Critical-Earnings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down		+5	$3	100¢	$5	+$2	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up		+4	$3	99¢	$4	+$1	05-05 19:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	$-3	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	Down	$-3	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$3	9	+9	open	—	05-05 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd61d2f…
05-05 19:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x84617d…
05-05 12:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x640457…
05-05 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x71ea71…
05-05 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xced284…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3ac761…
05-05 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1792da…
05-04 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9ffbcc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$3.42K	69	05-05 19:21
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	7	$1.93K	37	05-05 19:23
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	7	$523	37	05-05 19:23
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	5	$1.51K	43	05-05 19:24
Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f	3	$521	4	05-05 19:28