Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$47

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-07

last 11-09 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

81% 80% +$3

Politics

17% 50% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	11-08 07:17
Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	11-09 18:30
Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November 15?	No	+1	$1	46¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	09-07 18:17
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-07 18:06
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	3	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-07 18:17
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 16:35
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 15:32
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 15:32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-09 05:33
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	10-09 15:15
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	09-10 16:35
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-25 09:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	09-13 03:25
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	11-02 14:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	09-01 20:14
Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	11-09 18:30
Will the loser of the Alaska Senate election concede by November 3?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	11-03 16:20
Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-07 17:27
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-16 06:39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	08-09 05:33
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	11-02 14:22
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-12 10:02
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-09 15:25
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	08-19 15:13
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-01 20:13
Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-11 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-02 15:01
Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	11-06 12:40
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-08 05:36
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-05 06:37
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	11-08 07:17
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Anthropic	+$0	08-30 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 18:30:10	Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9b5198…
11-08 07:17:10	Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe91b7e…
11-06 12:40:06	Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November 15?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa9ccc4…
11-03 16:20:48	Will the loser of the Alaska Senate election concede by November 3?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1471e9…
11-02 14:22:30	Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x1b626c…
11-02 14:22:19	Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd7d447…
10-25 09:08:53	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x865e2f…
10-16 06:39:16	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb45613…
10-11 06:53:11	Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf3913f…
10-09 15:25:22	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5cfefc…
10-09 15:15:18	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc9ddd…
10-09 15:13:19	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc348c…
10-07 17:27:13	Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd5669f…
10-07 16:10:31	Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x517ed4…
10-06 14:48:02	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfeb38e…
09-13 03:25:54	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x654942…
09-10 16:35:22	Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x0a2989…
09-10 16:35:18	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a14f1…
09-08 15:32:30	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3a24a…
09-08 15:32:19	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x07e5c5…
09-07 18:18:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2268ec…
09-07 18:17:49	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xecf20d…
09-07 18:17:46	Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xc3f192…
09-07 18:17:03	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xbc03b3…
09-07 18:16:48	Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x7a0df2…
09-07 18:06:13	US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x0b68ee…
09-05 07:05:54	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0effa7…
09-05 07:05:51	Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6b4f9e…
09-05 06:37:55	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd72351…
09-04 20:09:13	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdc2598…
09-04 20:09:06	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0ba81…
09-02 15:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x04ed6d…
09-01 20:14:06	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd8bfe0…
09-01 20:13:15	Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x936565…
09-01 20:12:37	Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1f4ca3…
09-01 03:37:15	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5607b0…
08-30 08:01:28	Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026	Anthropic	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x666ca8…
08-19 15:13:45	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x55d6f8…
08-19 15:13:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1e006e…
08-12 10:03:03	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf8d9f5…
08-12 10:02:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ba85e…
08-09 05:33:10	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x840436…
08-09 05:33:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xde331b…
08-09 05:31:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc604e2…
08-08 05:36:03	Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x84b51c…
08-07 13:19:30	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb1c7f6…