Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
-$100
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
25,931
lifetime
Volume
$1.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$441
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
55% 86% +$516
Other
34% 0% $-453
Crypto
10% 25% $-133
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 716 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -499 $-117 76¢ $-382 $-265 06-08 01:30
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +108 $76 24¢ $25 $-51 06-09 20:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +48 $15 29¢ $14 $-1 06-09 17:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +11 $-141 100¢ $11 +$152 06-07 20:51
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +11 $-53 76¢ $8 +$61 06-09 20:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-55 68¢ $1 +$55 06-08 22:44
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -0 $-0 87¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-24 72¢ $0 +$24 06-08 10:52
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +1 $6 14¢ $0 $-6 06-09 10:55
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +0 $9 15¢ $0 $-9 06-09 16:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 11:12
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-04 14:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1 $63 $0 $-63 06-07 21:22