Smooth-Minimum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$651

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-16 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 63% +$24

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$30	47	0	+47	Down	$-3	05-12 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$26	23	14	+9	Up	+$5	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	05-03 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$25	280	0	+280	open	—	05-03 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-06 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-12 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$23	19	19	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 05:00
btc updown 15m 1770309000	8	$19	1,029	14	+1,014	open	—	02-05 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$17	28	12	+16	Down	$-3	05-12 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$14	45	6	+38	Down	$-6	05-12 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$14	41	10	+31	Up	+$25	05-12 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-12 12:46
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$9	83	83	+0	open	—	05-12 07:13
wta navarro kalinsk 2026 02 10	5	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	02-10 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 05:01
will googl reach 395 in january	2	$6	161	161	+0	open	—	01-03 15:25
atp acosta tabilo 2026 02 09	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	02-10 17:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	$-5	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-13 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-13 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-06 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Up	$-5	05-12 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-12 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe15ca2…
05-16 04:56:21	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x890da1…
05-16 04:55:46	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9683a…
05-16 04:54:21	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc471a5…
05-16 04:52:48	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x790ed4…
05-16 04:52:11	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac6596…
05-16 04:47:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbd83e0…
05-16 04:47:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc079ed…
05-16 04:46:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbf7bb4…
05-16 04:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x47d3ba…
05-16 04:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x654d5e…
05-16 04:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4bb63b…
05-16 04:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb4cf15…
05-16 04:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x879718…
05-16 04:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe3f63a…
05-16 04:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca8631…
05-16 04:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6df380…
05-16 01:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x400264…
05-15 18:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1b31ba…
05-15 18:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x98bc33…
05-15 18:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x733db6…
05-15 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0daabc…
05-15 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd0998f…
05-15 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x853a62…
05-15 17:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4bf7a…
05-15 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb5f5a6…
05-15 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29ba06…
05-15 17:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xae026c…
05-15 17:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf8ab84…
05-15 17:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07a6b4…
05-15 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf5e0c2…
05-15 17:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c1d91…
05-15 17:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x265d09…
05-15 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x88c1f3…
05-13 05:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x47d755…
05-13 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x166713…
05-13 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe8529c…
05-13 04:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x89fbaa…
05-13 04:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x2b5cf1…
05-13 04:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa7a4ce…
05-13 02:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd7a6ae…
05-13 02:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x58e8d6…
05-13 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x77ea77…
05-13 01:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3c9608…
05-13 01:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd5d5d4…
05-13 01:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1c6a10…
05-13 01:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x59b34d…
05-13 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaa27dd…
05-13 01:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4fb26f…
05-13 01:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7d55f…
05-13 01:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3729db…
05-13 01:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa19634…
05-13 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7c6b19…
05-12 14:04:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe69e9e…
05-12 14:00:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x439e1f…
05-12 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a094b…
05-12 12:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcd1348…
05-12 12:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc93be8…
05-12 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbc35af…
05-12 12:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x19722a…
05-12 10:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb36344…
05-12 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x45a0e4…
05-12 09:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x4b9a3a…
05-12 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x701c11…
05-12 09:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb5caf0…
05-12 09:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x70fddf…
05-12 09:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x90f838…
05-12 09:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0e9593…
05-12 09:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3db1d…
05-12 09:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x133e75…
05-12 08:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6babd7…
05-12 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x8b355b…
05-12 08:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x62db87…
05-12 08:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x274a14…
05-12 08:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x17f37d…
05-12 08:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7ec8db…
05-12 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd803d9…
05-12 07:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc6ff22…
05-12 07:13:00	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0x95830b…
05-12 07:12:49	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	222	0¢	$1	0x445ea0…
05-12 05:56:15	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe6b8c9…
05-12 05:56:08	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x494a60…
05-12 05:53:47	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x98eae0…
05-12 05:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5d78e3…
05-12 05:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7c75b2…
05-12 05:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x382d0e…
05-12 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1a0933…
05-12 05:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x697c69…
05-12 05:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xa5daa1…
05-12 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70983b…
05-12 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f3f45…
05-12 05:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xbe21e8…
05-12 05:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8d3310…
05-12 05:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0a2b43…
05-12 04:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4a3d57…
05-12 04:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x95295f…
05-12 04:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb8cbc9…
05-12 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x840cf8…
05-12 04:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4c51a5…
05-06 14:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2115eb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	69	$60.2K	2,899	05-16 04:45
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	69	$9.97K	4,562	05-16 04:58
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	69	$8.02K	707	05-16 04:59
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	68	$31.1K	4,483	05-16 04:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	68	$18.5K	2,563	05-16 04:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	68	$16.0K	4,106	05-16 04:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	68	$14.8K	3,823	05-16 04:44
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	68	$14.6K	541	05-16 04:43