Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
1,513
Trades
1,557
lifetime
Volume
$3.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$47
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 11-04 22:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 49% -$17
Other
38% 49% -$36
Sports
11% 51% +$0
Politics
1% 50% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 369 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? No +10 $5 87¢ $9 +$4 10-25 03:46
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 10-30 23:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 77¢ $4 +$1 10-27 22:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 10-24 15:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$1 10-27 08:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 10-24 15:30
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? No +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 10-25 10:58
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 10-25 03:18
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 10-25 20:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 11-01 15:21
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 10-29 10:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 -$1 10-31 00:49
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 11-04 22:20
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +76 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 11-04 06:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 10-29 13:04
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$2 10-25 15:22