Noteworthy-Scarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

690

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-20 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% — —

Other

24% 0% $-68

Politics

9% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	39	$1.5K	1,998	1,152	+846	open	—	04-01 02:10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$886	660	660	+0	open	—	02-22 18:49
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	5	$817	509	506	+3	open	—	03-20 05:48
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	12	$801	820	600	+220	open	—	03-22 14:06
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	38	$789	703	300	+403	open	—	03-31 03:14
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	17	$782	1,502	585	+917	open	—	04-05 10:53
ethereum up or down on april 6 2026	11	$776	1,303	10	+1,293	open	—	04-06 01:17
ethereum up or down april 2 2026 3pm et	5	$770	608	298	+310	open	—	04-02 19:51
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 10am et	4	$746	765	0	+765	open	—	04-02 14:45
ethereum up or down on april 4 2026	6	$589	611	195	+416	open	—	04-04 15:36
Will Apple dip to $216 in April?	3	$556	650	0	+650	open	—	04-09 13:47
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	11	$488	400	400	+0	open	—	03-06 12:26
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	3	$468	650	0	+650	open	—	04-05 15:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 3	1	$449	504	0	+504	open	—	04-03 09:24
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	16	$406	616	476	+140	open	—	03-24 19:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$369	506	0	+506	open	—	04-07 22:58
tsla above 430 on february 27 2026	8	$337	441	250	+191	open	—	02-09 21:14
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$328	199	199	+0	open	—	02-09 10:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$319	384	219	+165	open	—	03-27 07:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	11	$313	104	309	-205	open	—	03-23 14:11
will trump visit china by march 31	13	$313	470	469	+1	open	—	03-17 09:19
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$293	271	271	+0	open	—	03-22 13:05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	3	$275	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 10:02
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	6	$268	158	158	+0	open	—	01-16 03:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$257	298	140	+158	open	—	03-30 15:58
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	2	$239	370	0	+370	open	—	03-20 07:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$236	513	12	+501	open	—	04-07 23:00
ethereum up or down on april 9 2026	9	$235	359	0	+359	open	—	04-09 15:55
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$229	155	155	+0	open	—	03-13 03:58
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	13	$227	556	330	+226	open	—	03-31 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xea8faa…
05-20 13:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xcdf292…
05-20 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xc2b1b1…
05-20 13:18:12	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xdef3b8…
05-20 13:03:48	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc822de…
05-20 12:46:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x85f1df…
05-20 12:46:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x47d5a5…
05-20 06:11:39	BNB Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7afefa…
05-20 05:40:05	BNB Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x14c712…
05-20 05:38:24	BNB Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf13512…
05-20 05:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xf659f5…
05-20 01:42:17	Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	71	62¢	$44	0xea7511…
05-20 01:31:37	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0x243bbf…
05-20 01:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x1a7db1…
05-18 16:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x831173…
05-18 16:07:38	BNB Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0x72d436…
05-18 15:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x7bd518…
05-18 15:39:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x1b99c1…
05-05 14:15:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	68	45¢	$31	0x4f02ca…
05-05 13:48:54	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in May?	No	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0xafc61f…
05-05 13:32:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May?	No	BUY	72	19¢	$14	0x150fa4…
05-05 12:41:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbe3582…
05-05 12:38:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x61632b…
05-05 10:18:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf50def…
05-05 10:18:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	87	93¢	$81	0xf126e7…
05-05 06:10:02	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xae708b…
05-05 05:28:12	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x39fda5…
05-05 04:01:32	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcb9973…
05-05 03:59:58	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3a0801…
05-05 03:42:36	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x731e8b…
05-05 00:19:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	85	61¢	$52	0x8925c3…
05-05 00:17:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x223afc…
05-05 00:17:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	102	62¢	$63	0x15015b…
05-04 19:18:58	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xbeb23e…
05-04 15:22:28	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0xae08c4…
05-04 15:21:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xeb6485…
05-04 15:21:20	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0x6002c9…
05-04 15:19:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x75494a…
05-04 14:48:18	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x7c3874…
05-04 14:21:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc27168…
05-04 14:02:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1937f0…
05-04 14:01:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	58¢	$29	0x5b4b72…
05-04 13:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x6ed6f0…
05-04 13:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe07554…
05-04 13:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb566f7…
05-04 13:40:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x7848be…
05-04 13:39:34	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xbd8c21…
05-04 13:37:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9e72fc…
05-04 13:36:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe87c8a…
05-04 13:34:06	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xcb2219…
05-04 13:30:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xd93303…
05-04 10:10:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	69	23¢	$16	0x22c9f2…
05-04 07:51:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5a4790…
05-04 07:49:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x80ae39…
05-04 03:36:08	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x0f1eee…
05-04 01:13:50	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0xc640e1…
05-04 00:37:18	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf8c51c…
05-04 00:36:54	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbc6ea8…
05-04 00:36:14	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x23b90d…
05-04 00:36:00	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x1e2500…
05-04 00:21:32	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0xe5c7e0…
05-04 00:19:46	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x091528…
05-03 23:27:10	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xffa3c4…
05-03 20:50:52	Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xc990c1…
05-03 20:50:06	Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xc19383…
05-03 20:49:20	Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xce02d3…
05-03 20:48:58	Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	72	17¢	$12	0x02e735…
05-03 18:51:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x79340a…
05-03 18:50:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xaf57ce…
05-03 14:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Up	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x074f11…
05-03 14:13:04	BNB Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x6f3c56…
05-03 13:26:38	BNB Up or Down on May 3?	Up	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x5ed7e4…
05-03 09:09:56	BNB Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x646f0f…
05-02 20:38:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	67¢	$48	0x6c8160…
05-02 11:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x080fe7…
05-02 06:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x7610e7…
05-02 06:16:44	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	51	60¢	$30	0x5752d5…
05-02 06:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x97851b…
05-02 06:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1e1abf…
05-02 06:01:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x5764a2…
05-02 05:22:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	No	BUY	102	60¢	$61	0xb36db6…
05-02 05:11:10	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	No	BUY	92	66¢	$61	0xa55693…
05-02 00:29:20	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xe2fd7b…
05-01 21:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x15641d…
05-01 20:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xfd60da…
05-01 15:47:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x962f62…
05-01 15:47:16	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xee9e45…
05-01 15:47:16	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xe3a495…
05-01 15:46:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x722012…
05-01 15:46:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x37958d…
05-01 14:13:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x362709…
05-01 13:35:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x4a74e7…
05-01 04:41:44	Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	72	9¢	$7	0x0d617c…
04-28 19:09:20	Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0ea7ed…
04-28 18:58:42	Will Amazon reach $276 in April?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xbcb089…
04-28 17:19:24	Will Google reach $375 in April?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x18adce…
04-27 16:06:44	Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x5d465d…
04-27 16:02:10	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0x89244c…
04-27 05:17:20	BNB Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc60910…
04-27 05:16:38	BNB Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0b0e5f…