Runny-Precedence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

5,160

Trades

13,553

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 08-21 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% +$260

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	2	$80	119	111	+8	Down	+$86	06-15 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	2	$46	46	43	+3	Down	+$43	08-20 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:20 UTC	2	$38	40	37	+3	Up	+$38	06-25 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:25 UTC	2	$38	40	37	+3	Down	+$38	06-06 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:05 UTC	2	$36	37	35	+3	Down	+$36	08-10 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:35 UTC	2	$36	37	35	+3	Down	+$35	08-07 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:30 UTC	8	$34	65	61	+4	Up	+$29	06-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	28	$32	42	40	+1	Down	$0	05-15 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$32	32	30	+2	Up	+$29	05-15 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	26	$30	42	41	+1	Down	$0	05-15 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$30	58	55	+4	Up	+$21	05-20 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	20	$30	42	40	+2	Down	+$7	05-18 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$29	40	37	+3	Down	+$27	05-27 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	24	$29	37	37	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	2	$29	30	28	+2	Up	+$28	07-23 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	10	$28	97	91	+6	Up	+$23	06-04 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$27	107	101	+7	Down	+$9	05-18 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	4	$27	49	46	+3	Down	+$26	06-16 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	22	$27	28	27	+1	Down	+$1	05-18 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	2	$26	30	28	+2	Up	+$26	06-08 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	23	$26	48	46	+2	Up	+$0	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	22	$26	34	32	+1	Down	+$0	05-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	2	$26	24	23	+2	Down	+$21	08-21 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	16	$25	42	40	+2	Down	+$9	05-18 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	2	$25	24	23	+1	Up	+$21	08-14 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	4	$25	44	41	+3	Down	+$20	06-25 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 23:55 UTC	4	$25	28	26	+2	Up	+$22	06-05 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	2	$24	23	22	+1	Down	+$20	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:15 UTC	2	$24	23	22	+1	Up	+$20	08-20 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	2	$24	23	22	+1	Up	+$20	08-21 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 21:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x0a5653…
08-21 21:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xec8dd3…
08-21 21:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xbcebd3…
08-21 21:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x3a631c…
08-21 21:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x2d7ed6…
08-21 21:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xd0a7d9…
08-21 21:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x7e2a06…
08-21 20:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x794e94…
08-21 20:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	299	1¢	$3	0xc93957…
08-21 20:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd581e5…
08-21 20:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x249ac6…
08-21 20:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf64715…
08-21 19:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x84f57c…
08-21 19:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x426789…
08-21 19:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x5901ec…
08-21 19:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x42b92c…
08-21 19:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x15364d…
08-21 18:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x868797…
08-21 18:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x487147…
08-21 18:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf08b72…
08-21 18:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x59a305…
08-21 18:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x11721e…
08-21 18:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x4b5af9…
08-21 18:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x265393…
08-21 18:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe1c835…
08-21 18:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1270ef…
08-21 18:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x000d95…
08-21 18:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x0501b6…
08-21 18:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x2a1abf…
08-21 17:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1b1027…
08-21 17:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x5112b5…
08-21 17:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x00d1ed…
08-21 17:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xf5bee1…
08-21 17:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xeea7dc…
08-21 17:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x3a9b30…
08-21 17:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x7e62cb…
08-21 17:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xfdeb2b…
08-21 17:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x126f01…
08-21 17:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xdb2284…
08-21 16:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x28631b…
08-21 16:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xcce283…
08-21 16:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2bdf89…
08-21 15:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x67f99e…
08-21 15:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xd08fa7…
08-21 15:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3c7cdd…
08-21 15:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x06e9b3…
08-21 15:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x060604…
08-21 14:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3151f4…
08-21 14:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1c44ed…
08-21 14:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xed5e93…
08-21 14:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xaf6431…
08-21 14:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x2088a8…
08-21 14:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xbb980d…
08-21 14:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x10f6b1…
08-21 14:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x25ce40…
08-21 14:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x713dd2…
08-21 13:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb46193…
08-21 13:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x6009af…
08-21 13:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x8a8bdd…
08-21 13:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x9185ef…
08-21 13:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x2bb597…
08-21 13:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xaf4b4b…
08-21 13:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa12c4b…
08-21 13:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x12e47c…
08-21 13:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x436903…
08-21 12:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x3531a5…
08-21 12:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x957800…
08-21 12:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa99540…
08-21 12:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x375750…
08-21 12:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xeb0a0b…
08-21 12:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x74358d…
08-21 12:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xe47322…
08-21 12:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6a5431…
08-21 11:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8c992c…
08-21 11:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x55719d…
08-21 11:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xfeb2f0…
08-21 11:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x05c460…
08-21 11:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x8d9102…
08-21 11:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xf80d7d…
08-21 11:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x2fa600…
08-21 11:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x76bfd9…
08-21 11:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa38729…
08-21 11:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x5a1d50…
08-21 11:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x42b2d1…
08-21 11:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	299	1¢	$3	0x7d550d…
08-21 11:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xdbfd50…
08-21 11:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x879599…
08-21 10:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0x88c6c5…
08-21 10:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x4b404d…
08-21 10:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x6f1ef5…
08-21 10:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc8aea4…
08-21 10:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x33f8b7…
08-21 10:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x12057c…
08-21 10:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xa3eccd…
08-21 10:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x31f7df…
08-21 10:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x96d981…
08-21 10:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x16b9ef…
08-21 10:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xb8bce2…
08-21 10:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x32ede6…
08-21 10:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xdbed42…