Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
28,630
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$18
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
56% 86% +$516
Other
33% 0% $-453
Crypto
9% 25% $-133
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 716 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +36 $24 30¢ $11 $-14 06-15 03:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +48 $15 $4 $-11 06-09 17:17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-14 17:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $43 100¢ $1 $-43 06-20 10:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-24 92¢ $0 +$24 06-08 10:52
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +0 $-7 99¢ $0 +$7 06-14 10:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -287 $-184 $-0 +$183 06-19 23:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +20 $-4 $0 +$4 06-14 20:26
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +1 $6 $0 $-6 06-09 10:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:12