Winding-Version-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$441

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

1,299

Trades

1,709

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-31 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

67% 57% -$433

Sports

30% 52% +$139

Crypto

2% 50% -$109

Politics

0% 25% -$29

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		-22	-$20	91¢	$-20	+$0	08-12 20:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Draw at halftime?	2	$272	155	155	+0	No	-$8	06-09 16:34
Celtics vs. 76ers	3	$237	123	123	+0	76ers	+$7	05-01 02:18
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$202	139	139	+0	No	+$2	07-22 03:18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	4	$199	134	134	+0	No	+$23	05-04 20:21
nba den min 2026 04 23	3	$138	75	74	+0	Timberwolves	+$7	04-24 03:42
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5	1	$102	204	0	+204	Yes	+$102	06-03 15:28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$101	54	54	+0	No	+$5	05-04 15:24
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$100	141	0	+141	Spain	+$41	07-19 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 03:30 UTC	1	$100	220	0	+220	Down	-$100	07-24 03:33
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points jalen brunson 26pt5	1	$100	213	0	+213	Yes	-$100	06-10 18:22
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	1	$100	175	0	+175	Yes	+$75	06-08 15:52
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5	4	$98	99	99	+0	Over	-$40	05-24 20:42
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5	1	$80	140	0	+140	No	-$80	05-09 23:06
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-08?	1	$80	90	0	+90	Yes	-$80	05-03 21:40
sud san1 cara 2026 07 23 btts	1	$74	185	0	+185	No	-$74	07-24 00:58
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$72	42	42	+0	Yes	+$12	07-08 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$70	41	41	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 05:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	2	$70	159	0	+159	No	-$70	07-19 19:56
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score	3	$63	51	51	+0	No	+$3	06-01 18:16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$60	131	0	+131	No	-$60	05-19 19:28
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?	3	$60	74	0	+74	Yes	+$14	05-08 01:50
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$54	142	0	+142	Thunder	-$54	05-12 04:52
nba por phx 2026 04 14	10	$52	79	64	+15	Trail Blazers	+$23	04-15 04:46
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	1	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$50	05-25 17:37
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points jalen brunson 25pt5	1	$50	102	0	+102	No	+$52	06-05 14:20
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5	1	$50	105	0	+105	Yes	-$50	05-25 17:36
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 rebounds karl anthony towns 11pt5	1	$50	96	0	+96	No	-$50	06-08 15:54
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 rebounds victor wembanyama 11pt5	1	$50	93	0	+93	No	-$50	06-05 14:23
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	2	$50	91	0	+91	Yes	+$41	05-08 01:35
Lakers vs. Rockets	19	$45	121	99	+23	Lakers	+$10	04-25 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:44:10	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9d0ece…
10-31 14:40:04	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe6f135…
10-31 14:39:51	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc5f721…
10-27 19:52:54	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xac1d12…
10-27 19:52:09	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0073b1…
10-27 15:10:11	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdd3a6e…
10-27 15:09:14	AS Roma leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x03e706…
10-27 15:08:26	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x982039…
10-24 18:02:08	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfe790f…
10-24 18:01:59	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb2ebeb…
10-24 16:34:29	Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2b8675…
10-24 15:13:15	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb67266…
10-24 15:12:14	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc394bc…
10-24 15:11:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6e2c44…
10-24 15:10:12	Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x13545c…
10-24 15:05:11	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x75dba5…
10-22 16:50:48	Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x256626…
10-22 16:49:38	NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: NK Celje O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x61f8e6…
10-22 16:48:48	Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7bca95…
10-22 16:48:36	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc7c940…
10-22 16:47:48	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Juventus FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbd17be…
10-22 16:47:32	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xddb0cc…
10-22 16:46:53	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6e3b57…
10-22 16:46:47	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NEC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc54e7b…
10-22 16:45:24	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4a41ef…
10-21 16:47:12	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x16ed02…
10-21 16:45:41	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x906a72…
10-21 16:45:24	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2bfc7b…
10-21 16:44:20	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6d0aec…
10-21 16:43:30	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Como 1907 O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x87c5c4…
10-20 15:12:29	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x491ff7…
10-20 15:10:35	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x20db09…
10-20 15:09:42	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe33464…
10-20 15:08:32	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9e1285…
10-06 06:59:33	Spread: Algeria (-1.5)	Algeria	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb5a67b…
10-06 06:59:04	Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6cc91e…
10-06 06:58:43	Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x79108f…
10-06 06:58:27	Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x523faa…
10-06 06:57:28	Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6ac543…
10-06 06:57:04	Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)	Uruguay	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x19c2ad…
10-06 06:56:36	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd50ca5…
10-06 06:55:57	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x638c0b…
10-02 12:26:05	Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x6a4c80…
10-01 16:48:56	Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x663b86…
10-01 16:48:44	Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2b7823…
10-01 16:46:45	Latvia vs. Montenegro: Montenegro O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2a6dc1…
10-01 16:46:27	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb2344d…
10-01 16:45:21	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x42765c…
10-01 16:43:23	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x79826c…
09-29 15:32:09	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Albania	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4632c3…
09-29 15:31:26	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x07fab9…
09-29 15:29:36	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdc75c9…
09-29 15:28:23	Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe09f9a…
09-29 15:27:54	Will United States win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x74d102…
09-27 00:14:24	Bolivia vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2bda23…
09-27 00:13:53	Paraguay leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x737d20…
09-25 13:05:18	Slovenia vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa01bb6…
09-25 13:04:26	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfb4f45…
09-25 13:03:56	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x53fb6b…
09-25 13:02:15	Italy vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x571e30…
09-21 00:36:40	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5e0ad5…
09-16 15:51:21	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x85da3d…
09-16 15:50:39	Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe53db1…
09-16 15:50:30	Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x901d98…
09-05 16:29:22	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2577a0…
09-04 05:50:06	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xddaad0…
09-04 05:49:54	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe11bb7…
09-04 05:47:48	Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xc52386…
09-04 05:44:58	Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6dc308…
08-30 04:47:34	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3b8b65…
08-30 04:46:55	lal rea mala 2026 08 30 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xde3eb4…
08-28 17:12:04	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 5.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x88939a…
08-28 17:11:58	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xba9d79…
08-27 12:57:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e6439…
08-27 12:57:12	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3acf21…
08-24 02:18:01	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9918c0…
08-24 02:13:25	AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x606148…
08-12 20:02:10	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x63ba31…
08-12 20:01:49	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x5050e5…
08-12 20:01:45	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x032f2a…
08-12 20:01:39	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x7117e7…
08-12 20:01:36	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x4ef692…
08-09 13:03:25	bra san cap 2026 08 09 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x526621…
08-08 16:29:55	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xef9431…
08-08 16:25:46	Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc1edb8…
08-08 16:25:19	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x66a611…
08-08 02:07:04	lec tig min 2026 08 07 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xca5c92…
08-07 17:09:01	bl2 boc ber 2026 08 07 btts	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x36d382…
08-07 17:08:52	bl2 boc ber 2026 08 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x53ad0a…
08-07 17:06:31	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1383d4…
08-07 17:05:15	efl wol pvl 2026 08 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe4960f…
08-07 17:00:00	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9ba820…
08-07 16:59:40	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0x42f7a3…
08-06 16:45:03	arg uni lan 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdc8376…
08-06 16:44:54	arg uni lan 2026 08 06 btts	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa03ff5…
08-06 16:42:12	Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-06?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf252c0…
08-06 16:41:57	uel ben hmi 2026 08 06 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf17448…
08-06 16:40:15	col aja she1 2026 08 06 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x611d1b…
08-06 16:40:05	col aja she1 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x52d6ed…
08-06 16:39:56	AFC Ajax leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4560f0…