Homely-Reply-Vogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 65% $-33

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$368	263	185	+78	Down	$-2	05-12 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$314	227	160	+66	Down	+$4	05-12 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$278	237	145	+92	Down	+$8	05-12 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$265	375	0	+375	Down	$-123	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$254	209	110	+100	Up	$-36	05-12 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$234	130	130	+0	Down	+$24	05-13 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$213	120	120	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$192	133	83	+50	Up	$-28	05-12 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$181	290	0	+290	Up	+$25	05-13 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$169	197	90	+107	Up	+$9	05-12 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$162	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$146	180	145	+35	Down	+$26	05-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$130	204	0	+204	Up	$-99	05-13 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$125	76	76	+0	Up	+$25	05-12 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$110	61	61	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$107	89	89	+0	Down	+$27	05-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$105	168	0	+168	Down	+$10	05-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$100	70	70	+0	Up	+$40	05-12 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	9	$95	159	0	+159	Up	+$12	05-13 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$93	98	98	+0	Down	+$23	05-13 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	7	$88	146	0	+146	Down	$-12	05-13 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$85	133	0	+133	Up	$-28	05-13 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$81	77	77	+0	Down	+$21	05-13 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$80	127	0	+127	Up	$-26	05-12 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$75	111	0	+111	Up	$-10	05-13 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$71	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$71	58	58	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	6	$70	128	0	+128	Down	+$45	05-13 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$68	97	0	+97	Down	$-17	05-12 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$66	41	41	+0	Down	+$16	05-12 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1a0a05…
05-14 12:23:58	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	747	2¢	$15	0x53dcb4…
05-14 11:06:11	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb7fcb9…
05-14 11:04:56	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	278	1¢	$2	0x055079…
05-13 16:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xa66717…
05-13 16:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xf4012d…
05-13 16:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xa9630e…
05-13 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x464d98…
05-13 16:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	98	77¢	$75	0xe54b1f…
05-13 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x62f39e…
05-13 16:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xb28058…
05-13 16:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xd5867e…
05-13 16:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x78fe2f…
05-13 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x3b698b…
05-13 13:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7190c6…
05-13 13:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5596ee…
05-13 13:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x9edb1c…
05-13 13:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf5e170…
05-13 13:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xdef523…
05-13 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x215088…
05-13 13:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1d2ec9…
05-13 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x599c79…
05-13 13:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x729d40…
05-13 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x8c31cf…
05-13 13:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x6f9981…
05-13 13:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x997af4…
05-13 13:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7c8df9…
05-13 13:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xabfc6a…
05-13 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xb6d30d…
05-13 13:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x97539d…
05-13 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcb7948…
05-13 13:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x78fb98…
05-13 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xe09a3f…
05-13 12:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xd12229…
05-13 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xf452af…
05-13 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa363bd…
05-13 12:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x5dd3c3…
05-13 12:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x87b9c0…
05-13 12:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0796a4…
05-13 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x17366c…
05-13 12:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xfb1c0c…
05-13 12:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x010b97…
05-13 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x72ef80…
05-13 12:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x7171e3…
05-13 12:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5690fa…
05-13 12:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x021924…
05-13 12:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x67b33c…
05-13 12:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xe6c387…
05-13 12:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x33ddcb…
05-13 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0c7d9c…
05-13 11:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa2ed8c…
05-13 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdd0459…
05-13 11:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xcc58f9…
05-13 11:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x722904…
05-13 11:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x0bf451…
05-13 11:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x8b5d8d…
05-13 11:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x79f4c1…
05-13 11:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xde9358…
05-13 11:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x3aa4d0…
05-13 11:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x903d10…
05-13 11:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3dff83…
05-13 11:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x112052…
05-13 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x87396d…
05-13 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3bfb87…
05-13 11:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x48f558…
05-13 11:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfd42a4…
05-13 11:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x9c3c4b…
05-13 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x72bfb3…
05-13 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x4e3cb0…
05-13 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x514be6…
05-13 11:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xafebd2…
05-13 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2ccf98…
05-13 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x1f80c0…
05-13 11:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7029e8…
05-13 11:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8f6da1…
05-13 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x35c689…
05-13 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	98	59¢	$58	0x16032d…
05-13 10:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x969018…
05-13 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x5458ee…
05-13 10:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa112bd…
05-13 10:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x2f0396…
05-13 10:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x848dec…
05-13 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa0372e…
05-13 10:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xed6b90…
05-13 10:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd6f518…
05-13 10:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x16a30a…
05-13 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1dba62…
05-13 10:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x899500…
05-13 10:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x840bc3…
05-13 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x9523cc…
05-13 10:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	105	57¢	$60	0x8558a8…
05-13 10:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x59b6c5…
05-13 10:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x528440…
05-13 10:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0x970b9b…
05-13 10:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	77	67¢	$51	0xf1de9c…
05-13 10:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2b1758…
05-13 10:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x74c727…
05-13 10:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2551e6…
05-13 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x85ffd3…
05-13 10:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x345c26…