Elastic-Exhibit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-26 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

61% 69% -$28

Tech

19% 0% -$1

Crypto

8% 80% +$2

Sports

7% 67% +$73

Politics

4% 100% +$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	2	$446	266	224	+41	Yes	-$1	05-06 08:29
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	8	$199	245	0	+245	Yes	+$46	05-05 10:54
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$170	170	0	+170	Yes	+$0	07-04 19:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$150	167	84	+83	Spain	+$32	07-19 21:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$135	216	0	+216	Yes	+$81	07-19 21:43
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$130	147	0	+147	Argentina	+$17	07-07 17:56
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	4	$110	109	26	+83	Yes	+$13	06-23 21:58
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$100	102	0	+102	Argentina	+$2	07-15 20:54
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$100	159	0	+159	Yes	+$59	03-15 13:40
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	3	$89	83	83	+0	Under	-$51	07-19 21:07
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$46	49	0	+49	France	+$3	07-04 15:56
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$41	117	117	+0	No	-$39	10-15 12:59
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$40	49	0	+49	England	+$9	07-01 16:15
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	06-22 21:05
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	1	$35	41	0	+41	Yes	+$6	06-27 20:58
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$33	64	64	+0	No	-$7	10-04 19:20
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$30	32	0	+32	Argentina	+$2	07-03 20:44
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	-$30	06-17 17:22
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	2	$25	25	25	+0	No	-$15	06-23 21:53
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$23	33	33	+0	Spain	-$17	07-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$22	31	8	+23	Down	-$18	10-26 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	6	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 09:23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	07-15 20:53
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	-$20	06-14 18:24
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$20	21	0	+21	Morocco	+$1	07-04 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$16	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	10-26 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$16	12	7	+5	Up	+$1	10-26 09:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$15	22	0	+22	Yes	+$7	06-16 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	10-26 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4ed901…
10-26 15:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x73cb7a…
10-26 15:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf361a6…
10-26 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x40ce88…
10-26 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd6631c…
10-26 15:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca58b1…
10-26 15:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3e2a28…
10-26 15:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6c36ae…
10-26 15:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2967da…
10-26 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9d874f…
10-26 15:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x44a9e6…
10-26 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0xe981b4…
10-26 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xefbe2f…
10-26 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x670c98…
10-26 15:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe00778…
10-26 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xafe0ac…
10-26 15:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6b63e0…
10-26 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd1fdae…
10-26 09:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbb66ae…
10-26 09:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa4a1dd…
10-26 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c6cdc…
10-26 09:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xc82cbe…
10-26 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x895ef0…
10-26 09:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x184813…
10-26 09:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x240d89…
10-26 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc4c4f6…
10-26 09:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x99b094…
10-26 09:13:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x2bb591…
10-26 09:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x11b0b1…
10-26 09:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xccf460…
10-26 09:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x51d92b…
10-26 09:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb753b…
10-26 09:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x444a78…
10-26 09:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfb5c98…
10-26 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa98a73…
10-26 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x906dfd…
10-26 08:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa93c88…
10-26 08:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x346b16…
10-26 08:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x5074e7…
10-26 08:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf5ea45…
10-26 08:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0c5317…
10-26 08:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe5a8ba…
10-26 08:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xd4a9d3…
10-26 08:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x290904…
10-15 13:00:20	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ca77c…
10-15 12:59:49	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0xe7cdb3…
10-04 19:20:41	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x3e211d…
10-04 19:20:25	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	64	21¢	$13	0x50171e…
09-26 20:35:21	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x9bc481…
07-19 21:43:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc6bd2f…
07-19 21:07:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x65fc7d…
07-19 21:07:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0xd889e5…
07-19 19:57:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5e5b2f…
07-19 16:39:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x440cea…
07-19 16:33:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xf50c35…
07-19 09:56:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd6ba99…
07-19 09:56:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xc4971e…
07-19 09:55:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	84	59¢	$50	0x418d3f…
07-19 09:55:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0xf7d5f8…
07-17 21:22:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbeedce…
07-15 20:54:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5a1814…
07-15 20:53:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2eb686…
07-15 12:53:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x61c71e…
07-14 20:34:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x138277…
07-14 20:34:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x0c20f2…
07-12 12:22:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x388ccf…
07-11 12:04:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf22e76…
07-10 16:53:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xb5acef…
07-10 05:58:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x84d68f…
07-07 17:56:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xce1bd9…
07-07 17:29:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3d627f…
07-07 05:17:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xcd6008…
07-05 20:10:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2c2f73…
07-04 19:00:17	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x184aa5…
07-04 18:45:59	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2fca18…
07-04 15:56:16	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xe00d56…
07-03 20:44:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0d507d…
07-01 16:15:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6b9d06…
07-01 08:55:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1ffc06…
06-27 20:58:10	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x6a5784…
06-26 08:53:31	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7d0f7c…
06-26 08:53:26	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4f1596…
06-24 21:03:44	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x351c26…
06-24 19:11:08	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6c236f…
06-24 06:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x81f9ef…
06-24 06:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd4dfdd…
06-23 22:05:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8af964…
06-23 21:58:11	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x4a4ca2…
06-23 21:55:29	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x3ebde2…
06-23 21:54:26	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0xad4f91…
06-23 21:53:43	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd71a10…
06-23 21:53:28	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xca1ed4…
06-23 16:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2ce3d1…
06-23 05:06:40	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xcbe87c…
06-22 21:05:26	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xe583f4…
06-22 21:05:11	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd0e145…
06-22 21:05:01	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf626bb…
06-22 21:04:55	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcdc405…
06-22 21:04:47	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x92f0f2…
06-22 18:49:17	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xb543d3…