Noxious-Work — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$793

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$95.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$749

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-02 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$417

Politics

26% 100% +$330

Other

5% 100% +$25

Sports

2% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	06-13 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$4.3K	2,190	2,190	+0	No	+$48	06-18 03:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$4.2K	2,113	2,113	+0	No	+$11	06-15 22:33
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$3.6K	2,336	1,637	+699	No	+$71	03-27 20:31
bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	1	$2.3K	2,304	0	+2,304	Yes	+$16	08-15 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$2.3K	2,289	0	+2,289	No	+$21	07-22 21:29
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.2K	2,265	0	+2,265	No	+$20	07-06 15:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$2.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$70	06-24 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,135	0	+2,135	No	+$15	08-26 19:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$2.1K	2,107	0	+2,107	No	+$32	06-05 23:30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,072	0	+2,072	No	+$32	05-30 12:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$2.0K	2,039	0	+2,039	No	+$14	05-30 01:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	1	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	No	+$6	05-28 01:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,021	0	+2,021	No	+$51	05-26 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	1	$2.0K	1,960	0	+1,960	Yes	+$6	05-24 23:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$1.9K	1,915	0	+1,915	Yes	+$17	05-18 15:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$1.9K	1,895	0	+1,895	No	+$4	05-15 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$1.9K	1,890	0	+1,890	Yes	+$2	05-06 16:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$51	05-20 00:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$1.7K	1,740	0	+1,740	Yes	+$2	05-04 14:24
solana above 70 on february 16	1	$1.6K	1,559	0	+1,559	Yes	+$3	02-16 06:55
ethereum above 2300 on february 15	1	$1.6K	1,556	0	+1,556	No	+$3	02-15 03:25
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$1.6K	1,553	0	+1,553	No	+$2	02-02 06:53
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	1	$1.5K	1,483	0	+1,483	No	+$6	03-14 07:06
bitcoin above 66k on march 13	1	$1.5K	1,478	0	+1,478	Yes	+$4	03-13 06:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	1	$1.4K	1,424	0	+1,424	No	+$3	03-09 12:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	1	$1.4K	1,421	0	+1,421	No	+$4	03-08 02:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	1	$1.4K	1,416	0	+1,416	No	+$17	03-07 04:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 6	1	$1.4K	1,399	0	+1,399	No	+$8	03-06 06:44
bitcoin above 66k on march 5	1	$1.4K	1,391	0	+1,391	Yes	+$6	03-05 05:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 21	1	$1.3K	1,312	0	+1,312	No	+$1	02-21 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 13:19:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0x7b4737…
08-26 19:02:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,135	99¢	$2,120	0xabd6fb…
08-21 12:31:25	bitcoin above 58k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7db4f7…
08-21 12:31:07	bitcoin above 66k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	845	100¢	$843	0x58f2c1…
08-15 13:55:46	bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2,304	99¢	$2,288	0x5dee50…
07-22 21:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,289	99¢	$2,268	0xb055ee…
07-06 15:54:56	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,265	99¢	$2,245	0x684ee4…
07-04 16:19:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	509	99¢	$504	0x308bf1…
07-04 16:19:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	359	99¢	$355	0x8ec529…
06-24 20:04:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,200	97¢	$2,130	0xe38e88…
06-18 03:31:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2,190	99¢	$2,168	0x544139…
06-15 23:35:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,190	97¢	$2,120	0x5d31e4…
06-15 22:33:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	2,113	100¢	$2,111	0x44003f…
06-13 02:39:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2,113	99¢	$2,100	0xe05ceb…
06-13 02:39:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4adc40…
06-05 23:30:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,107	98¢	$2,075	0x2bac18…
05-30 12:05:02	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,072	98¢	$2,040	0x8662ca…
05-30 01:07:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	2,039	99¢	$2,025	0xdee97e…
05-28 01:06:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,000	0x165428…
05-26 15:09:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,021	98¢	$1,970	0xbf2bc1…
05-24 23:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,954	0xd907ac…
05-20 00:33:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	950	97¢	$924	0xf443d4…
05-20 00:33:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	950	97¢	$924	0xd9f757…
05-18 15:30:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,915	99¢	$1,898	0x4a1ab1…
05-16 02:50:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf56301…
05-15 16:02:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x73ef83…
05-15 16:01:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$419	0x68ad96…
05-15 15:52:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cb396…
05-15 15:46:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3e9a0…
05-15 15:46:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x833be4…
05-15 15:44:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0x940116…
05-15 15:30:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7dfd88…
05-06 16:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,890	100¢	$1,888	0x8ccb72…
05-04 14:24:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,740	100¢	$1,738	0x3cb6ff…
05-03 16:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xc4a5a9…
05-03 13:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x319149…
05-02 16:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,241	99¢	$1,234	0x85fa0b…
05-01 05:11:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x434f4a…
05-01 03:36:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x0cc7c0…
05-01 03:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xa79eaf…
05-01 03:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cf422…
05-01 03:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x7c5637…
05-01 03:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0xeb4f43…
04-27 19:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,267	100¢	$1,265	0x9a3d2b…
04-26 13:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	885	100¢	$883	0xe1f149…
04-26 13:30:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$377	0xecd35c…
04-22 18:04:18	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x654b14…
04-22 16:43:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x89a517…
04-22 16:43:22	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x430cb2…
04-18 14:38:16	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 18	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0xb03f31…
04-18 14:37:56	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 18	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xf3270d…
04-18 14:37:48	will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 18	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x86a388…
04-17 01:01:06	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,051	0x1ce097…
04-17 00:34:36	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc8b8eb…
04-15 16:05:28	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,056	0x655e5c…
04-12 01:35:43	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xd11b0f…
04-12 01:35:43	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$410	0x550dde…
04-12 00:29:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	221	99¢	$218	0x254e62…
04-12 00:24:31	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	238	98¢	$235	0xde5de5…
04-12 00:22:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x0f625f…
04-10 14:03:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x1ee2fc…
04-10 14:03:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0xa46f20…
04-10 14:02:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf21ab8…
04-10 14:02:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc7f1b…
04-10 14:02:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x90fbbb…
04-10 14:02:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd1731…
04-10 14:02:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xd361f9…
04-07 13:14:53	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xf1fd64…
04-07 13:14:53	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$96	0xb7508d…
04-01 12:31:59	bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x713249…
04-01 12:31:41	bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x3e6eb9…
03-27 20:31:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	699	97¢	$678	0xfb2c4b…
03-27 10:38:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	680	99¢	$672	0x76207d…
03-25 12:45:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	678	100¢	$676	0xf543e4…
03-24 11:21:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	676	99¢	$672	0x8b81ce…
03-23 10:48:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	No	BUY	672	100¢	$671	0xc77346…
03-22 12:17:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	No	BUY	661	98¢	$649	0x978f74…
03-20 14:39:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	650	99¢	$643	0x1addf7…
03-18 22:33:25	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	573	98¢	$565	0x4fb548…
03-18 19:31:43	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf35138…
03-18 19:08:29	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd809f7…
03-17 10:42:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0754b9…
03-17 10:39:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	639	99¢	$635	0x27df81…
03-16 08:43:23	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	600	94¢	$561	0xeefc1f…
03-16 05:25:55	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0xd08d2f…
03-16 05:24:29	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	98	94¢	$93	0x1061ac…
03-16 05:22:59	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x1f6f9a…
03-16 05:22:05	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xec0d2a…
03-16 05:21:43	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xafc486…
03-14 07:06:45	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	1,483	100¢	$1,478	0x850b2c…
03-13 06:07:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,478	100¢	$1,473	0x2589e6…
03-13 06:06:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,637	90¢	$1,473	0x13797c…
03-10 07:23:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,637	87¢	$1,424	0x723b43…
03-09 12:45:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	No	BUY	1,424	100¢	$1,421	0x7eeda3…
03-08 02:42:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,421	100¢	$1,416	0x753c6f…
03-07 04:28:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	1,416	99¢	$1,399	0x2de052…
03-06 06:44:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 6	No	BUY	1,399	99¢	$1,391	0x905d87…
03-05 05:57:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,391	100¢	$1,385	0xaeec12…
03-05 05:57:01	bitcoin above 76k on march 5	No	SELL	310	97¢	$301	0x66c467…
03-05 05:56:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x23ca95…