Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-22 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

75% 58% +$443

Other

24% 34% +$621

Crypto

1% 50% +$20

Sports

0% 0% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$2.8K	2,924	0	+2,924	No	+$79	01-23 08:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	48	$1.9K	9,146	9,377	-232	No	+$117	01-30 02:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	30	$1.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$115	01-30 22:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	75	$1.8K	19,000	19,500	-500	No	+$489	03-10 13:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$771	2,470	2,500	-30	Yes	+$169	01-05 00:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$20	01-21 20:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$680	4,000	3,000	+1,000	No	-$100	02-07 13:52
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$570	600	600	+0	Yes	+$6	01-21 20:40
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	13	$445	1,314	1,400	-86	No	+$51	01-22 10:55
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	9	$348	4,500	4,500	+0	No	-$36	02-20 23:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$313	423	507	-84	Yes	+$0	01-08 08:39
will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	16	$232	4,271	1,257	+3,014	No	+$18	01-28 01:22
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 31 2026	29	$202	658	912	-254	No	+$63	01-28 07:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$196	250	250	+0	Yes	+$43	01-30 03:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$187	864	864	+0	No	-$33	03-09 13:35
will iran strike israel on march 4	7	$172	500	500	+0	Yes	+$156	03-06 17:25
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in december	1	$148	215	0	+215	No	+$67	01-13 09:57
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	10	$131	1,158	1,158	+0	No	+$9	01-10 03:53
will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	6	$130	671	94	+576	No	-$118	01-22 19:49
will the liberal democratic party win by at least 250 seats	2	$130	126	126	+0	Yes	+$107	02-08 14:40
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$120	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	01-10 04:19
will trump visit greenland by march 31	6	$115	500	500	+0	No	+$5	01-13 14:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$109	200	200	+0	No	-$5	03-12 02:18
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	10	$103	771	771	+0	No	+$20	01-08 07:32
will khamenei leave iran by friday	40	$99	2,974	5,974	-3,000	No	+$48	01-08 08:49
Iran leadership change by March 13?	35	$97	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$97	03-14 03:40
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	5	$95	1,500	800	+700	No	+$31	02-16 10:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	2	$90	500	500	+0	No	+$20	01-07 15:51
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 25 2026	22	$83	3,448	716	+2,732	No	-$2	01-26 05:59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$75	300	300	+0	No	-$15	02-09 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 22:50:30	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$19	0x8c37ca…
03-21 22:35:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x7405fc…
03-21 22:35:33	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xfd46b3…
03-21 22:35:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x492c43…
03-18 02:13:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2689cc…
03-18 02:12:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x510f53…
03-17 13:48:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x76147c…
03-17 13:37:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x57a169…
03-17 13:33:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0x7d5f61…
03-17 13:23:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x53df66…
03-17 13:08:03	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3400ff…
03-17 10:30:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x9e0a99…
03-17 10:30:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x4de9e8…
03-15 05:28:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0eb0fa…
03-15 02:27:03	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	SELL	360	2¢	$8	0xed94b3…
03-14 10:16:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x5addf9…
03-14 03:40:29	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	2,330	0¢	$7	0x09fd76…
03-14 03:39:03	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x4fe040…
03-14 03:38:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb797ca…
03-14 03:38:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xfb7f12…
03-14 03:35:27	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1c2510…
03-14 03:35:01	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7aef7f…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc624b0…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x966705…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7c2d35…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6d6002…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4f1d8b…
03-14 03:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x101237…
03-14 03:31:05	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x75bdc0…
03-14 03:30:57	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x3be7b9…
03-14 03:30:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6e62de…
03-14 03:30:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x672f0b…
03-14 03:30:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x46ff0a…
03-14 03:30:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x008029…
03-13 09:11:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	719	2¢	$12	0x5c9bef…
03-13 08:16:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6865aa…
03-13 08:08:29	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x413764…
03-13 08:06:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x096ed9…
03-13 08:05:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xa10d3a…
03-13 08:05:05	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xa40904…
03-13 08:04:55	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$3	0x12d6e1…
03-13 07:06:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x70e579…
03-12 20:03:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xbd06e6…
03-12 06:54:43	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x1227b8…
03-12 06:49:57	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1156c3…
03-12 06:41:33	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe8f7a6…
03-12 06:34:53	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xb4c806…
03-12 06:31:43	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0092d0…
03-12 06:30:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0x3fc2ca…
03-12 06:28:01	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xfcd524…
03-12 05:03:47	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$2	0xa4ae11…
03-12 02:18:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x3143f8…
03-10 13:02:53	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xb28a2e…
03-10 13:01:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$14	0xecb7cd…
03-10 11:40:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x28ca0e…
03-10 10:46:29	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0xb6e81b…
03-10 05:07:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x88244d…
03-10 03:20:15	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x000183…
03-09 22:49:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xbbaec7…
03-09 22:42:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xeb2abb…
03-09 13:35:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x89e11c…
03-09 02:12:03	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x78869f…
03-08 23:32:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xdeaad5…
03-08 23:31:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	199	16¢	$32	0x780699…
03-08 23:15:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x6c9ed6…
03-08 23:13:39	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x9066b5…
03-08 18:14:17	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4ee43e…
03-08 17:34:57	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x576d30…
03-08 16:41:21	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xcef93c…
03-08 16:19:29	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xac71fb…
03-08 16:09:53	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 15	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x12ea5b…
03-08 10:48:55	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	461	0¢	$1	0xb6c3fc…
03-08 09:59:49	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	635	0¢	$1	0x843dd7…
03-08 09:05:57	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	521	0¢	$1	0x7ef3c1…
03-08 06:16:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	202	1¢	$2	0x05f864…
03-08 06:15:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc3fbb6…
03-08 06:15:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xacd626…
03-08 06:06:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x23a1c0…
03-08 06:04:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xd309c2…
03-08 06:03:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	810	1¢	$10	0x7f97cc…
03-08 05:55:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x09a1bb…
03-08 05:39:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	417	1¢	$5	0xb6e7f2…
03-08 05:39:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x93c1ad…
03-08 05:31:03	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x93823b…
03-08 05:30:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0x3e46ed…
03-07 17:39:59	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xfd1ba2…
03-06 20:38:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,295	1¢	$16	0x6c1fe0…
03-06 20:38:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$2	0xf0c4d2…
03-06 20:37:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$2	0x84065e…
03-06 20:37:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x9835ad…
03-06 20:35:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,250	1¢	$15	0xd1c77d…
03-06 20:35:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x420dd1…
03-06 17:25:49	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	75	61¢	$46	0xf5cc5f…
03-06 17:25:45	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	125	61¢	$76	0x5348c0…
03-06 13:38:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	360	1¢	$3	0xf79038…
03-06 13:38:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,340	1¢	$12	0xa80b0d…
03-06 13:38:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,280	1¢	$13	0xf2bbed…
03-06 13:38:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe04549…
03-06 03:28:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,935	1¢	$12	0xafdc5e…
03-06 03:27:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,065	1¢	$12	0x6f0e22…