Candid-Efficacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-12 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 50% +$45

Other

19% 50% $-114

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$200	153	153	+0	Down	+$100	05-12 13:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	3	$165	304	304	+0	Andrey Rublev	$-135	05-12 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$79	54	54	+0	Up	+$29	05-12 13:39
btc updown 5m 1773168000	2	$78	49	48	+1	open	—	03-10 18:45
btc updown 5m 1773747000	5	$78	57	57	+0	open	—	03-17 11:35
btc updown 5m 1773768000	2	$75	46	46	+1	open	—	03-17 17:24
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvili	2	$61	41	41	+0	Basilashvili	+$21	05-12 16:22
btc updown 5m 1773167700	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$58	34	34	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 13:56
btc updown 5m 1773168300	1	$48	114	0	+114	open	—	03-10 18:48
btc updown 5m 1773166200	2	$46	29	29	+0	open	—	03-10 18:15
btc updown 5m 1773772800	1	$45	168	0	+168	open	—	03-17 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$40	117	0	+117	Up	$-40	05-12 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$37	90	0	+90	Up	$-37	05-12 13:44
btc updown 5m 1773746400	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	03-17 11:25
btc updown 5m 1773165600	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-10 18:06
btc updown 5m 1773768300	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	03-17 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$15	146	0	+146	Up	$-15	05-12 17:16
btc updown 5m 1773767100	1	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 17:05
btc updown 5m 1773766800	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 17:05
nba sas uta 2026 01 22 total 236pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	01-22 19:21
btc updown 5m 1773765600	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	03-17 16:43
uel bol1 cel3 2026 01 22 bol1	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-22 19:20
btc updown 5m 1773766200	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0x2bfe99…
05-12 17:14:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	304	5¢	$15	0x333904…
05-12 17:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0xe165e7…
05-12 16:22:00	Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvili	Basilashvili	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfc87e9…
05-12 15:41:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc830b4…
05-12 15:26:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x0a0d9d…
05-12 15:26:38	Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvili	Basilashvili	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x15d2bc…
05-12 13:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0xd22f51…
05-12 13:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x2817f1…
05-12 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	153	98¢	$150	0x28090a…
05-12 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x94be5b…
05-12 13:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0x2ea92e…
05-12 13:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc5ed1c…
05-12 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc9d8ba…
05-12 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa0c662…
05-12 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x50c43f…
05-12 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x415fc2…
05-12 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x76b820…
03-17 18:40:59	btc updown 5m 1773772800	Up	BUY	168	27¢	$45	0xc8309e…
03-17 17:26:13	btc updown 5m 1773768300	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xb4f6df…
03-17 17:24:57	btc updown 5m 1773768000	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x7497a0…
03-17 17:22:03	btc updown 5m 1773768000	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xbc9071…
03-17 17:05:57	btc updown 5m 1773767100	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x575fb5…
03-17 17:05:13	btc updown 5m 1773766800	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x02c3b0…
03-17 17:02:23	btc updown 5m 1773766800	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xbb87ee…
03-17 16:55:01	btc updown 5m 1773766200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10fd9c…
03-17 16:53:03	btc updown 5m 1773766200	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8cbf50…
03-17 16:43:51	btc updown 5m 1773765600	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa7ba03…
03-17 11:35:23	btc updown 5m 1773747000	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x971665…
03-17 11:32:53	btc updown 5m 1773747000	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x670ddb…
03-17 11:32:51	btc updown 5m 1773747000	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xe9e440…
03-17 11:32:51	btc updown 5m 1773747000	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x929500…
03-17 11:31:05	btc updown 5m 1773747000	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x9a52df…
03-17 11:25:25	btc updown 5m 1773746400	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1d0e04…
03-17 11:23:11	btc updown 5m 1773746400	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5a3b6d…
03-10 18:48:03	btc updown 5m 1773168300	Down	BUY	114	42¢	$48	0x3fc94a…
03-10 18:45:27	btc updown 5m 1773168000	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x8e7cef…
03-10 18:42:29	btc updown 5m 1773168000	Down	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x3823ff…
03-10 18:41:41	btc updown 5m 1773167700	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdb79b6…
03-10 18:38:39	btc updown 5m 1773167700	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x050ee6…
03-10 18:15:29	btc updown 5m 1773166200	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x05367f…
03-10 18:10:37	btc updown 5m 1773166200	Down	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0xa13155…
03-10 18:06:57	btc updown 5m 1773165600	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd0607c…
03-10 18:03:43	btc updown 5m 1773165600	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x275687…
01-22 19:21:38	nba sas uta 2026 01 22 total 236pt5	Over	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x35cfc7…
01-22 19:20:46	uel bol1 cel3 2026 01 22 bol1	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x22ced4…