Realized P&L
-$222
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
255
Trades
415
lifetime
Volume
$3.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$14
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-24 19:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
91%
35%
-$76
Other
9%
0%
-$144
Sports
0%
0%
-$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | +645 | $5 | 0¢ | $3 | -$2 | 06-24 19:28 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | +1,140 | $5 | 0¢ | $3 | -$2 | 06-24 19:00 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +1,250 | $5 | 0¢ | $2 | -$2 | 06-23 18:41 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | +893 | $5 | 0¢ | $2 | -$3 | 06-24 19:00 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | +738 | $5 | 0¢ | $2 | -$3 | 06-24 19:26 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +556 | $5 | 0¢ | $1 | -$4 | 06-23 18:41 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | +579 | $5 | 0¢ | $1 | -$4 | 06-24 19:27 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +122 | $5 | 0¢ | $0 | -$5 | 06-23 18:41 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:45 UTC | 2 | $133 | 103 | 102 | +1 | Down | +$70 | 03-05 07:50 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 18:10 UTC | 3 | $108 | 83 | 82 | +1 | Up | +$45 | 03-06 18:15 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 3 | $103 | 8,679 | 8,679 | +0 | No | -$33 | 03-03 13:18 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 3 | $80 | 1,066 | 1,066 | +0 | No | -$50 | 03-03 13:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:25 UTC | 2 | $74 | 59 | 59 | +1 | Down | +$43 | 03-03 18:30 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:40 UTC | 2 | $71 | 56 | 56 | +1 | Down | +$40 | 03-03 15:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC | 1 | $64 | 206 | 0 | +206 | Up | -$64 | 03-06 19:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 03:10 UTC | 1 | $64 | 409 | 0 | +409 | Down | -$64 | 03-06 03:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 05:05 UTC | 2 | $58 | 43 | 42 | +1 | Up | +$27 | 03-04 05:10 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | 1 | $50 | 253 | 0 | +253 | No | -$50 | 03-07 03:50 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:40 UTC | 2 | $46 | 37 | 37 | +0 | Down | +$27 | 03-04 10:45 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:35 UTC | 3 | $46 | 38 | 38 | +0 | Down | +$22 | 03-05 08:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 00:20 UTC | 2 | $43 | 32 | 32 | +0 | Down | +$21 | 03-07 00:25 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:15 UTC | 2 | $38 | 64 | 63 | +1 | Up | +$7 | 03-06 17:16 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:20 UTC | 2 | $37 | 70 | 34 | +35 | Down | +$40 | 03-06 17:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:20 UTC | 3 | $37 | 68 | 22 | +46 | Up | +$7 | 03-07 07:25 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:50 UTC | 3 | $35 | 35 | 20 | +15 | Down | +$5 | 03-07 08:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:05 UTC | 3 | $34 | 40 | 23 | +17 | Up | +$12 | 03-07 09:10 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:25 UTC | 3 | $33 | 60 | 25 | +35 | Up | -$7 | 03-07 10:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:45 UTC | 4 | $33 | 68 | 20 | +48 | Up | +$7 | 03-07 09:50 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:00 UTC | 4 | $33 | 49 | 20 | +29 | Down | +$7 | 03-07 09:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:35 UTC | 2 | $32 | 23 | 22 | +0 | Up | +$13 | 03-07 06:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:25 UTC | 3 | $32 | 38 | 19 | +19 | Up | +$6 | 03-07 07:30 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 18:45 UTC | 7 | $32 | 128 | 0 | +128 | Down | -$32 | 03-06 18:47 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 03:05 UTC | 1 | $32 | 100 | 0 | +100 | Down | -$32 | 03-06 03:08 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:35 UTC | 3 | $31 | 39 | 19 | +21 | Up | +$7 | 03-07 09:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:15 UTC | 1 | $30 | 150 | 0 | +150 | Down | -$30 | 03-04 08:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:50 UTC | 2 | $29 | 24 | 24 | +0 | Down | +$19 | 03-07 04:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:10 UTC | 2 | $29 | 19 | 19 | +0 | Up | +$9 | 03-07 10:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:15 UTC | 2 | $27 | 20 | 19 | +0 | Up | +$11 | 03-05 07:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||