Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
29,714
lifetime
Volume
$1.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$23
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
56% 86% +$516
Other
33% 0% $-453
Crypto
9% 25% $-133
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 716 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +48 $15 28¢ $13 $-1 06-09 17:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +36 $24 22¢ $8 $-17 06-15 03:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $2 19¢ $1 $-1 06-14 17:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $43 100¢ $1 $-43 06-20 10:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-24 72¢ $0 +$24 06-08 10:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -287 $-184 $-0 +$183 06-19 23:51