Tremendous-Gallon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$58

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-11 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

35% 89% +$1

Crypto

34% 89% -$22

Sports

31% 67% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in November?	No		+58	$58	99¢	$58	$0	11-11 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$6.4K	3,209	3,200	+9	No	-$3	02-04 02:40
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6.4K	3,201	3,200	+1	No	-$3	02-04 03:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$6.3K	3,187	3,180	+7	No	-$3	02-04 04:43
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	08-28 10:20
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	2	$71	65	6	+59	No	+$0	09-25 06:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in November?	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	11-11 01:50
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	10-09 05:43
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$42	22	20	+2	No	+$0	05-20 06:39
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	2	$40	21	19	+2	No	+$0	05-26 06:39
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	2	$39	20	19	+1	No	$0	06-23 07:22
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$38	20	18	+2	No	$0	06-11 06:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$38	20	18	+2	No	$0	03-09 03:29
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	$0	03-09 03:29
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	$0	04-07 03:53
nhl nsh col 2026 01 16	1	$21	29	0	+29	Predators	-$21	01-16 08:03
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-04 03:19
fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 psg	1	$21	29	0	+29	Yes	+$8	01-16 08:04
lol kt t1 2026 01 23	1	$20	25	0	+25	T1	+$5	01-23 08:22
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-30 01:23
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-06 03:18
will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	-$20	01-30 01:25
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-02 03:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-06 03:16
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-03 01:42
will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-08 02:47
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-30 01:24
nba ind atl 2026 01 26	1	$17	27	0	+27	Hawks	+$9	01-26 03:01
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-04 03:19
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-08 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 01:50:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in November?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x669e3c…
10-09 05:43:38	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x634d31…
09-25 06:31:35	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x271cd1…
09-11 07:22:57	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xd98cb2…
08-28 10:20:06	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb369f8…
08-26 09:10:40	Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2397…
08-05 03:40:38	bitcoin above 72k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd52e5…
08-05 03:40:21	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93955a…
07-23 05:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6dd7a4…
07-23 05:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec0a29…
07-23 05:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf44b7…
07-04 05:38:55	Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3b9866…
07-04 05:38:40	Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7031cb…
07-04 05:38:25	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28cc97…
07-04 05:38:11	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaef844…
07-04 05:37:41	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x756d88…
07-04 05:37:25	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfa11fd…
07-04 05:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9a09e1…
07-04 05:35:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf7fb7…
07-04 05:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x193826…
06-23 07:25:55	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x064d5a…
06-23 07:25:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdcabbe…
06-23 07:24:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfdd42e…
06-23 07:23:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x151876…
06-23 07:22:38	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5505b8…
06-11 07:13:52	Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec2ca8…
06-11 07:13:25	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x177736…
06-11 07:13:03	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf225b9…
06-11 06:59:25	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x69b952…
06-04 03:20:13	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09145b…
06-04 03:19:46	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x03e257…
06-04 03:19:22	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0201d0…
06-04 03:19:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5c3dce…
05-26 06:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3a2b93…
05-26 06:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf5a6ec…
05-26 06:39:46	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2632da…
05-20 06:44:34	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x13e083…
05-20 06:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ce866…
05-20 06:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66627d…
05-20 06:39:00	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5841e4…
05-14 06:06:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0f1b95…
05-14 06:05:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xa35622…
05-06 03:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x006fa8…
05-06 03:18:44	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x94dd11…
05-06 03:18:20	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d7be1…
05-06 03:17:26	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x91cab0…
05-06 03:16:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xca2b7e…
04-14 02:59:23	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa60d4…
04-14 02:59:17	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8cad71…
04-14 02:59:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05fc70…
04-14 02:59:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38ab72…
04-07 04:03:23	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 165 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc70c34…
04-07 04:02:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 540 559	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6a023…
04-07 04:02:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x03f279…
04-07 03:53:35	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4c1a3b…
04-02 03:56:55	Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x968d38…
04-02 03:56:41	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd63373…
04-02 03:56:27	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa8f0a3…
04-02 03:56:15	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x06d1e3…
03-30 07:14:56	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd9eb8a…
03-30 07:14:46	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf13721…
03-30 07:14:34	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa84570…
03-30 07:14:20	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3de5d3…
03-16 01:20:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x052a5b…
03-16 01:20:09	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc86e8…
03-16 01:19:53	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91e5f1…
03-16 01:19:39	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0b588…
03-16 01:19:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59bd02…
03-16 01:19:09	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a150a…
03-16 01:18:55	will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd477e…
03-16 01:18:45	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf6d8ce…
03-16 01:18:31	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa3cb21…
03-16 01:18:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4db2f…
03-09 03:31:25	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x916a76…
03-09 03:31:13	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b6bde…
03-09 03:31:09	ethereum above 2600 on march 11	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2dfc7f…
03-09 03:31:01	ethereum above 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7c67e…
03-09 03:30:53	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0925fa…
03-09 03:30:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94c79e…
03-09 03:30:35	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2dcf09…
03-09 03:30:07	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x406ee0…
03-09 03:29:27	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x60bc5d…
03-09 03:29:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb739b6…
03-03 01:42:31	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd9a6b8…
03-03 01:42:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x297461…
03-03 01:41:27	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x72cdc3…
03-03 01:41:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4ece40…
03-03 01:40:57	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf10d8f…
02-08 02:47:37	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4f0c60…
02-08 02:47:25	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9739ca…
02-08 02:47:09	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2442fb…
02-08 02:46:47	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5603ac…
02-08 02:46:33	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeea9f4…
02-04 04:43:20	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	3,180	100¢	$3,164	0xdce237…
02-04 03:52:12	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	3,187	100¢	$3,175	0x94c56b…
02-04 03:24:06	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	3,200	99¢	$3,181	0xaf91c9…
02-04 02:59:32	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3,201	99¢	$3,185	0x6d818d…
02-04 02:40:46	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	3,200	100¢	$3,194	0x793586…
02-04 02:23:14	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3,209	100¢	$3,206	0x20597a…
01-30 01:25:16	will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d763d…