Little-Toreador — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$100.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$318

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 09-27 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$9,715

Other

34% 97% +$2,386

Sports

19% 93% +$894

Crypto

5% 100% +$1,516

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$22.4K	11,338	11,603	-265	Yes	+$217	03-23 14:48
will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	41	$9.6K	10,488	0	+10,488	No	+$879	03-23 23:20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	1	$9.2K	9,199	0	+9,199	Yes	+$13	04-20 18:27
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	2	$8.5K	8,895	0	+8,895	Yes	+$430	04-01 09:24
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	2	$6.0K	6,264	0	+6,264	Yes	+$219	05-07 17:24
Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?	1	$5.3K	5,354	0	+5,354	No	+$5	06-03 09:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.1K	6,571	0	+6,571	Yes	+$1,516	06-01 00:56
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$3.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$0	04-15 03:11
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	2	$3.0K	3,928	0	+3,928	No	+$976	05-08 03:16
will trump say jesus this week march 8	38	$2.3K	10,577	272	+10,304	Yes	+$8,482	03-09 12:16
will trump say six seven this week march 29	2	$2.1K	2,134	0	+2,134	Yes	+$21	03-27 18:32
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	5	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$420	09-27 21:40
1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	1	$1.6K	1,595	0	+1,595	No	+$17	03-30 22:18
will the 1st pick in the 2026 pro football draft be a qb	1	$1.5K	1,504	0	+1,504	Yes	+$27	04-14 14:09
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	3	$1.4K	1,727	0	+1,727	Yes	+$320	06-05 03:57
Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	2	$1.4K	1,409	0	+1,409	No	+$20	06-15 20:27
will trump say easter in march	1	$1.2K	1,245	0	+1,245	Yes	+$4	03-24 03:45
us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	1	$1.2K	1,243	0	+1,243	No	+$12	03-30 22:24
2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,169	0	+1,169	No	+$19	03-30 22:06
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$960	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$40	07-24 17:48
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	1	$780	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$220	09-27 21:39
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	5	$770	957	0	+957	Yes	+$187	07-24 08:44
anyone charged for doxing delta force commander heading maduro grab by march 31	1	$716	723	0	+723	No	+$7	03-30 22:28
will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	1	$693	700	0	+700	No	+$7	03-30 22:20
will apple release a new version of the apple tv by march 31	1	$637	641	0	+641	No	+$4	03-30 22:10
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	1	$592	704	0	+704	No	+$113	06-05 03:54
Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?	2	$566	585	0	+585	Yes	+$20	04-20 02:55
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	1	$556	565	0	+565	Yes	+$9	04-14 15:02
becca good charged by march 31	1	$508	513	0	+513	No	+$5	03-30 22:09
will trump sue michael wolff by march 31	1	$497	502	0	+502	No	+$5	03-30 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 21:40:02	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x5f0ce1…
09-27 21:39:39	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	415	79¢	$328	0xfb2d1f…
09-27 21:39:33	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x2a2416…
09-27 21:39:33	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	312	79¢	$247	0x1608d3…
09-27 21:39:02	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0xe2cbdd…
09-27 21:38:00	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	213	79¢	$168	0x6cc752…
08-04 07:51:50	Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	No	BUY	251	66¢	$167	0x884050…
07-24 17:48:13	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xac89f6…
07-24 08:44:45	Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x748834…
07-24 08:44:45	Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	BUY	285	87¢	$248	0x5cbc6f…
07-24 08:19:49	Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x601b5f…
07-24 08:19:49	Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	BUY	255	81¢	$207	0x11f4d8…
06-15 20:27:15	Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0db12c…
06-15 20:26:48	Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	No	BUY	1,389	99¢	$1,369	0xf8ecaf…
06-08 10:24:34	Bahrain leading at halftime?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x776435…
06-08 10:22:49	Syria leading at halftime?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x00a32b…
06-08 10:22:33	Syria leading at halftime?	No	BUY	481	90¢	$433	0x9e879e…
06-08 10:10:24	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x6e7535…
06-08 10:10:16	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	157	43¢	$67	0x458a36…
06-08 09:51:39	Will Richard T. Lee leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8ed4b6…
06-08 09:43:19	Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	BUY	332	73¢	$243	0xa61330…
06-08 09:35:51	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xafc76d…
06-08 08:05:09	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xa816a3…
06-08 08:02:43	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xc480a6…
06-08 07:59:43	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	478	41¢	$196	0x5c5881…
06-08 07:53:25	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x287c38…
06-08 07:53:03	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	92	45¢	$42	0x92996c…
06-08 07:49:19	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	131	45¢	$59	0xdd4dcf…
06-08 07:47:30	Bahrain vs. Syria: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	273	45¢	$123	0xe6a0ea…
06-08 07:39:12	Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	450	85¢	$383	0x2853ad…
06-08 07:22:31	Spread: Syria (-2.5)	Syria	BUY	56	42¢	$24	0x1ef24e…
06-08 07:13:42	Spread: Bahrain (-2.5)	Bahrain	BUY	79	40¢	$32	0x51fc6b…
06-08 06:56:37	Spread: Bahrain (-1.5)	Bahrain	BUY	992	38¢	$377	0x5a9d13…
06-08 06:51:10	Spread: Bahrain (-2.5)	Bahrain	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa59ccd…
06-08 06:50:06	Spread: Bahrain (-2.5)	Bahrain	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0xd04502…
06-06 15:58:37	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	303	1¢	$3	0x4172b2…
06-06 04:33:12	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xb52211…
06-06 04:29:04	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x73a0fb…
06-06 04:21:51	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x702f5c…
06-06 04:09:09	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x253cb7…
06-05 04:33:45	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x3d42f1…
06-05 04:03:03	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	162	2¢	$3	0x95debf…
06-05 04:02:51	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0x54340d…
06-05 04:02:39	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd03fd6…
06-05 04:02:03	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf60cba…
06-05 04:01:57	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe62d32…
06-05 04:01:48	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3e9b8a…
06-05 04:01:43	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1e771d…
06-05 04:01:36	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x23fabf…
06-05 04:01:27	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x74b468…
06-05 04:01:21	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x56898a…
06-05 04:01:15	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9550ac…
06-05 04:00:57	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xf21ec3…
06-05 04:00:16	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xddee1a…
06-05 04:00:06	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x0fa0e6…
06-05 03:57:25	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	81	81¢	$66	0xa28c10…
06-05 03:57:09	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	800	82¢	$656	0x9ce7c8…
06-05 03:56:46	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	846	81¢	$685	0x531e57…
06-05 03:54:18	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	BUY	704	84¢	$592	0xb3fbcf…
06-03 09:53:32	Will David Njoku play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x156a61…
06-03 09:53:18	Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?	No	BUY	5,354	100¢	$5,349	0x7ca90a…
06-01 00:56:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,571	77¢	$5,055	0x174522…
05-20 15:45:53	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	99¢	$292	0x578659…
05-08 03:16:55	Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0x5ea0b3…
05-08 03:16:47	Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3,827	75¢	$2,871	0xee6fef…
05-07 17:24:35	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x0df9ba…
05-07 17:23:56	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5,955	96¢	$5,745	0x8502f7…
05-07 13:07:32	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4aa32c…
05-06 17:36:54	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xfa2beb…
05-06 11:16:32	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0xd80b6f…
05-06 11:13:28	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0x79cb42…
05-06 11:11:22	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xb5c0bc…
05-06 11:09:14	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd4963e…
05-06 11:07:42	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x275d14…
05-06 11:05:42	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xcfe469…
04-23 00:39:20	Will Sam Leavitt be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$1	0xeff778…
04-23 00:39:18	Will Drew Allar be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$1	0x6bdf88…
04-23 00:39:16	Will Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$1	0xb66925…
04-23 00:39:16	Will Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$1	0x901573…
04-23 00:39:14	Will LaNorris Sellers be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$1	0x24e4d0…
04-22 10:50:50	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xbcf598…
04-22 10:50:18	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2cfeb6…
04-22 10:49:46	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe73bfb…
04-22 10:48:56	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcf6092…
04-22 10:47:52	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe00ce0…
04-22 10:47:22	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbd6f25…
04-22 10:46:20	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7b16b2…
04-22 10:45:46	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7c50bc…
04-22 10:45:16	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xdee934…
04-21 17:57:16	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x6ab460…
04-20 23:18:30	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x035e80…
04-20 23:13:24	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	425	0¢	$0	0xeb976d…
04-20 23:12:58	Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0d4a5e…
04-20 18:27:52	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	9,199	100¢	$9,186	0x51ba0e…
04-20 03:51:56	Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	No	BUY	1,296	1¢	$12	0x99bd0f…
04-20 03:15:42	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,100 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xdcd04d…
04-20 03:14:38	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,100 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xcff7f6…
04-20 03:13:10	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,050 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6ed31b…
04-20 03:13:00	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,100 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0xa058de…
04-20 02:55:52	Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0xd94d5a…