Shimmering-Decline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$464

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-19 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 37% -$26

Other

2% 50% -$4

Sports

1% 50% +$3

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$28	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	05-28 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$26	45	45	+0	Up	+$8	05-28 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$21	24	23	+1	Down	+$4	05-28 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$19	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-28 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$16	24	12	+13	Up	-$4	05-28 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$16	23	16	+7	Up	-$4	06-13 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:05 UTC	4	$16	25	13	+12	Up	-$4	06-13 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$14	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-28 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$14	140	30	+110	Down	-$2	05-26 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$14	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-26 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-25 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$11	55	6	+49	Down	-$1	05-28 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-29 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$10	19	11	+8	Down	-$2	05-28 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$10	15	15	+0	Down	-$2	05-28 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$10	19	7	+12	Down	-$2	05-28 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$10	13	7	+6	Down	-$2	05-28 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	71	0	+71	Down	-$10	05-24 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$9	32	10	+21	Down	-$3	05-28 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-28 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$8	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-26 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	Up	-$2	06-13 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-26 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$8	9	6	+3	Up	-$1	05-28 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$7	17	17	+0	Down	-$3	05-29 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-28 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-28 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Down	+$9	05-28 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:16:12	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xde1de1…
06-13 01:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbf1ab4…
06-13 01:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xa22bb3…
06-13 01:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x1be0ca…
06-13 01:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xab264c…
06-13 01:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcb2179…
06-13 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xe50f94…
06-13 00:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5bf74a…
06-13 00:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x096c46…
06-13 00:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x2fe4fb…
06-13 00:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x806569…
06-13 00:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x99ff27…
05-30 00:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x08a460…
05-30 00:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc363a4…
05-29 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x1baa5e…
05-29 23:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf48286…
05-29 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xbfb1ff…
05-29 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeea904…
05-29 23:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbbad13…
05-29 23:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbd0796…
05-29 23:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x4125a2…
05-29 23:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xccaac1…
05-29 23:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x1e21fa…
05-29 23:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x05141d…
05-28 23:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x09cd46…
05-28 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8de2ca…
05-28 23:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x24af59…
05-28 22:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4fdd75…
05-28 22:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x2cfcdf…
05-28 22:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9271e3…
05-28 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdbb816…
05-28 22:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x946968…
05-28 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x21c9f7…
05-28 22:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x5fbaf5…
05-28 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6076d6…
05-28 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd94f5f…
05-28 22:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x51478d…
05-28 22:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x732e1a…
05-28 22:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xd06aac…
05-28 22:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5cb79a…
05-28 22:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x0bb880…
05-28 22:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3f400b…
05-28 22:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x485dcf…
05-28 22:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x49db70…
05-28 22:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa921b5…
05-28 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x61e7da…
05-28 22:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x01bfd6…
05-28 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0ed914…
05-28 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd87c25…
05-28 22:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe2ba45…
05-28 01:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x84a00e…
05-28 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfd4f94…
05-28 01:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x993566…
05-28 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x7cdab6…
05-28 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc5c229…
05-28 01:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x7a8b45…
05-28 01:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc2fa1f…
05-28 01:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf09940…
05-28 01:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd05c1a…
05-28 01:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x24dda0…
05-28 01:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x69df1d…
05-28 01:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x367739…
05-28 01:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0xf3ea3a…
05-28 01:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x2f6955…
05-28 01:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xe3e5a6…
05-28 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xcce908…
05-28 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xcb8eae…
05-28 01:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf36266…
05-28 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x3230e4…
05-28 01:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x689244…
05-28 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb7fc23…
05-28 00:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x432bf7…
05-28 00:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x5c7ae7…
05-28 00:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc7e23e…
05-28 00:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xad1223…
05-28 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x0a1abf…
05-28 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x5eaa3d…
05-28 00:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x9b751b…
05-28 00:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xf380a7…
05-28 00:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xff63f6…
05-28 00:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x153960…
05-28 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x91e27d…
05-28 00:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x17b1ec…
05-28 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xc816ce…
05-28 00:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x521ad6…
05-28 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0x92ac1f…
05-28 00:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x84eaf9…
05-28 00:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x444f5c…
05-28 00:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf30df1…
05-28 00:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xf878b1…
05-28 00:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe2ec11…
05-26 01:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa80c7c…
05-26 01:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbaf060…
05-26 01:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x124ce4…
05-26 01:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3f73f8…
05-26 01:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x034e30…
05-26 01:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x625659…
05-26 01:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x96a9cc…
05-26 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8ff2fa…
05-26 01:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xed3e8f…