Wild-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-19 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 0% $-69

Crypto

28% — —

Other

22% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	5	$1.8K	1,702	1,681	+21	open	—	04-05 02:54
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	3	$1.1K	1,080	1,064	+16	open	—	04-12 00:22
ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	3	$831	539	532	+7	open	—	04-19 02:48
btc updown 5m 1770973200	3	$770	558	550	+9	open	—	02-13 09:03
highest temperature in wellington on march 12 2026 21corhigher	4	$762	660	412	+248	open	—	03-12 00:53
btc updown 15m 1770607800	4	$725	578	521	+57	open	—	02-09 03:41
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$655	556	556	+0	open	—	06-15 05:24
btc updown 5m 1770971700	3	$621	335	334	+1	open	—	02-13 08:40
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$500	855	376	+479	open	—	07-19 03:56
btc updown 5m 1770975000	1	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	02-13 09:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$487	411	411	+0	open	—	04-18 00:34
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	4	$481	369	369	+0	open	—	06-07 03:18
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	2	$443	270	270	+0	open	—	03-19 03:59
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	2	$443	305	300	+5	open	—	04-12 03:31
highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	3	$419	354	354	+0	open	—	03-11 05:48
will the super bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds 852	2	$416	861	861	+0	open	—	02-08 23:23
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$400	1,168	0	+1,168	open	—	06-28 05:26
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	2	$384	393	393	+0	open	—	06-26 10:37
ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	2	$359	260	260	+0	open	—	03-29 02:16
btc updown 15m 1770611400	4	$329	1,813	54	+1,759	open	—	02-09 04:33
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$325	352	347	+6	open	—	04-24 00:04
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	4	$316	267	267	+0	open	—	03-08 04:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$306	167	167	+0	open	—	04-21 22:27
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$300	909	0	+909	open	—	02-08 22:45
btc updown 5m 1771145400	3	$296	571	336	+236	open	—	02-15 08:53
btc updown 5m 1771145700	2	$272	175	173	+3	open	—	02-15 09:00
ufc bra2 lon 2026 02 28	3	$269	197	197	+0	open	—	03-01 05:02
ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	2	$264	167	165	+2	open	—	04-12 00:21
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	2	$256	156	156	+0	open	—	06-21 05:41
btc updown 15m 1770273900	1	$250	455	0	+455	open	—	02-05 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 03:56:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	479	41¢	$195	0xef3fd2…
07-19 02:22:57	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	218	67¢	$146	0xa3766e…
07-19 02:20:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	376	40¢	$152	0x290366…
07-19 01:00:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	376	41¢	$153	0xfc8493…
06-28 05:26:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	882	34¢	$300	0x0d46e8…
06-27 04:47:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x4d0cda…
06-26 10:41:11	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	292	54¢	$157	0x4724df…
06-26 10:37:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	393	48¢	$189	0xab6ced…
06-25 07:15:05	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	101	75¢	$76	0x0bda78…
06-25 03:15:59	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	393	50¢	$195	0x9395e5…
06-22 08:38:52	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8db646…
06-22 02:18:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x56ad5a…
06-22 02:18:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	57	85¢	$48	0x49f166…
06-22 02:18:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x9edced…
06-21 23:29:37	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	68	47¢	$32	0x7c2823…
06-21 23:07:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xd0f839…
06-21 05:41:52	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x10d5df…
06-21 05:06:56	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x13b147…
06-18 09:37:29	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x037872…
06-15 05:24:54	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	556	100¢	$555	0xbdecf1…
06-14 02:03:58	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	SELL	85	55¢	$47	0x5236d4…
06-11 01:05:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	85	60¢	$51	0x74b18d…
06-08 06:19:21	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	88	60¢	$53	0xcd0299…
06-07 03:18:18	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Gabriel Bonfim	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x0ea63f…
06-06 23:56:36	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Gabriel Bonfim	BUY	191	51¢	$98	0x7a0fb9…
06-06 23:56:04	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	153	45¢	$69	0x62833c…
06-06 23:27:45	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0xd8af4e…
06-06 22:38:51	ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	Bruno Silva	BUY	104	36¢	$37	0x326e9f…
06-06 22:36:24	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	SELL	82	47¢	$39	0x4be26e…
06-06 01:13:18	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	82	48¢	$39	0x3e64fe…
06-06 01:08:03	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ariane Carnelossi	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xc193c4…
06-06 00:56:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x019cb6…
06-04 08:09:52	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	178	53¢	$94	0xd2701e…
06-02 05:26:47	UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	Belal Muhammad	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0x0a70ef…
06-02 05:22:30	UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Yuneisy Duben	BUY	116	24¢	$28	0xbeff19…
05-29 03:14:55	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	374	18¢	$67	0x7986f6…
05-28 04:07:55	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	146	78¢	$113	0xec6239…
05-17 01:27:31	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0x5d5c47…
05-17 01:26:36	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	SELL	68	53¢	$36	0xddd6b4…
05-16 01:24:35	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	BUY	68	55¢	$37	0x60d41f…
05-05 05:41:24	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x200030…
05-02 01:20:28	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcd5942…
05-02 01:19:50	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x5da5df…
04-24 00:04:54	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Aljamain Sterling	SELL	347	46¢	$160	0x476ea5…
04-22 23:43:48	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Aljamain Sterling	BUY	352	47¢	$166	0x43bb72…
04-21 22:27:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	167	99¢	$166	0x9203ea…
04-20 06:32:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	167	84¢	$140	0xbc8d51…
04-19 02:48:06	ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	Charles Jourdain	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0xfded35…
04-18 06:36:12	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x1deefc…
04-18 01:06:04	ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	Charles Jourdain	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xc99775…
04-18 00:49:18	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	SELL	265	2¢	$7	0x3819e1…
04-18 00:34:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	411	55¢	$227	0xeac385…
04-17 03:43:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xb51eff…
04-17 03:39:42	ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	Charles Jourdain	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x5a48a9…
04-16 05:00:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	237	68¢	$160	0xe4c3c6…
04-16 04:53:24	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	265	3¢	$9	0x794a74…
04-12 03:31:41	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe0e2ef…
04-12 00:24:51	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x87977f…
04-12 00:22:31	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	SELL	1,064	50¢	$532	0x28966e…
04-12 00:21:19	ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	Tatiana Suarez	SELL	165	100¢	$164	0xf6dd92…
04-11 01:27:15	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	280	50¢	$140	0x11b3af…
04-11 01:26:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	294	21¢	$62	0x67493c…
04-11 01:25:05	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x87c714…
04-11 01:02:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	179	15¢	$27	0x57146b…
04-06 06:38:49	ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	Tatiana Suarez	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa78e72…
04-06 06:36:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x88539d…
04-06 06:34:39	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xd282f6…
04-06 06:34:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x6430fd…
04-06 02:37:47	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	305	47¢	$143	0x840c22…
04-05 02:54:55	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	SELL	844	100¢	$843	0x240bb5…
04-05 00:29:21	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x12b6d3…
04-01 03:59:05	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	BUY	643	39¢	$251	0xb8efe2…
04-01 03:56:07	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	SELL	836	37¢	$309	0x4eeefb…
03-31 04:26:59	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	BUY	842	38¢	$320	0x6f6fd5…
03-30 02:47:56	nba gsw den 2026 03 29	Warriors	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x9de438…
03-29 02:49:58	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xfc2bb7…
03-29 02:18:22	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	BUY	134	44¢	$59	0xce7355…
03-29 02:16:40	ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	Alexa Grasso	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xd1300f…
03-28 08:35:17	ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	Alexa Grasso	BUY	260	38¢	$99	0x260585…
03-25 08:15:23	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	141	64¢	$90	0xaa18f7…
03-25 08:13:45	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x28eb6b…
03-24 23:36:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xcb42e4…
03-21 22:03:57	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21 go the distance	No	BUY	208	39¢	$81	0xd5a669…
03-21 22:01:53	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xee8a71…
03-21 21:56:17	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd1de64…
03-21 21:48:57	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0x7ace0f…
03-21 21:42:35	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0ef7a8…
03-21 21:20:09	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Mason Jones	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x7d8301…
03-21 09:04:07	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21 totals 4pt5	Under	BUY	139	29¢	$40	0xe20116…
03-21 09:02:33	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	BUY	255	22¢	$56	0x02ad12…
03-20 00:09:07	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 17c	No	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xd0cad6…
03-20 00:08:33	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	111	28¢	$32	0xead827…
03-20 00:00:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 16c	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xcc0d34…
03-19 22:40:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	132	76¢	$101	0x093002…
03-19 22:39:15	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	277	18¢	$50	0xb4dcf0…
03-19 09:37:47	nba orl cha 2026 03 19	Magic	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x02c478…
03-19 09:32:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x7d3430…
03-19 09:11:37	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Mason Jones	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x86553d…
03-19 08:44:23	nba orl cha 2026 03 19	Magic	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xe10487…
03-19 08:25:59	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	138	19¢	$27	0xeb512e…