Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

24,427

Trades

38,697

lifetime

Volume

$225.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$974

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-03 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 48% -$2,045

Other

23% 45% -$9,416

Politics

10% 56% +$2,265

Tech

1% 30% -$1,051

Sports

0% 50% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 1299 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+298	$200	88¢	$264	+$64	08-24 04:50
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No		+5,221	$342	5¢	$258	-$83	11-03 01:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+282	$200	85¢	$239	+$39	08-26 08:52
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		+159	$100	77¢	$122	+$22	08-25 22:43
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No		+220	$100	26¢	$58	-$42	08-25 22:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	—	+6	$3	98¢	$6	+$3	11-03 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	100¢	$5	+$3	11-03 03:04
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	100¢	$5	+$3	11-03 03:04
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$3	11-03 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$3	11-03 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	94¢	$5	+$2	11-03 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	622	622	+0	open	—	09-08 20:42
Will Dell say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	6	$676	1,384	0	+1,384	Yes	-$676	09-01 20:36
will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	54	$584	800	0	+800	Yes	-$584	08-28 00:05
Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?	31	$533	2,631	0	+2,631	Yes	-$533	09-01 20:39
ssi public model released by september 30 2026 20260810094604190	4	$512	981	981	+0	No	+$12	09-04 22:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	7	$502	3,187	0	+3,187	No	-$502	09-07 02:13
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	26	$435	1,040	0	+1,040	No	-$435	09-07 01:03
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	11	$422	565	0	+565	No	+$143	10-24 12:52
Will Nvidia say "Talent" during earnings call?	17	$400	598	0	+598	No	+$198	08-26 12:06
Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Steelers vs Browns game?	2	$391	437	0	+437	Yes	-$391	10-01 09:25
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	4	$386	455	0	+455	No	+$69	10-20 11:52
will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260823	1	$384	400	0	+400	No	+$16	08-22 02:01
will trump say bitcoin during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	1	$380	400	0	+400	No	+$20	10-03 08:36
will trump say bitcoin crypto cryptocurrency during his rally with darline graham	3	$376	400	0	+400	No	+$24	08-20 09:27
will the announcers say one handed during the dolphins vs 49ers game 20260921	4	$373	437	0	+437	No	+$64	09-20 05:27
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	7	$360	437	0	+437	Yes	-$360	10-21 14:53
will the announcers say what a catch during the dolphins vs 49ers game 20260921	2	$346	436	0	+436	No	+$90	09-20 05:27
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$344	400	0	+400	No	+$56	10-11 22:39
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	63	$342	5,221	0	+5,221	open	—	11-03 01:40
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	3	$341	370	0	+370	No	+$30	10-06 16:44
Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$328	400	0	+400	No	+$72	10-15 16:38
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	1	$324	400	0	+400	No	+$76	10-25 13:09
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? (copy)	1	$316	400	0	+400	Yes	-$316	10-21 13:56
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	5	$311	436	0	+436	No	+$125	10-02 08:04
Will Trump say "Lumber" during his rally in Oklahoma?	8	$302	436	0	+436	No	+$134	10-01 16:55
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	1	$292	400	0	+400	Yes	-$292	10-21 15:21
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	5	$291	437	0	+437	No	+$146	10-08 23:12
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	1	$288	400	0	+400	Yes	-$288	10-27 00:49
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	11	$280	400	0	+400	No	+$120	10-23 09:34
Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	26	$278	764	0	+764	No	+$487	10-22 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 03:04:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xbbc946…
11-03 03:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x9d126e…
11-03 03:04:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x53797e…
11-03 03:04:34	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x43d792…
11-03 03:04:34	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x30b685…
11-03 03:04:33	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xcc444b…
11-03 03:04:33	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1c4100…
11-03 03:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xd05fc3…
11-03 02:59:52	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x46c8b1…
11-03 02:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7151f5…
11-03 02:59:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x17e259…
11-03 02:59:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xe9718f…
11-03 02:59:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x75c0f2…
11-03 02:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xf3f549…
11-03 02:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x988e5c…
11-03 02:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x78688c…
11-03 02:34:48	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x228622…
11-03 02:29:25	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa13b26…
11-03 02:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x484363…
11-03 02:29:25	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x1538a1…
11-03 02:29:24	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4fc11…
11-03 02:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a7015…
11-03 02:29:24	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x634626…
11-03 02:29:06	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2dfd71…
11-03 02:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xd3b273…
11-03 02:14:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xd6f6c3…
11-03 02:14:40	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9582b8…
11-03 02:14:40	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3dd8d3…
11-03 02:14:40	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x31fa79…
11-03 02:14:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe48078…
11-03 02:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x80fc8d…
11-03 02:14:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x01c56a…
11-03 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xea9230…
11-03 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb5a299…
11-03 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa60976…
11-03 02:09:48	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x056cb5…
11-03 02:09:43	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x12e059…
11-03 02:09:36	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9f2d13…
11-03 02:09:36	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x2900aa…
11-03 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x1f4206…
11-03 02:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x1f4677…
11-03 01:59:51	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xc33a1b…
11-03 01:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x40abe1…
11-03 01:59:51	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x149cd2…
11-03 01:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x5eb136…
11-03 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x2bd480…
11-03 01:49:49	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa04113…
11-03 01:49:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaab564…
11-03 01:49:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x11f75c…
11-03 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2530f7…
11-03 01:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31ebb9…
11-03 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x76fb57…
11-03 01:40:12	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf449a7…
11-03 01:34:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xac09fb…
11-03 01:34:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfa47d5…
11-03 01:34:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x565320…
11-03 01:34:37	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x47ba34…
11-03 01:29:45	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe60c85…
11-03 01:29:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd0acd7…
11-03 01:29:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xac0397…
11-03 01:29:45	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x94c217…
11-03 01:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc8659e…
11-03 01:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x180001…
11-03 01:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xfe8b29…
11-03 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa84630…
11-03 01:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x794c5e…
11-03 01:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x98c263…
11-03 01:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8448ee…
11-03 01:14:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf7c641…
11-03 01:14:46	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcd7086…
11-03 01:14:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xab6b07…
11-03 01:14:46	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x30681c…
11-03 01:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8ab89b…
11-03 01:09:51	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x43ae1b…
11-03 01:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3ba81b…
11-03 01:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x810a18…
11-03 01:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x382b26…
11-03 01:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xebc486…
11-03 01:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcd2c54…
11-03 01:04:43	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x804044…
11-03 01:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x7f0711…
11-03 01:04:43	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7445c0…
11-03 01:04:43	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x58818f…
11-03 01:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x90ce6b…
11-03 00:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xc8399d…
11-03 00:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x6285c7…
11-03 00:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb72e7a…
11-03 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37869e…
11-03 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0545d4…
11-03 00:54:48	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa14cfc…
11-03 00:54:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x98a22c…
11-03 00:54:46	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe05a0b…
11-03 00:54:45	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd44baa…
11-03 00:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xc77f09…
11-03 00:54:43	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x530c56…
11-03 00:54:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x9ee966…
11-03 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa9b167…
11-03 00:44:54	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x626e07…
11-03 00:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc94a8e…
11-03 00:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8e01bc…