Thorough-Fahrenheit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

879

Trades

4,088

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-03 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 48% +$1

Other

10% 50% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-980	$-55	5¢	$-53	+$2	05-31 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 5m 1772502000	2	$529	355	350	+6	open	—	03-03 01:45
btc updown 5m 1772754300	2	$485	331	326	+5	open	—	03-05 23:50
eth updown 5m 1772612100	2	$305	206	203	+3	open	—	03-04 08:19
xrp updown 5m 1772760000	1	$298	536	0	+536	open	—	03-06 01:19
xrp updown 5m 1772584500	2	$283	188	185	+3	open	—	03-04 00:40
btc updown 5m 1772529900	2	$254	178	175	+3	open	—	03-03 09:27
xrp updown 5m 1772357700	2	$245	168	165	+3	open	—	03-01 09:38
eth updown 5m 1772409600	2	$228	152	150	+2	open	—	03-02 00:04
btc updown 5m 1772838300	2	$227	125	124	+1	open	—	03-06 23:10
sol updown 5m 1772757000	2	$211	143	140	+2	open	—	03-06 00:35
btc updown 5m 1772530200	2	$209	144	142	+2	open	—	03-03 09:32
btc updown 5m 1772835900	2	$193	118	116	+1	open	—	03-06 22:30
xrp updown 5m 1772759700	1	$186	359	0	+359	open	—	03-06 01:14
btc updown 5m 1772751000	2	$176	118	117	+2	open	—	03-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	24	$170	112	112	+0	open	—	06-01 07:52
btc updown 5m 1772728500	2	$165	111	109	+2	open	—	03-05 16:39
btc updown 5m 1772837100	2	$155	81	81	+0	open	—	03-06 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$149	99	99	+0	open	—	05-31 23:20
btc updown 5m 1772838900	2	$137	83	82	+1	open	—	03-06 23:20
btc updown 5m 1772835600	2	$134	80	79	+1	open	—	03-06 22:25
btc updown 5m 1772836500	2	$132	76	75	+1	open	—	03-06 22:40
btc updown 5m 1772575500	2	$129	90	89	+1	open	—	03-03 22:09
btc updown 5m 1772838600	1	$123	211	0	+211	open	—	03-06 23:14
btc updown 5m 1772385300	2	$120	83	82	+1	open	—	03-01 17:18
cbb hamp ncat 2026 02 13	1	$116	140	0	+140	open	—	02-14 05:33
xrp updown 5m 1772411700	2	$115	80	79	+1	open	—	03-02 00:38
btc updown 5m 1772353800	2	$114	80	79	+1	open	—	03-01 08:33
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 5pt5	2	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	02-08 01:34
btc updown 5m 1772840700	2	$93	65	64	+1	open	—	03-06 23:49
btc updown 5m 1772835000	2	$91	56	56	+1	open	—	03-06 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 01:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xfd7891…
06-03 00:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xafb198…
06-03 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa509e3…
06-03 00:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf3fef4…
06-03 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd76c23…
06-03 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff1f77…
06-03 00:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xa1fb9b…
06-03 00:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x6eeba2…
06-03 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x005498…
06-03 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x30c13a…
06-03 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b092e…
06-03 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x10fc35…
06-03 00:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x4d5bbe…
06-03 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdee4cd…
06-03 00:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x5cabcf…
06-03 00:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x70874e…
06-03 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x745958…
06-03 00:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x140505…
06-03 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xbd5b56…
06-03 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa32103…
06-02 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1a297b…
06-02 23:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x0bbf61…
06-02 23:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa15398…
06-02 23:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xcf11ef…
06-02 23:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xba70c8…
06-02 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46802e…
06-02 23:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x505948…
06-02 23:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x737d8f…
06-02 23:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x642d63…
06-02 23:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xbc7560…
06-02 23:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x97a738…
06-02 23:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x172ff4…
06-02 23:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x3621ad…
06-02 23:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xb399ea…
06-02 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ca2a5…
06-02 23:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x321fae…
06-02 23:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xb0d704…
06-02 23:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16c59e…
06-02 23:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xa5a0ff…
06-02 23:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xe3becc…
06-02 23:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x603862…
06-02 23:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xd5180e…
06-02 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xef230f…
06-02 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe21b1e…
06-02 23:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0377a…
06-01 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	107	42¢	$45	0x7e20f0…
06-01 23:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xb950ec…
06-01 22:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9adb19…
06-01 22:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa9241b…
06-01 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc62efc…
06-01 17:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1cc17…
06-01 17:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x666de1…
06-01 17:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xf6688e…
06-01 17:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc33099…
06-01 17:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1622e1…
06-01 16:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c4327…
06-01 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x021e3e…
06-01 16:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9e1f13…
06-01 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa7bd36…
06-01 16:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x32afb7…
06-01 16:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8fdafa…
06-01 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb475dd…
06-01 16:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd6af0…
06-01 16:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x95595f…
06-01 16:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa9aac1…
06-01 16:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf91376…
06-01 16:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x4bda7c…
06-01 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x027580…
06-01 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x509522…
06-01 15:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaa2952…
06-01 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe23c47…
06-01 15:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x365a1f…
06-01 15:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe247c3…
06-01 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xf71e49…
06-01 15:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd416f9…
06-01 15:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ab4bf…
06-01 15:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa64623…
06-01 15:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa925d0…
06-01 14:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa3fa6c…
06-01 14:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xcc755a…
06-01 14:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xc5aa90…
06-01 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xdce9fa…
06-01 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x8f853b…
06-01 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x095692…
06-01 14:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xe71dd5…
06-01 14:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8aff13…
06-01 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1b3d57…
06-01 14:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2e762e…
06-01 14:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4f4315…
06-01 14:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x22590c…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd7bc93…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc9fcb3…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb3d4bf…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xae6c9d…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6ac6af…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4c3d78…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x33ccb7…
06-01 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x1d36e8…
06-01 07:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec2b45…
06-01 07:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xde1ef0…