Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

127

Trades

692

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

90% 46% -$16

Other

10% 29% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-28 00:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$322	495	495	+0	Yes	+$122	03-01 14:07
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	57	$176	2,917	2,829	+88	No	+$29	02-28 06:35
Iran leadership change by May 31?	35	$62	3,175	3,208	-33	No	+$11	06-01 06:30
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	9	$62	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	10-28 13:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$53	35	35	+0	Yes	+$17	03-01 14:07
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	13	$51	862	762	+100	No	+$2	01-23 23:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$50	455	205	+250	No	-$4	01-31 23:20
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	35	$50	2,120	2,600	-480	No	+$2	02-27 12:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	10	$46	400	400	+0	No	-$4	04-08 08:44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	10	$40	300	100	+200	No	-$12	02-11 02:00
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 460 479	15	$35	712	712	+0	No	+$25	01-05 14:22
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	2	$28	0	39	-39	Yes	-$11	02-28 08:34
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	5	$28	100	300	-200	Yes	-$182	02-25 21:21
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$26	500	300	+200	No	$0	01-15 21:03
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	12	$26	600	1,733	-1,133	No	+$14	02-26 07:35
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	6	$26	400	400	+0	No	+$3	02-25 06:12
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	2	$25	100	100	+0	Yes	+$11	02-18 08:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$24	350	125	+225	No	-$12	01-27 01:10
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$23	190	40	+150	No	-$10	01-15 13:18
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$18	01-02 16:50
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	14	$19	800	700	+100	No	-$1	02-25 06:09
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	9	$17	800	400	+400	No	-$4	02-23 17:16
will israel or the us target tehran 812	3	$17	85	35	+50	Yes	+$46	02-20 20:05
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$17	200	200	+0	No	+$3	02-26 10:05
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	7	$16	129	129	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 15:54
odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january	5	$16	500	0	+500	No	-$16	01-31 05:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$15	100	100	+0	No	-$1	02-18 12:07
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	5	$14	60	36	+24	No	-$2	01-06 14:59
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	13	$13	533	541	-8	No	-$1	02-22 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:34:46	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	216	1¢	$3	0x6f582f…
10-28 10:48:34	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0xdca90d…
10-28 09:20:28	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	384	3¢	$12	0x61d469…
10-28 08:18:07	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x929b50…
10-28 08:14:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xd2bd01…
10-28 08:13:07	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	213	1¢	$2	0x3b39fd…
10-28 06:24:04	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	750	3¢	$25	0x99db52…
10-28 00:15:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0x485281…
10-27 21:07:29	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xfb3617…
10-27 20:59:33	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	450	3¢	$12	0x89eb9f…
10-25 16:10:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xb12c6a…
06-24 10:19:08	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x71b4ca…
06-14 21:23:28	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x0e1dff…
06-14 21:23:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x9d26d1…
06-14 21:18:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xab0449…
06-13 18:47:57	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdeaf62…
06-01 06:30:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf04e37…
05-31 22:28:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x90152f…
05-31 14:29:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	908	1¢	$5	0xc7426d…
05-28 02:01:08	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x94b7e4…
05-28 01:57:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6a9808…
05-28 01:47:11	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7d42cc…
05-28 01:28:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x60b5a2…
05-28 00:32:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x60bbca…
05-27 22:25:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$15	0xa02d7a…
05-27 16:25:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdc2d46…
05-27 16:19:17	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x186c07…
05-27 16:12:05	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	372	0¢	$2	0x71786e…
05-27 16:05:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xdb294c…
05-27 16:05:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5b9478…
05-27 16:04:09	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa9fcc9…
05-27 16:03:39	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6bbde4…
05-27 16:01:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x55a329…
05-27 15:58:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x073687…
05-27 15:52:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb70dcc…
05-27 15:48:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x275d67…
05-27 15:33:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xfc751f…
05-27 15:26:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc6e13d…
05-27 15:26:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x7f4051…
05-27 13:57:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x2af6c8…
05-27 13:54:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ea735…
05-27 13:50:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6fc151…
05-27 13:50:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x6d0f69…
05-27 13:48:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3f2376…
05-27 05:34:42	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x3e8b3e…
05-26 14:37:45	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xb68e47…
05-25 05:18:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x9505a6…
05-24 08:06:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xfd9d8f…
05-23 18:25:30	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x26946d…
05-23 12:38:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x740f5b…
05-21 14:00:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9d76fb…
05-03 20:32:08	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x049480…
04-26 16:30:26	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0xfff93e…
04-24 15:58:20	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x754160…
04-24 14:07:32	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd0f31e…
04-24 14:06:38	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd8b407…
04-24 12:34:18	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xf405d2…
04-24 12:14:04	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xecbd46…
04-24 07:37:30	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa7a785…
04-24 06:43:46	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x944f00…
04-21 22:41:48	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0xdd7734…
04-21 21:18:28	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa58f6d…
04-08 08:44:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1d4b0a…
04-06 16:21:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xcf3657…
04-06 08:24:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb76983…
04-04 13:33:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1a7bf3…
04-04 08:33:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x70a53f…
04-04 07:53:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x93efa7…
04-04 07:52:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xf1541e…
04-04 07:46:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb1cda3…
04-04 07:23:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0xef7dd8…
04-04 06:55:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2f9329…
03-23 13:12:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf76c7f…
03-01 14:07:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8fc0e5…
03-01 14:07:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf37636…
02-28 15:03:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x434821…
02-28 14:31:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xb97e6e…
02-28 14:08:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xf6e499…
02-28 14:07:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x28dc6d…
02-28 14:07:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	78	39¢	$31	0x681635…
02-28 13:31:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12130b…
02-28 13:30:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x70aacf…
02-28 13:27:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0566fd…
02-28 13:27:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	85	9¢	$8	0xe91cf5…
02-28 13:08:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xec15c3…
02-28 12:58:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xfc66a1…
02-28 10:39:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x22cfed…
02-28 09:27:45	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xf62889…
02-28 09:25:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x42ad80…
02-28 08:47:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xdd47c4…
02-28 08:38:03	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb4d4d2…
02-28 08:34:33	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x8af554…
02-28 08:34:17	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xef3ab4…
02-28 08:28:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x199c44…
02-28 08:28:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xce6925…
02-28 08:25:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xdbe3e7…
02-28 06:35:53	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x85e9bf…
02-28 06:31:29	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xd990b6…
02-28 06:23:25	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x2be4e9…
02-28 06:23:25	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1ef71f…