Wild-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

211

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-11 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Sports

45% 30% -$478

Other

26% 24% -$1,059

Crypto

25% 33% -$1,488

Politics

3% 25% -$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	5	$1.8K	1,702	1,681	+21	Renato Moicano	+$504	04-05 02:54
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	3	$1.1K	1,080	1,064	+16	Carlos Ulberg	+$8	04-12 00:22
ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	3	$831	539	532	+7	Charles Jourdain	+$239	04-19 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 09:00 UTC	3	$770	558	550	+9	Down	+$168	02-13 09:03
highest temperature in wellington on march 12 2026 21corhigher	4	$762	660	412	+248	Yes	-$126	03-12 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:30 UTC	4	$725	578	521	+57	Up	+$43	02-09 03:41
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$655	556	556	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$455	06-15 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 08:35 UTC	3	$621	335	334	+1	Down	+$42	02-13 08:40
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$500	855	376	+479	Spain	-$196	07-19 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 09:30 UTC	1	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	Up	-$500	02-13 09:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$487	411	411	+0	No	-$33	04-18 00:34
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	4	$481	369	369	+0	Gabriel Bonfim	+$90	06-07 03:18
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	2	$443	270	270	+0	Lakers	+$43	03-19 03:59
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	2	$443	305	300	+5	Josh Hokit	+$161	04-12 03:31
highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	3	$419	354	354	+0	Yes	+$277	03-11 05:48
will the super bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds 852	2	$416	861	861	+0	No	+$216	02-08 23:23
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$400	1,168	0	+1,168	Max Holloway	-$400	06-28 05:26
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	2	$384	393	393	+0	Over	-$6	06-26 10:37
ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	2	$359	260	260	+0	Alexa Grasso	+$161	03-29 02:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 04:30 UTC	4	$329	1,813	54	+1,759	Down	-$300	02-09 04:33
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$325	352	347	+6	Aljamain Sterling	$0	04-24 00:04
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	4	$316	267	267	+0	Charles Oliveira	+$122	03-08 04:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$306	167	167	+0	No	+$25	04-21 22:27
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$300	909	0	+909	Seahawks	-$300	02-08 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:50 UTC	3	$296	571	336	+236	Up	-$12	02-15 08:53
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	4	$281	1,125	0	+1,125	Islam Makhachev	-$281	08-11 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:55 UTC	2	$272	175	173	+3	Up	+$73	02-15 09:00
ufc bra2 lon 2026 02 28	3	$269	197	197	+0	Kavanagh	+$125	03-01 05:02
ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	2	$264	167	165	+2	Tatiana Suarez	+$67	04-12 00:21
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	2	$256	156	156	+0	Over	+$56	06-21 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:42:18	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbd7e99…
08-11 06:41:55	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	539	25¢	$135	0xb9102c…
08-09 07:09:31	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x12403c…
08-09 07:09:00	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	576	25¢	$144	0x148ff0…
07-31 08:11:21	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Daniel Rodriguez	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x7fdba8…
07-31 08:11:00	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Daniel Rodriguez	BUY	624	23¢	$144	0x547c06…
07-31 08:00:14	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Daniel Rodriguez	BUY	261	23¢	$60	0x8285ac…
07-19 03:56:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	479	41¢	$195	0xef3fd2…
07-19 03:51:30	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x652327…
07-19 03:50:57	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc5cf21…
07-19 02:22:57	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	218	67¢	$146	0xa3766e…
07-19 02:20:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	376	40¢	$152	0x290366…
07-19 01:00:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	376	41¢	$153	0xfc8493…
07-19 00:28:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	320	5¢	$16	0x623bde…
07-19 00:27:10	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	522	2¢	$12	0xb91ea1…
07-19 00:26:31	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x02e961…
06-28 05:26:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	882	34¢	$300	0x0d46e8…
06-27 04:58:07	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	123	11¢	$14	0x20b275…
06-27 04:57:32	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0xc2f56f…
06-27 04:47:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x4d0cda…
06-27 04:22:26	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x011f36…
06-27 04:22:23	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xfcbea1…
06-27 03:59:26	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x417e28…
06-27 03:59:08	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3f277d…
06-26 10:41:11	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	292	54¢	$157	0x4724df…
06-26 10:38:26	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x85bd94…
06-26 10:37:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	393	48¢	$189	0xab6ced…
06-26 02:51:23	Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xbc7e57…
06-26 02:49:37	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x146c3b…
06-25 23:28:17	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	221	22¢	$49	0x5aa8b1…
06-25 23:27:53	Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0x1aa350…
06-25 23:27:26	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?	Yes	BUY	127	11¢	$14	0x16a27f…
06-25 23:27:07	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?	Yes	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0xd3aee7…
06-25 23:26:53	Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xee4f45…
06-25 07:15:05	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	101	75¢	$76	0x0bda78…
06-25 07:03:08	Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xc6886b…
06-25 07:02:40	Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?	Yes	SELL	231	5¢	$11	0x607737…
06-25 04:58:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x673357…
06-25 04:57:11	Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?	Yes	BUY	231	5¢	$12	0x0d055e…
06-25 04:56:47	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?	Yes	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0x378df0…
06-25 04:56:11	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	154	8¢	$12	0xdb0592…
06-25 04:55:53	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xfe5151…
06-25 04:51:40	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x5fa8c9…
06-25 04:49:50	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0xca00b6…
06-25 04:48:44	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x2582e8…
06-25 04:44:11	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?	Yes	BUY	121	6¢	$7	0x844e00…
06-25 04:43:56	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x7d805a…
06-25 03:15:59	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	393	50¢	$195	0x9395e5…
06-25 01:51:11	Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x190b0d…
06-25 01:50:47	Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x2819f7…
06-24 23:40:22	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x3844f9…
06-24 23:37:40	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?	Yes	SELL	64	42¢	$27	0x14dadc…
06-24 23:36:34	Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?	Yes	SELL	143	12¢	$17	0x527021…
06-24 23:00:59	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0x422b9c…
06-24 22:55:28	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x6b731e…
06-24 07:23:38	Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x1062f3…
06-24 07:20:26	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x18b61f…
06-24 07:19:05	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Canada?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x17628f…
06-24 07:15:17	Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe42ff5…
06-24 07:14:11	Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x03b252…
06-24 07:13:49	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x9018b0…
06-24 07:13:22	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x52de59…
06-24 07:01:08	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0xf6d54d…
06-24 06:56:07	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	113	15¢	$17	0x4349f9…
06-24 06:53:53	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Canada?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2ca2e8…
06-24 06:45:04	Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x988f4a…
06-24 06:44:32	Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xe70071…
06-24 06:43:01	Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 Mexico?	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0xd21dbb…
06-24 03:45:22	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x48ae85…
06-24 03:45:13	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	108	3¢	$3	0xf17d4e…
06-24 03:45:05	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	154	93¢	$143	0x38efee…
06-24 03:44:58	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	112	62¢	$70	0xd1aa3d…
06-24 03:44:53	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	114	24¢	$27	0xb42148…
06-24 01:16:26	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x60347c…
06-24 01:16:04	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0x3a311c…
06-24 01:15:13	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0xf86a02…
06-24 01:14:35	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	112	16¢	$18	0xc48928…
06-24 00:48:52	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	127	10¢	$13	0x8b0c7c…
06-24 00:16:11	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	127	15¢	$19	0x63472c…
06-24 00:14:31	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	154	63¢	$97	0xe89f19…
06-24 00:13:35	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xa084cd…
06-24 00:13:17	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xa4452f…
06-22 08:39:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0x449f33…
06-22 08:38:52	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8db646…
06-22 08:37:13	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb2ed7f…
06-22 08:36:23	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x4f067f…
06-22 08:34:53	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x3adfab…
06-22 08:34:28	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x4e0726…
06-22 08:34:17	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf2def4…
06-22 07:48:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0xbbb28e…
06-22 02:18:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x56ad5a…
06-22 02:18:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	57	85¢	$48	0x49f166…
06-22 02:18:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x9edced…
06-21 23:29:37	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	68	47¢	$32	0x7c2823…
06-21 23:28:55	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0x3dc755…
06-21 23:07:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xd0f839…
06-21 23:06:04	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xce7008…
06-21 05:41:52	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x10d5df…
06-21 05:06:56	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x13b147…
06-18 09:37:29	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x037872…