Annual-Earthquake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

226

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$695

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-04 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$2	205	+205	Down	$-2	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	$-2	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	8	+8	Up	$-2	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-03 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$2	13	+13	Down	$-2	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-03 21:49
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-03 12:21
btc updown 5m 1780524000	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-03 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 08:06
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-27 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-03 12:01
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-27 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-04 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-27 21:36
xrp updown 5m 1780526100	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-03 22:36
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 01:51
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-28 03:26
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-27 15:22
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-27 11:36
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 12:16
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 07:17
btc updown 5m 1780527600	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-03 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:26:03	hype updown 5m 1780532700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0afdd6…
06-04 00:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x015380…
06-04 00:12:03	sol updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4e1829…
06-04 00:06:03	xrp updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xa026e6…
06-03 23:51:03	xrp updown 5m 1780530600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa403f8…
06-03 23:51:03	hype updown 5m 1780530600	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4f9430…
06-03 23:21:03	xrp updown 5m 1780528800	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7cf588…
06-03 23:16:03	xrp updown 5m 1780528500	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x2d4d89…
06-03 23:11:04	btc updown 5m 1780528200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3f3248…
06-03 23:01:04	xrp updown 5m 1780527600	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03a231…
06-03 23:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780527600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x151f37…
06-03 22:56:03	xrp updown 5m 1780527300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbcb03c…
06-03 22:51:03	hype updown 5m 1780527000	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa9494b…
06-03 22:46:03	hype updown 5m 1780526700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd44975…
06-03 22:36:03	xrp updown 5m 1780526100	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf922be…
06-03 22:31:04	xrp updown 5m 1780525800	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x611b33…
06-03 22:27:03	eth updown 5m 1780525500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb6130c…
06-03 22:26:03	xrp updown 5m 1780525500	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdabaa2…
06-03 22:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5f7fb1…
06-03 22:01:04	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x21f2d3…
06-03 21:57:03	sol updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e38ec…
06-03 21:56:03	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xff7b56…
06-03 21:56:03	hype updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd28aa2…
06-03 21:52:03	sol updown 5m 1780523400	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x277045…
06-03 21:37:03	eth updown 5m 1780522500	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5517b0…
06-03 21:36:03	hype updown 5m 1780522500	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x200a92…
06-03 21:21:03	hype updown 5m 1780521600	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf5e979…
06-03 21:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780521600	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe017eb…
06-03 21:21:03	xrp updown 5m 1780521600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb1fb3e…
06-03 21:01:04	xrp updown 5m 1780520400	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb83fa3…
06-03 21:01:04	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb178cb…
06-03 20:56:03	hype updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb14ae2…
06-03 20:52:03	sol updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3f01a3…
06-03 20:51:03	xrp updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb64c34…
06-03 20:51:03	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa3c562…
06-03 20:47:03	sol updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x32d5fe…
06-03 20:46:03	btc updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb699f4…
06-03 20:36:03	hype updown 5m 1780518900	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb7a2cf…
06-03 20:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4e5b9a…
06-03 20:31:04	xrp updown 5m 1780518600	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe4ff76…
06-03 20:06:03	xrp updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5e4db6…
06-03 19:57:03	eth updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x4b9efb…
06-03 19:56:04	hype updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x002c67…
06-03 19:56:03	xrp updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4959d9…
06-03 19:56:03	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1e001e…
05-28 04:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae3d3a…
05-28 03:32:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x042879…
05-28 03:31:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf198c6…
05-28 03:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x88c852…
05-28 03:27:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9d27a…
05-28 03:26:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc2fc9d…
05-28 03:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4f81af…
05-28 03:21:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x2f106e…
05-28 03:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdf79f9…
05-28 02:32:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1bfe86…
05-28 01:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x913919…
05-28 01:36:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x54a223…
05-28 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2cf54c…
05-27 23:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x624d46…
05-27 22:27:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdb9550…
05-27 22:21:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x89f08f…
05-27 22:06:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x16ac64…
05-27 21:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e572d…
05-27 21:51:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa87f1a…
05-27 21:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x75989b…
05-27 21:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd2be06…
05-27 20:16:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x257204…
05-27 19:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4bddef…
05-27 19:16:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe847ec…
05-27 18:12:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa69dda…
05-27 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x46054d…
05-27 18:01:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x656cde…
05-27 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb72c32…
05-27 17:36:03	xrp updown 5m 1779903300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x80af47…
05-27 17:31:02	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbdf2b3…
05-27 17:16:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf62913…
05-27 16:56:02	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe391f1…
05-27 16:22:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe36ab2…
05-27 15:47:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1c26a8…
05-27 15:26:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x63732c…
05-27 15:22:04	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc59ab4…
05-27 15:11:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5dde87…
05-27 14:57:02	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xca4b0b…
05-27 14:17:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x159fde…
05-27 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4ce246…
05-27 14:12:04	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1b8cc5…
05-27 13:56:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x718196…
05-27 13:47:04	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6701e5…
05-27 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb717e5…
05-27 13:26:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x96406e…
05-27 13:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xea5f82…
05-27 11:36:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x093ced…
05-27 11:01:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x63d10d…
05-27 10:31:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc5a59f…
05-12 16:52:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x928e99…
05-12 16:31:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe8370a…
05-12 16:16:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x13ec72…
05-12 16:07:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x747ed5…
05-12 15:37:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfbc845…
05-12 14:57:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbafa79…