Fluffy-Formation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

2,184

Trades

4,387

lifetime

Volume

$1.54M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$352

Open exposure

$25

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-01 03:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Other

53% 82% -$5,907

Sports

46% 67% -$4,934

Politics

0% 25% +$64

Crypto

0% 62% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	09-20 15:35
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	09-20 15:35
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	09-20 15:35
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	09-20 15:37
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	09-20 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$19.2K	11,514	8,400	+3,114	No	+$86	07-11 23:39
lal sev val 2026 03 21 val	2	$16.6K	8,396	8,396	+0	Yes	+$160	03-21 22:04
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	2	$15.6K	8,237	8,237	+0	Yes	+$892	03-21 19:28
nba gsw det 2026 03 20	4	$15.4K	7,735	7,735	+0	Pistons	+$55	03-21 01:38
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 bay	2	$14.9K	7,517	7,517	+0	Yes	+$84	03-21 15:40
wta eala siegemu 2026 03 19	2	$14.6K	7,320	7,320	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$66	03-19 19:50
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 vil	3	$14.5K	7,419	7,419	+0	Yes	+$281	03-20 22:02
sea mil tor 2026 03 21 mil	2	$14.2K	7,184	7,181	+3	Yes	+$177	03-21 18:59
nba phi sac 2026 03 19	3	$14.0K	7,115	7,115	+0	76ers	+$183	03-20 04:27
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	4	$13.1K	6,546	6,546	+0	Lakers	+$11	03-19 04:11
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	3	$12.7K	6,393	6,393	+0	Yes	+$32	03-18 19:45
nba phx min 2026 03 17	2	$12.7K	6,358	6,358	+0	Timberwolves	+$17	03-18 02:35
nba det was 2026 03 17	4	$12.7K	6,345	6,345	+0	Pistons	-$1	03-18 01:25
nba atl dal 2026 03 18	2	$12.4K	6,204	6,204	+0	Hawks	+$13	03-19 03:09
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spo1	2	$12.1K	6,122	6,122	+0	Yes	+$109	03-17 19:45
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	2	$12.1K	6,094	6,094	+0	Yes	+$54	03-17 21:56
atp gakhov negritu 2026 03 17	3	$11.8K	6,007	6,007	+0	Christoph Negritu	+$205	03-17 16:53
nba por sas 2026 04 08	5	$11.7K	6,206	6,193	+13	Spurs	+$212	04-09 03:56
nba mem chi 2026 03 16	2	$11.6K	5,830	5,830	+0	Bulls	+$17	03-17 02:28
nba tor det 2026 03 31	4	$11.2K	5,662	5,660	+2	Pistons	+$66	04-01 02:34
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	4	$11.0K	5,538	5,537	+1	Spurs	+$41	04-07 02:33
nba was cle 2026 04 12	2	$11.0K	5,507	5,507	+0	Cavaliers	+$0	04-13 00:19
lal mal ray 2026 04 12 mal	2	$11.0K	5,508	5,507	+1	Yes	+$31	04-12 16:58
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	2	$10.9K	5,432	5,432	+0	Spurs	+$0	04-11 02:17
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	4	$10.8K	5,457	5,457	+0	Celtics	+$104	03-30 00:06
nba tor bos 2026 04 05	2	$10.8K	5,398	5,398	+0	Celtics	+$1	04-05 21:49
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	2	$10.8K	5,410	5,409	+1	Thunder	+$27	04-09 04:27
nba was bkn 2026 04 05	3	$10.7K	5,415	5,347	+68	Nets	-$50	04-05 22:06
nba mia ind 2026 03 29	2	$10.7K	5,341	5,341	+0	Pacers	+$0	03-29 23:20
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 asm	2	$10.7K	5,397	5,397	+0	Yes	+$126	04-05 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:02:40	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5cc97d…
11-01 02:25:03	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x480579…
11-01 02:24:58	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	376	99¢	$372	0xed7680…
11-01 02:24:51	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x813899…
11-01 02:17:46	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9e7f90…
11-01 01:36:58	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	SELL	257	95¢	$244	0xf0c330…
11-01 01:33:46	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	257	91¢	$234	0x894ec6…
11-01 00:48:58	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb734e8…
11-01 00:39:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb63f8…
11-01 00:17:06	Exact Score: Llaneros FC 3 - 1 CDP Junior FC?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x64e42c…
10-31 20:53:48	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xd8c398…
10-31 19:18:24	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x9be66b…
10-31 19:18:22	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7db330…
10-31 15:34:57	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x746757…
10-31 15:31:39	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xff48bd…
10-31 14:21:28	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 4 - 0 Manchester United FC?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x628913…
10-31 13:41:49	Exact Score: Norwich City FC 2 - 2 Watford FC?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xf75fe6…
10-31 13:27:27	Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1f487a…
10-31 04:18:30	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb65d68…
10-31 04:18:30	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x505ede…
10-31 04:02:57	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x5c9894…
10-31 03:53:15	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x955045…
10-31 03:35:21	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe7cc3d…
10-31 02:03:51	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x3a5214…
10-31 01:54:37	Clippers vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	337	98¢	$330	0x151bbb…
10-31 01:39:55	Exact Score: Racing Club 4 - 1 CA Aldosivi?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x207473…
10-31 01:34:01	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8631c8…
10-31 01:20:18	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xc3b9e4…
10-30 19:04:40	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	110	93¢	$103	0x402ef4…
10-30 19:02:27	Exact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x441c49…
10-30 18:59:12	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x242ba2…
10-30 04:10:33	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd8dad4…
10-30 04:02:27	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xe943a6…
10-30 01:21:19	Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x188d64…
10-30 00:47:58	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0x7ec209…
10-30 00:15:27	Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x6077a3…
10-29 23:49:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xf4f43d…
10-29 23:49:09	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x08e5fe…
10-29 21:32:12	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 3 - 3 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	170	93¢	$158	0x6aaa96…
10-29 03:05:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f4ffa…
10-29 02:40:53	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xe55e76…
10-29 01:56:04	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf42be5…
10-29 01:49:41	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	112	92¢	$103	0xab399a…
10-29 01:49:08	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	278	92¢	$256	0x4a0c41…
10-29 01:49:07	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1e7580…
10-29 01:03:11	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5f7362…
10-28 20:10:56	Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 1 SSC Napoli?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x12203c…
10-28 04:08:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1fbb34…
10-28 03:54:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xfa0b7a…
10-28 03:40:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3aa478…
10-28 02:53:21	Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CDPJuniorFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb4ba48…
10-28 02:22:09	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x08756f…
10-28 02:09:32	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xaa6b58…
10-28 02:01:51	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x37d42e…
10-28 01:58:15	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x505d03…
10-28 01:51:54	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x4af5cf…
10-28 01:41:50	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x2492fb…
10-28 01:41:45	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x66c155…
10-28 01:37:30	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0f122c…
10-28 00:34:21	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xebcf44…
10-28 00:29:56	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x55b82a…
10-27 18:36:33	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x12d60b…
10-27 18:35:29	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	225	97¢	$218	0xa27781…
10-27 04:02:32	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x0bf06a…
10-27 03:30:03	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x964df4…
10-27 02:26:20	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x3880a6…
10-27 02:05:59	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x7b3f6c…
10-27 02:05:56	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	386	98¢	$379	0x95b766…
10-27 02:00:36	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xb6e7b7…
10-27 01:32:33	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xf28e2d…
10-27 01:25:11	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xe36e54…
10-27 01:24:14	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x35ee38…
10-27 01:11:30	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xa11b69…
10-26 22:49:21	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x198527…
10-26 22:46:33	Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xc5a577…
10-26 22:23:05	Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	751	99¢	$744	0x91aafa…
10-26 21:53:50	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1aace1…
10-26 20:24:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x26da0e…
10-26 19:27:51	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$2	0xff9869…
10-26 19:16:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x676949…
10-26 19:03:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x0d6619…
10-26 03:27:14	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a2715…
10-26 03:22:00	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x945a1d…
10-26 03:16:50	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xce2e99…
10-26 02:22:47	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	501	94¢	$470	0x784b9c…
10-26 02:08:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x448a8d…
10-26 01:11:48	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfd7e90…
10-26 01:09:33	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a83e7…
10-26 01:06:33	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x7bb8a3…
10-25 23:38:51	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xca45d0…
10-25 22:55:48	Will Alianza FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x586060…
10-25 22:17:39	Exact Score: Alianza FC 1 - 2 Internacional de Bogotá?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68e1e6…
10-25 21:58:56	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x174b53…
10-25 21:55:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e96da…
10-25 21:55:02	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3ec12a…
10-25 18:22:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe9557c…
10-25 14:56:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x5179e1…
10-25 14:54:33	Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xe44a84…
10-25 13:47:05	Exact Score: Athletic Club 2 - 2 Getafe CF?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf418e4…
10-25 03:41:27	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x28433f…