Deafening-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 08-28 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Sports

45% 67% +$0

Other

38% 99% +$53

Politics

9% 50% -$177

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$797	461	461	+0	No	+$0	04-21 08:34
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$392	207	207	+0	No	+$0	03-14 07:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$178	685	0	+685	No	-$178	04-23 10:51
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	7	$143	200	0	+200	No	+$57	03-05 16:58
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	02-28 09:47
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	02-28 09:45
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$0	02-28 09:48
amzn above 210 on february 6 2026	1	$86	86	0	+86	Yes	+$1	02-02 07:16
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$77	78	0	+78	No	+$1	02-02 07:15
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 2 be greater than 2400000	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	02-02 07:15
aapl above 230 on february 6 2026	1	$74	75	0	+75	Yes	+$1	02-02 07:16
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$25	235	235	+0	No	$0	03-14 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 1?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-01 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-01 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-27 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-18 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on July 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-09 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-22 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-20 09:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 24?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-23 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-03 03:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 6?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-06 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 10:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bbed3…
08-28 10:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2917cd…
07-27 07:58:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb67a7…
07-27 07:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x450d24…
07-27 07:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4750b1…
07-20 09:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53aa51…
07-20 09:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63b721…
07-20 09:28:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6f3a2…
07-20 09:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2fbee8…
07-20 09:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x54c0d3…
07-20 09:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b8c5c…
07-09 08:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa36b50…
07-09 08:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5504fb…
07-09 08:06:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa431d5…
07-09 08:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1fab8…
07-08 07:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd635d1…
07-08 07:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x84cd76…
07-08 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe459cf…
07-07 08:32:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86390b…
07-07 08:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dc5e9…
07-07 08:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x3f51ef…
07-06 08:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bce56…
07-06 08:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56883f…
07-06 08:26:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff3064…
07-06 08:25:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e3bd3…
07-06 08:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6907f…
07-06 08:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd7ddf0…
07-03 03:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x158a32…
07-03 03:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3f630…
07-03 03:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7567ba…
07-03 03:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6526c8…
07-03 03:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x404e28…
07-03 03:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d092f…
07-01 08:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x165dd7…
07-01 02:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x8b3f71…
07-01 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d316e…
07-01 02:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x313adf…
07-01 02:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a7d78…
07-01 02:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fe6be…
07-01 02:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x227d5f…
06-29 10:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x52ed66…
06-29 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4fe52…
06-29 09:59:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x06f64e…
06-24 02:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fbfd3…
06-24 02:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe62ea…
06-24 02:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc140f0…
06-24 02:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53c1f4…
06-23 10:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1bb385…
06-23 10:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc62a01…
06-23 10:01:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a72d3…
06-22 03:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c3bfb…
06-22 03:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x022ff3…
06-22 03:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeff6ab…
06-22 03:31:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x344b97…
06-22 03:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x233d46…
06-22 03:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x763bda…
06-18 02:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xc68608…
06-18 02:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1557d…
06-18 02:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x09e015…
06-18 02:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd72969…
06-18 02:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2354e1…
06-18 02:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7fdc5c…
06-17 03:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xff8432…
06-17 03:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65b69e…
06-17 03:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec4152…
06-17 03:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0070ae…
06-17 03:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x64fd46…
06-17 03:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb934b…
06-17 03:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9e6793…
05-21 13:19:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x527202…
05-21 13:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1da1c5…
05-21 13:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f1fa9…
05-21 13:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa007e4…
04-23 10:51:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x98ca14…
04-23 10:51:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	672	26¢	$175	0x7e8acd…
04-21 08:34:34	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0xeb9075…
04-21 08:34:22	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	106	86¢	$92	0x3edae0…
04-21 08:33:40	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x98af0c…
04-21 07:55:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	101	86¢	$87	0xac31de…
04-21 07:45:52	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa2e2d6…
04-21 07:44:00	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	86¢	$42	0xa0af49…
04-21 07:39:36	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	87¢	$57	0x0d5e52…
04-21 07:38:44	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xc05e1b…
04-21 07:34:20	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x28790d…
04-21 07:31:00	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0x5368a8…
04-21 07:28:20	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xfffb52…
04-20 10:55:20	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	461	86¢	$398	0xbdd2be…
03-14 07:40:15	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xaa6a47…
03-14 07:40:13	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	95¢	$136	0x8a04e6…
03-14 07:17:55	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0xdaf84f…
03-13 09:26:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	207	95¢	$196	0x2a87f1…
03-13 08:57:25	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	235	5¢	$13	0x218b8b…
03-05 16:58:45	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x1f2e45…
03-05 16:58:41	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xcacd21…
03-05 16:58:37	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x1e711b…
03-05 16:56:55	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x03ae1d…
03-05 16:56:51	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x8268c7…
03-05 16:55:37	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	103	71¢	$73	0x31912f…
03-05 16:54:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xbcce75…
02-28 09:48:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x388192…