Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
27
Trades
121
lifetime
Volume
$273
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$49
8 positions
First seen
2026-07-14
last 11-05 14:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Tech
46% 86% +$28
Politics
30% 20% -$29
Other
22% 22% -$25
Sports
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? Yes +159 $14 8¢ $12 -$2 11-02 10:47
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 No +9 $5 83¢ $8 +$3 07-14 17:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-22 00:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +12 $5 45¢ $5 +$0 09-22 05:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $5 55¢ $5 $0 09-22 11:43
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 09-22 15:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +21 $9 21¢ $4 -$5 11-02 09:35
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +63 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 09-21 23:46