Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.75K

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

257

Trades

1,487

lifetime

Volume

$216.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

$18.9K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

78% 44% +$10,961

Politics

13% 38% +$5,639

Sports

4% 20% -$3,530

Tech

4% 100% +$900

Crypto

2% 0% -$1,478

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+11,000	$8,910	98¢	$10.8K	+$1,897	06-03 18:49
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+108,534	$351	7¢	$8.0K	+$7,681	10-08 19:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-5,000	-$275	2¢	$-102	+$172	07-02 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	26	$19.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	-$5,924	06-19 20:55
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$10.6K	12,532	0	+12,532	No	+$1,933	03-10 09:49
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	205	$8.9K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	06-03 18:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	4	$8.1K	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	+$900	05-31 13:44
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	17	$7.9K	14,425	4,715	+9,710	No	+$4,507	02-09 14:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$6.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$3,589	05-24 08:37
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	12	$6.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	Belgium	+$5,674	07-01 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5.5K	4,615	4,615	+0	No	-$481	04-18 07:18
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$5.5K	7,539	7,539	+0	No	-$497	03-23 08:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$5.3K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	-$5,274	10-25 21:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$3.7K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$3,720	09-11 12:30
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	4	$3.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$1,500	03-29 08:06
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	4	$2.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$3,360	09-16 19:37
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	11	$2.3K	3,742	0	+3,742	Yes	+$1,422	01-01 07:56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$2.3K	2,372	2,372	+0	Yes	-$746	04-19 21:28
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$2.2K	0	4,000	-4,000	Yes	-$1,800	02-09 12:15
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	15	$2.2K	4,248	0	+4,248	Yes	-$67	05-01 08:08
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$2.0K	2,592	0	+2,592	No	+$592	04-01 15:53
acn sen egy 2026 01 14 total 1pt5	3	$1.5K	2,000	895	+1,105	Under	-$535	01-14 17:38
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	2	$1.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$1,310	10-02 16:25
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$740	05-16 21:02
will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$1.2K	3,286	0	+3,286	No	+$2,071	01-06 07:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$786	07-14 08:37
Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5	5	$1.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	Over	+$1,800	09-17 19:24
Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	10	$1.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	Under	-$1,175	09-27 16:17
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$1,160	06-26 10:34
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$1.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$442	04-14 19:13
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$1.1K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$1,120	04-14 19:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	40	$1.0K	6,979	0	+6,979	Yes	+$5,932	01-06 06:20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.0K	4,800	0	+4,800	No	-$1,037	07-14 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:58:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,961	59¢	$1,149	0x4710f3…
10-13 12:16:08	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	625	54¢	$338	0x83b373…
10-13 12:11:11	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x38dfc1…
10-13 12:08:11	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7dc04d…
10-13 11:56:50	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	251	52¢	$131	0x4bb6b7…
10-13 11:43:47	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0xc38b2c…
10-13 11:42:25	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x20ca67…
10-13 11:42:02	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x01e33a…
10-08 19:09:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,368	0¢	$7	0x21a210…
10-08 19:08:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x488f0d…
10-08 19:07:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x418ff6…
10-08 18:00:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xeec1bb…
10-08 17:56:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xe69f33…
10-08 17:55:05	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xff3288…
10-08 17:54:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x4c17ea…
10-08 16:36:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xded0e4…
10-08 16:26:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x0afbb8…
10-08 16:25:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xdc02fa…
10-08 11:43:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x56be39…
10-08 11:42:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x047564…
10-08 11:35:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xb89a61…
10-08 11:29:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x4bda0c…
10-08 10:43:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xb4cd8e…
10-08 10:42:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xd78e20…
10-08 10:28:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x9d8f81…
10-08 10:04:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xb2a3b1…
10-08 10:03:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xfdddec…
10-08 08:49:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x71d911…
10-08 05:33:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x2fd521…
10-08 05:24:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0xd57f55…
10-07 23:23:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xa9b851…
10-07 21:34:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x01661c…
10-07 21:23:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x708fdc…
10-07 21:22:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0xe4b882…
10-07 17:22:43	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0x1cfe58…
10-07 17:12:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x761f10…
10-07 14:58:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x51331e…
10-07 14:56:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x0d32e0…
10-07 14:56:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x7b7f80…
10-07 14:54:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xb49221…
10-07 14:42:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xac50b4…
10-07 14:41:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x8c7a4b…
10-07 14:34:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0xbe72f9…
10-07 14:34:02	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x49cbc7…
10-07 14:33:01	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$3	0xac85c7…
10-06 15:15:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0x282ca5…
10-06 15:10:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xc17319…
10-06 15:10:00	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$3	0xb3606e…
10-06 15:08:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0x76a70e…
10-06 14:40:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x997963…
10-06 14:39:59	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x74578a…
10-06 14:25:09	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,142	0¢	$41	0xdd5412…
10-03 17:55:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,039	59¢	$4,125	0x897411…
10-02 16:25:20	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0x899ab5…
10-02 16:09:35	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xa74617…
10-01 20:03:53	Israel vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2,000	31¢	$620	0xea039b…
09-27 20:08:32	Germany vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,780	32¢	$570	0x28326c…
09-27 20:08:09	Germany vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xd8032c…
09-27 20:08:05	Germany vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	170	32¢	$54	0x89ea64…
09-27 18:33:02	unl ger grc 2026 09 27 ags andrews tetteh 90145615	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xa6cf56…
09-27 18:30:50	unl ger grc 2026 09 27 ags andrews tetteh 90145615	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xa2703a…
09-27 16:17:26	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	498	47¢	$234	0xddd8f6…
09-27 16:17:26	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xd24ef3…
09-27 16:17:24	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x285479…
09-27 16:17:24	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x2078fd…
09-27 16:17:23	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	566	47¢	$266	0x9d058d…
09-27 16:17:23	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x0c0438…
09-27 16:17:21	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x7701da…
09-27 16:17:21	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x5304f0…
09-27 16:17:20	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	377	47¢	$177	0xa7bd9f…
09-27 16:17:20	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	377	47¢	$177	0x374355…
09-27 08:25:42	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	768	0¢	$3	0x115cf6…
09-27 08:17:51	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	644	0¢	$3	0xf5b176…
09-26 22:35:44	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12,686	0¢	$51	0xbc2e88…
09-26 16:48:48	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	291	34¢	$99	0xa03867…
09-26 16:48:45	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x3e79b3…
09-26 16:48:39	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	346	34¢	$118	0xbecab8…
09-26 16:48:38	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x01cd7c…
09-26 16:48:30	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x679009…
09-26 16:48:27	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	463	34¢	$158	0x3d30b7…
09-26 14:35:14	Slovenia vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2,000	48¢	$960	0xb3451d…
09-26 06:02:06	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,674	0¢	$5	0x32c4ae…
09-25 18:48:39	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf68fb4…
09-25 18:48:36	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$12	0x5c2f41…
09-25 18:11:38	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xee8382…
09-25 18:11:36	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,906	0¢	$8	0xe92aa3…
09-25 03:35:44	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$0	0xadbf4a…
09-25 03:35:11	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$0	0x26e273…
09-24 16:37:02	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	825	42¢	$347	0x2ad38a…
09-24 16:33:33	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x21b1f6…
09-24 16:33:11	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	93	42¢	$39	0x92b898…
09-24 16:32:57	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc6a00a…
09-24 16:32:41	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	208	42¢	$87	0xab3218…
09-24 16:21:35	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0x61e73c…
09-24 16:20:54	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18,540	0¢	$19	0x748f6e…
09-20 15:27:25	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	1,110	48¢	$533	0x179788…
09-20 15:26:25	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	544	48¢	$261	0x0c01fe…
09-20 15:26:09	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	251	48¢	$121	0xae9da4…
09-20 15:26:07	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0xd13474…
09-17 19:24:58	Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7b1ae0…