Small-Harald — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

326

Trades

447

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-19 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	30¢	$1	$0	05-31 13:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	06-03 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	06-02 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	06-03 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	06-03 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$13	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	10-19 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	06-03 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$12	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	10-19 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	06-01 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-02 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-02 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	06-01 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	06-01 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	06-01 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	-$8	06-02 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 11:15
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	06-01 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x94d8a4…
10-19 19:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd0d2f5…
10-19 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4e79d3…
10-19 17:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa9470…
10-19 17:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc31dff…
10-19 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xebc477…
10-19 17:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	45¢	$7	0xcdbe14…
10-19 17:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0f09ed…
06-03 08:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf9a5af…
06-03 05:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6611a8…
06-03 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa23ba9…
06-03 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x081107…
06-03 04:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xca0617…
06-03 04:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xdf5efb…
06-03 04:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa125a3…
06-03 04:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82cb15…
06-03 04:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfd22cb…
06-03 03:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x7a60b8…
06-03 03:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb94a16…
06-03 03:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xab6089…
06-03 03:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaf614a…
06-03 03:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0000be…
06-03 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5ff99a…
06-03 03:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbdc8e6…
06-03 03:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x20abd6…
06-03 03:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xcc8397…
06-03 03:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf96377…
06-03 03:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x62f392…
06-03 02:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x97b099…
06-03 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x80493d…
06-03 02:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xecaea2…
06-03 02:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x252728…
06-03 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x80e2ad…
06-03 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2997c4…
06-03 02:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe9f6ce…
06-03 02:21:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26a2a1…
06-03 02:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xeb2531…
06-03 02:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x124d1c…
06-03 02:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb91fc9…
06-03 01:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1866ee…
06-03 01:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1689d8…
06-03 01:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x9e33f1…
06-03 01:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0c505…
06-03 01:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x23792e…
06-03 01:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5032d2…
06-03 01:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x050f14…
06-03 00:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd90545…
06-03 00:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4c45fc…
06-03 00:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd0fb31…
06-03 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe10866…
06-03 00:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x208912…
06-02 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x6a229f…
06-02 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5afd11…
06-02 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x36b95e…
06-02 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xd8d6e9…
06-02 23:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x330247…
06-02 23:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc6570a…
06-02 23:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6fb226…
06-02 23:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x144ff8…
06-02 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90ff41…
06-02 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x88bbd8…
06-02 23:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeb6de1…
06-02 23:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xd59898…
06-02 23:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xb82b7d…
06-02 23:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x61d529…
06-02 23:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5c7c6e…
06-02 22:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x635c78…
06-02 22:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0057cb…
06-02 22:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x20989f…
06-02 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x40ddc3…
06-02 22:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x964818…
06-02 21:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34c332…
06-02 21:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x34015f…
06-02 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67cf36…
06-02 21:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x7c31d3…
06-02 21:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x87f973…
06-02 20:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xad9ceb…
06-02 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x126379…
06-02 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdbb89b…
06-02 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x39b1b6…
06-02 20:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xada49f…
06-02 19:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd36c67…
06-02 19:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x72b241…
06-02 19:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x64a184…
06-02 19:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc83b75…
06-02 19:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x289bc0…
06-02 19:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfb9261…
06-02 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb68a0a…
06-02 18:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2895b7…
06-02 18:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1fb691…
06-02 18:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d4bcf…
06-02 18:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa4b56e…
06-02 18:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x830a2e…
06-02 18:26:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf2c168…
06-02 18:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x07fabe…
06-02 18:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x172563…
06-02 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7c26d3…
06-02 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x53346a…
06-02 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x4a7154…
06-02 17:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x086526…