02:21:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0xed8307…
05-21 01:50:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2,090	0¢	$4	0x40d38f…
05-18 12:51:59	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2,066	0¢	$4	0xa8a26a…
05-16 02:16:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0xede500…