Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$610

Open exposure

$73

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-21 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Sports

85% 56% +$44,753

Other

12% 65% +$295

Politics

2% 50% +$117

Tech

1% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+104	$67	70¢	$73	+$7	10-21 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	15	$21.7K	41,000	0	+41,000	Bears	+$19,270	09-28 15:02
Rams vs. Broncos	1	$13.4K	26,888	0	+26,888	Broncos	+$13,444	09-28 00:05
nfl ne jax 2026 09 27	1	$7.9K	13,444	0	+13,444	Jaguars	+$5,512	09-27 06:43
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5	1	$4.4K	7,932	0	+7,932	Over	+$3,569	09-24 02:56
Bengals vs. Texans	1	$1.8K	4,363	0	+4,363	Bengals	+$2,530	09-20 14:37
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1.7K	1,718	0	+1,718	No	+$34	03-06 06:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	12	$1.3K	1,399	0	+1,399	Yes	+$76	01-15 12:56
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	No	+$53	01-07 04:12
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$1.1K	1,181	0	+1,181	No	+$48	03-17 04:31
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,177	0	+1,177	No	+$86	02-11 07:14
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$1.1K	1,830	0	+1,830	Yes	+$768	09-13 08:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$737	8,782	8,782	+0	Yes	+$282	02-13 12:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$509	521	0	+521	Yes	+$12	02-16 05:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$192	221	0	+221	No	+$29	03-26 12:44
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$179	4,303	0	+4,303	No	-$179	03-17 04:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$117	230	0	+230	Atlanta Braves	-$117	04-19 02:25
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	1	$117	243	0	+243	Michigan Wolverines	-$117	04-03 04:39
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	1	$116	151	0	+151	Yes	+$35	03-17 03:47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$113	231	0	+231	Milwaukee Brewers	+$118	05-22 02:24
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$112	230	0	+230	San Diego Padres	+$117	04-25 04:47
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$106	226	0	+226	Chicago White Sox	-$106	05-27 03:08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$106	220	0	+220	No	+$114	05-08 07:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	7	$104	221	0	+221	No	+$117	05-01 06:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$93	106	0	+106	Yes	+$14	10-21 03:26
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$90	230	0	+230	Yes	+$140	04-13 06:52
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$88	252	0	+252	Avalanche	-$88	05-13 02:30
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$83	127	0	+127	Knicks	-$83	06-11 07:54
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	8	$80	2,119	0	+2,119	No	-$80	02-05 11:07
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	1	$76	131	0	+131	Boston Red Sox	-$76	06-05 06:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$75	152	0	+152	No	-$75	08-06 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 07:13:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	104	64¢	$67	0x93a96c…
10-21 03:26:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	87¢	$93	0x93aa01…
09-28 15:02:39	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x9f7e7f…
09-28 14:47:39	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	1,484	53¢	$786	0x9e784f…
09-28 14:47:36	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1801bb…
09-28 14:20:24	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	17,297	53¢	$9,168	0x60a8cd…
09-28 14:17:45	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4e259a…
09-28 14:14:48	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7f3bdc…
09-28 14:12:57	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	348	53¢	$184	0xda5c7a…
09-28 14:12:57	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	1,190	53¢	$631	0xbbf67e…
09-28 14:10:50	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x19d77a…
09-28 14:10:41	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	426	53¢	$226	0x7d7a6d…
09-28 14:10:14	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	2,470	53¢	$1,309	0x4b65a3…
09-28 14:10:08	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd38a54…
09-28 14:06:15	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x807063…
09-28 14:06:14	Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Bears	BUY	14,663	53¢	$7,771	0xe5eaea…
09-28 00:05:39	Rams vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	26,888	50¢	$13,444	0x125e35…
09-27 06:43:30	nfl ne jax 2026 09 27	Jaguars	BUY	13,444	59¢	$7,932	0x2fcdab…
09-24 02:56:41	Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	7,932	55¢	$4,363	0xaf0446…
09-20 14:37:51	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	BUY	4,363	42¢	$1,832	0x4a76b6…
09-13 08:04:40	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,830	58¢	$1,061	0x24e20b…
08-06 15:30:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	152	49¢	$75	0xc385da…
07-24 12:41:45	mlb laa sf 2026 07 24	San Francisco Giants	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0x65961d…
07-06 09:15:53	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	144	51¢	$73	0x6bf1a3…
07-01 02:58:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	153	47¢	$72	0x7edc7c…
06-24 03:42:13	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24	Athletics	BUY	132	55¢	$73	0x1ecd02…
06-16 07:36:51	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	221	32¢	$71	0x7b19f9…
06-11 07:54:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	127	65¢	$83	0x7addfa…
06-05 06:12:18	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	New York Yankees	BUY	131	58¢	$76	0xc7f622…
05-27 03:08:52	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	226	47¢	$106	0x9b894f…
05-22 02:24:05	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	231	49¢	$113	0xb2eafd…
05-13 02:30:35	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	252	35¢	$88	0x735605…
05-08 07:26:53	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	220	48¢	$106	0x9817ad…
05-01 06:53:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5649fe…
05-01 06:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x0b6834…
05-01 06:15:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xbdb9a6…
05-01 06:14:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xadc458…
05-01 06:10:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	189	47¢	$89	0x41db04…
05-01 06:03:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xdadc8d…
05-01 05:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b24ba…
04-25 04:47:32	San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Diego Padres	BUY	230	49¢	$112	0x9cd599…
04-19 02:25:30	Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	230	51¢	$117	0x9dffe3…
04-13 06:52:03	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	230	39¢	$90	0x7e4b24…
04-03 04:39:03	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	243	48¢	$117	0x7dc7ce…
03-26 12:44:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	221	87¢	$192	0x799453…
03-17 04:31:41	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	1,181	96¢	$1,133	0xc56e49…
03-17 04:19:21	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb7c293…
03-17 04:09:37	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xf9ebb5…
03-17 03:55:03	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,979	4¢	$166	0xd20d0c…
03-17 03:54:23	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xaa39c3…
03-17 03:48:21	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x4ba0b4…
03-17 03:47:35	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x904bf1…
03-17 03:47:15	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	Yes	BUY	151	77¢	$116	0x8372e2…
03-06 06:41:59	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,718	98¢	$1,684	0xbfdc5f…
02-16 05:07:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	521	98¢	$509	0x6549fd…
02-13 12:55:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8,782	6¢	$509	0x5d1b74…
02-11 07:14:59	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,177	93¢	$1,091	0x844199…
02-05 11:07:09	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	1,302	4¢	$50	0x4b2964…
02-05 11:03:33	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$4	0x388ead…
02-05 11:02:47	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0xc866a0…
02-05 11:02:33	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x4730c0…
02-05 11:02:05	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	145	4¢	$5	0xe5ad8b…
02-05 11:01:11	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$4	0xe18443…
02-05 11:00:59	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xde64ba…
02-05 11:00:45	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x892b44…
02-04 09:29:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	155	2¢	$4	0x5d80e2…
02-04 09:28:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0x665916…
02-04 09:25:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x18c448…
02-04 09:24:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	556	2¢	$14	0x996c3c…
02-04 09:23:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1b7d02…
02-04 09:21:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0xb329a0…
02-04 09:18:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfaee65…
02-04 09:18:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8ad2ee…
02-04 09:18:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcc264d…
02-04 09:17:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6f6f0a…
02-04 09:13:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9ab33b…
02-04 09:03:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	507	2¢	$13	0x211d11…
02-04 08:52:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x1a4213…
02-04 08:50:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfcd359…
02-04 08:49:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa3cfb4…
02-04 08:49:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x25d26a…
02-04 08:42:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe488c8…
02-04 08:38:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3cc2ba…
02-04 08:35:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xca4ea5…
02-04 08:32:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	6,918	3¢	$181	0x07f99d…
01-15 12:56:50	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	365	95¢	$345	0xeccb39…
01-15 12:56:14	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x805fc7…
01-15 12:30:56	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0xd4bc37…
01-15 12:28:08	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	408	95¢	$386	0xdbda24…
01-15 12:27:32	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e6540…
01-15 12:27:00	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbbd74a…
01-15 12:24:38	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xad0042…
01-15 12:24:32	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa6245f…
01-15 12:23:10	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x19e7a6…
01-15 12:16:58	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x5edabd…
01-15 12:16:38	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6776bd…
01-15 12:16:28	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	380	95¢	$359	0x2979aa…
01-07 04:12:11	maduro mugshot released by january 9	No	BUY	1,324	96¢	$1,271	0x952a93…