Informal-Subset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

6,574

Trades

10,067

lifetime

Volume

$62.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-01 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$371

Other

0% 20% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down march 13 10am et	2	$364	183	183	+0	Down	+$2	03-13 15:03
bitcoin up or down march 11 9pm et	2	$305	153	153	+0	Down	+$2	03-12 02:04
xrp up or down on march 12	2	$252	367	0	+367	Down	-$83	03-12 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:10 UTC	5	$238	265	0	+265	Up	+$26	04-06 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	1	$236	263	0	+263	Up	+$26	04-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:25 UTC	4	$227	246	0	+246	Down	+$20	03-14 15:29
ethereum up or down march 11 9pm et	2	$219	110	110	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	16	$187	276	0	+276	Up	-$100	07-28 00:04
ethereum up or down march 12 6pm et	1	$174	209	0	+209	Up	-$174	03-12 22:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 11:45 UTC	1	$172	174	0	+174	Down	+$2	03-12 11:51
ethereum up or down march 13 11pm et	2	$171	98	98	+0	Up	+$24	03-14 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:15 UTC	5	$169	209	0	+209	Down	-$169	03-12 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 04:30 UTC	1	$159	194	0	+194	Down	+$35	03-12 04:42
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 9pm et	1	$150	163	0	+163	Up	+$13	04-11 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:40 UTC	1	$148	161	0	+161	Up	-$148	04-09 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:35 UTC	8	$131	119	93	+27	Up	+$25	10-13 17:38
solana up or down march 11 5am et	2	$129	65	65	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 10:28
solana up or down march 11 2pm et	1	$126	130	0	+130	Up	+$4	03-11 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:15 UTC	11	$126	188	0	+188	Down	+$62	03-21 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$124	302	0	+302	Up	+$178	09-01 17:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:25 UTC	6	$123	144	0	+144	Down	+$20	03-26 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 21:30 UTC	1	$122	137	0	+137	Down	+$15	04-10 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC	10	$121	233	0	+233	Down	-$121	03-21 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 22:00 UTC	6	$121	133	0	+133	Down	+$12	03-21 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 07:55 UTC	5	$120	137	0	+137	Up	+$16	04-05 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:40 UTC	20	$114	228	0	+228	Up	$0	07-27 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:40 UTC	9	$112	206	0	+206	Up	+$93	03-25 14:40
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 12:00 UTC	1	$109	198	0	+198	Down	+$89	03-12 14:02
bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	2	$109	76	76	+0	Up	+$44	03-13 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:45 UTC	1	$108	245	0	+245	Down	+$137	08-30 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x6aa568…
11-01 17:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5ec3ac…
11-01 17:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xe63175…
11-01 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x446588…
11-01 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xc7b18a…
11-01 16:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x7946cc…
11-01 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xc74331…
11-01 16:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xc9a9e5…
11-01 16:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xac1c96…
11-01 15:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xa52209…
11-01 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x00d888…
11-01 14:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe80e4e…
11-01 14:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x1f1b78…
11-01 14:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x23e38a…
11-01 13:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x2fa8a4…
11-01 13:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa25cb0…
11-01 13:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x883dc7…
11-01 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x9edb4c…
11-01 08:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa7922e…
11-01 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x68b4f8…
11-01 07:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x718b18…
11-01 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd229d3…
11-01 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x3cd030…
11-01 07:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x07e1c3…
11-01 04:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x26195c…
11-01 04:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcbc3ab…
11-01 04:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x58637a…
11-01 03:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9f87bc…
11-01 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x5487bb…
11-01 02:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x485426…
11-01 02:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x66d4bd…
11-01 02:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x086efd…
11-01 00:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x11bcfd…
10-31 23:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xe095a4…
10-31 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xbd3bc1…
10-31 22:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xad1487…
10-31 21:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x81c1ae…
10-31 20:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xc309a0…
10-31 16:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x35de3c…
10-31 15:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xfaad6b…
10-31 15:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xb2fc79…
10-31 13:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xb86ed1…
10-31 13:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x64351b…
10-30 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x9ec5c3…
10-30 12:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x524469…
10-30 00:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x721164…
10-30 00:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x6c35f7…
10-29 17:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0xd239ef…
10-29 17:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0xc50e77…
10-29 17:09:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xcebd8e…
10-29 17:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x3901e7…
10-29 16:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0x5c3f6f…
10-29 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x96d51a…
10-29 14:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf95490…
10-29 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe0264a…
10-29 14:18:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x4ddf44…
10-29 14:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x4c3568…
10-29 14:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x596506…
10-29 14:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x45f213…
10-29 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	26	60¢	$15	0x9ed9b9…
10-29 14:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xd2296e…
10-29 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x9f1009…
10-29 13:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xe52315…
10-29 13:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd85e56…
10-29 13:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe5ff41…
10-29 12:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x1be0b7…
10-29 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x9b5cfa…
10-29 12:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0xf38abd…
10-29 12:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x4fec0a…
10-29 12:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x0b5bf6…
10-29 12:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xc226b1…
10-29 09:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xef1709…
10-29 09:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0xd89e4e…
10-29 09:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x238b3f…
10-29 09:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xba869d…
10-29 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x31c435…
10-29 09:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x757f14…
10-29 09:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0xbcd5f7…
10-29 09:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x7317f6…
10-29 08:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x5fbb76…
10-29 08:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf1ad84…
10-29 07:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x49a16d…
10-29 07:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xece4fe…
10-29 07:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0xcf2f24…
10-29 07:18:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0xba394b…
10-29 06:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0xac648c…
10-29 06:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xad52a7…
10-29 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x89c24c…
10-29 06:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	58¢	$15	0xfe0207…
10-29 06:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x684f42…
10-29 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x32553a…
10-29 04:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x1797d9…
10-29 04:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x7eedaa…
10-29 03:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfe24b5…
10-29 03:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x7ee9f0…
10-29 03:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0x63f741…
10-29 03:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0xc78ed6…
10-29 03:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x0ebcb7…
10-29 03:36:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x8c30bf…
10-29 03:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x970590…