Turbulent-Leek — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$66

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,212

Trades (90d)

1,268

2,617 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.82K

$10.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 11-01 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 33% -$129

Other

3% 38% -$10

Politics

0% 50% +$5

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	—	+3	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-01 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	3	$100	84	84	+0	Down	-$16	05-29 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$72	98	51	+47	Up	+$19	05-21 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$62	62	62	+0	Down	+$46	06-02 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$51	41	41	+0	Up	+$17	05-29 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 20:55 UTC	3	$44	65	36	+29	Up	-$4	06-25 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET	2	$44	44	22	+22	Down	+$6	05-29 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:00 UTC	2	$42	35	35	+0	Up	+$26	06-26 03:06
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?	2	$38	25	25	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$12	05-29 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$38	39	39	+0	Up	-$2	05-21 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	2	$37	23	23	+0	Down	+$9	05-29 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:15 UTC	2	$35	26	26	+0	Down	+$17	06-26 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$34	57	57	+0	Down	-$6	05-22 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$33	53	53	+0	Down	-$3	05-21 23:56
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$32	31	31	+0	Down	-$6	05-02 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	2	$32	56	56	+0	Up	+$22	08-07 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 11:40 UTC	2	$31	47	47	+0	Up	+$1	06-27 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	3	$31	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	05-21 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	06-15 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:40 UTC	2	$30	34	34	+0	Up	+$10	06-15 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:20 UTC	1	$30	126	0	+126	Up	-$30	03-08 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$30	26	26	+0	Down	+$10	05-22 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	2	$30	21	21	+0	Up	+$12	06-26 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 16:20 UTC	2	$29	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	03-07 16:24
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?	3	$28	35	20	+16	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$8	05-27 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$27	48	48	+0	Down	-$23	05-21 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	Up	+$12	05-21 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	2	$26	1,348	0	+1,348	Down	-$26	07-05 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:45 UTC	2	$26	64	64	+0	Up	+$8	06-17 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 11:50 UTC	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$8	06-26 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 11:50 UTC	2	$26	35	35	+0	Down	-$4	06-27 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeff319…
11-01 08:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x31aa59…
11-01 08:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8fee2b…
11-01 08:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x51b6bb…
10-30 19:33:15	Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	Lavked	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xc7005c…
10-30 18:32:22	Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xe39109…
10-30 18:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c7f66…
10-30 18:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6a391…
10-30 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x46b89b…
10-30 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x335426…
10-30 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa987b8…
10-30 18:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb860a2…
10-30 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8cc037…
10-30 17:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc092c8…
10-30 17:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8db4e1…
10-30 17:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe25595…
10-30 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8757b9…
10-30 17:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x355af3…
10-30 17:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd9437d…
10-30 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x673c5a…
10-30 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73e01a…
10-30 17:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa57144…
10-30 16:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x912516…
10-30 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc2348c…
10-30 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2d85e0…
10-30 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc873d2…
10-30 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8abeae…
10-30 16:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x99fef6…
10-30 16:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x19c064…
10-30 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x229c99…
10-30 15:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe83e7a…
10-30 15:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x57f4d3…
10-30 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd5fa66…
10-30 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e928f…
10-30 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc62a4a…
10-30 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1cfffb…
10-30 14:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5686d…
10-30 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe9023a…
10-30 14:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf18fca…
10-30 14:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f11ca…
10-30 14:08:57	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Nemiga	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xad6c1f…
10-30 11:56:45	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe73c4c…
10-30 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a534e…
10-30 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe6a0c2…
10-30 11:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x67d4d0…
10-30 11:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf174c2…
10-30 11:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd35f32…
10-30 11:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1b656…
10-30 10:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c2604…
10-30 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbe00be…
10-30 10:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e109d…
10-30 10:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9822eb…
10-30 10:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xff15a4…
10-30 10:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x376c59…
10-30 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1553b3…
10-30 09:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2ab837…
10-30 09:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x49191a…
10-30 09:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a2fd1…
10-30 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbfa0a2…
10-30 08:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8eeee…
10-30 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9302f6…
10-30 08:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1069af…
10-30 08:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7fcc99…
10-30 08:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x880c37…
10-30 07:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2b7e53…
10-30 07:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x836521…
10-30 07:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x34566c…
10-30 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9b2af5…
10-30 07:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x734584…
10-30 07:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa74926…
10-30 07:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10d77e…
10-30 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x92fa93…
10-30 06:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9de116…
10-30 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5561f3…
10-30 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x921bd8…
10-30 06:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x03f4c5…
10-30 06:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee1a50…
10-30 06:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf6df8e…
10-30 06:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb4dd2…
10-30 06:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x198a63…
10-30 06:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd1274…
10-30 05:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x88c322…
10-30 05:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x96b54f…
10-30 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c7112…
10-30 05:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f2bc6…
10-30 05:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd5734e…
10-30 04:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8840c8…
10-30 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x42a18a…
10-30 04:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x20b18c…
10-30 04:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x39ee7e…
10-30 04:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x27d161…
10-30 04:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6516d5…
10-30 04:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8240c9…
10-30 04:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7baaf8…
10-30 04:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0c663a…
10-30 04:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x86ab27…
10-30 03:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x79cbe6…
10-30 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x42ed6b…
10-30 03:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x51b094…
10-30 03:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xebb1ea…