Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

255

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-26 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 52% -$682

Other

20% 0% -$3,303

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2.8K	23,048	0	+23,048	No	-$2,766	09-15 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:10 UTC	2	$413	215	215	+0	Up	+$13	10-13 11:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$392	122,154	0	+122,154	No	-$392	09-16 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	9	$331	262	262	+0	Up	-$44	10-03 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC	10	$301	289	246	+43	Up	+$15	10-04 11:24
ethereum up or down march 7 2pm et	15	$254	538	531	+7	Down	-$252	03-07 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	2	$238	266	266	+0	Down	-$44	10-13 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$227	156	156	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	9	$225	239	190	+48	Down	-$40	10-04 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:25 UTC	2	$221	147	147	+0	Up	+$71	10-13 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	7	$212	147	147	+0	Down	+$12	10-04 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	7	$194	163	163	+0	Up	-$20	10-06 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 09:30 UTC	9	$189	195	158	+37	Up	-$6	03-11 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:15 UTC	3	$171	106	106	+0	Up	+$31	10-04 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	7	$169	127	127	+0	Up	+$23	10-05 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	7	$161	161	92	+68	Up	+$68	10-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$157	98	98	+0	Down	+$37	10-15 13:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 18:45 UTC	15	$149	264	209	+55	Down	-$33	03-07 18:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$146	112,961	0	+112,961	No	-$146	09-15 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$146	136	136	+0	Down	$0	10-12 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:20 UTC	2	$144	79	79	+0	Up	+$12	10-13 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$141	185	185	+0	Down	-$49	10-12 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	3	$138	85	84	+1	Up	+$28	03-11 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:40 UTC	9	$137	107	107	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:50 UTC	2	$133	93	91	+1	Up	+$49	03-11 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$127	75	75	+0	Up	+$18	10-12 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	6	$126	129	129	+0	Up	+$6	10-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$125	84	84	+0	Up	+$41	10-15 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	12	$125	91	91	+0	Up	+$49	10-07 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC	6	$124	176	85	+91	Up	-$63	10-05 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8e28b8…
10-26 18:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bdc5c…
10-26 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9812a8…
10-26 18:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc890e2…
10-26 18:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7372da…
10-26 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x910a4a…
10-26 18:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x43d735…
10-26 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe7ca71…
10-26 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b6cfe…
10-26 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x2ece83…
10-15 13:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xaf49ac…
10-15 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc8d144…
10-15 13:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcaae7f…
10-15 13:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	188	48¢	$90	0xaa178e…
10-15 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xb4aca8…
10-15 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0xd3c2e7…
10-15 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x5e1aa6…
10-15 13:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x690ec9…
10-15 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x912a54…
10-15 13:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x1b1906…
10-15 13:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x4bad67…
10-15 12:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x687102…
10-15 12:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x8bd6dd…
10-15 12:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x789b1a…
10-15 12:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0x35bd4a…
10-15 12:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	76¢	$33	0x92b804…
10-15 12:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	64¢	$42	0xf71441…
10-13 13:26:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	58	47¢	$27	0x36b568…
10-13 13:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	95	31¢	$29	0xc14cdc…
10-13 13:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x362ede…
10-13 13:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7b9d67…
10-13 12:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0xa3a664…
10-13 12:32:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	266	36¢	$97	0xfdaccc…
10-13 12:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	266	53¢	$141	0xb1d7a0…
10-13 12:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xda4554…
10-13 12:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0x3013dd…
10-13 12:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x7be007…
10-13 12:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0xd92d08…
10-13 11:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x3189ce…
10-13 11:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6906ae…
10-13 11:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x9ec2f6…
10-13 11:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	54	63¢	$34	0xaa0dfb…
10-13 11:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x551c25…
10-13 11:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0xd92452…
10-13 11:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x5df13b…
10-13 11:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	79	92¢	$73	0x957eed…
10-13 11:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x59e2a5…
10-12 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	95	63¢	$60	0x034e62…
10-12 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xa40c81…
10-12 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x344ba4…
10-12 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xd45f87…
10-12 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaa175f…
10-12 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xc1d382…
10-12 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	43	98¢	$43	0xf2b868…
10-12 18:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xc16a0e…
10-12 18:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83	10¢	$8	0x3d47a5…
10-12 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x9bab6a…
10-12 18:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x29b5a1…
10-12 18:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xc8706a…
10-12 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x25bc78…
10-12 18:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x59c4c6…
10-12 18:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	154	10¢	$15	0x4cadff…
10-12 18:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	89	37¢	$33	0xeaa2ed…
10-12 18:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xbc466b…
10-12 18:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xe525b9…
10-12 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8bd178…
10-12 18:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	52	62¢	$32	0xc81cda…
10-12 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xfe37e7…
10-12 18:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x9f3a3b…
10-12 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xe55586…
10-12 18:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x8360ac…
10-12 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	59	49¢	$29	0x629c8e…
10-12 18:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xb5d622…
10-12 18:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x702d14…
10-12 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0xd60a90…
10-09 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7350df…
10-09 07:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb05bba…
10-09 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xda7c13…
10-07 08:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	130	51¢	$66	0x1f38b3…
10-07 08:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	103	32¢	$33	0xfbc950…
10-07 08:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0xb29336…
10-07 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x621849…
10-07 07:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xb024a2…
10-07 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0xd36af5…
10-07 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x386e4f…
10-07 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe943e8…
10-07 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xb847b9…
10-07 07:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0xd2644f…
10-07 07:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7f232d…
10-07 07:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x03772f…
10-07 07:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4f3cdf…
10-07 07:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	55	40¢	$22	0xa2f4f4…
10-07 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x9945da…
10-07 07:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x9a23ad…
10-07 07:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	34	22¢	$8	0xe41af8…
10-07 07:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0xe6a3ea…
10-07 07:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	61	45¢	$28	0x15e62c…
10-07 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xd9e50f…
10-07 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xce2bfb…
10-07 07:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	99	10¢	$10	0xff21e3…