Unnatural-Resolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$872

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

513

Trades

2,411

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-28 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

92% 46% +$963

Crypto

7% 42% -$90

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+13	$11	7¢	$1	-$11	09-28 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	25	$664	561	561	+0	Yes	+$315	06-04 11:16
highest temperature in chongqing on march 21 2026 19c	2	$560	281	281	+0	No	+$1	03-21 06:06
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 23c	2	$559	280	280	+0	No	+$1	03-21 04:59
highest temperature in wuhan on march 20 2026 14c	2	$553	284	284	+0	No	+$15	03-20 09:22
highest temperature in wuhan on march 23 2026 17c	7	$507	255	255	+0	No	+$2	03-23 07:20
highest temperature in wuhan on march 22 2026 21c	3	$505	253	253	+0	No	+$0	03-22 14:55
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 20c	2	$503	254	254	+0	No	+$1	03-22 05:55
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?	9	$454	348	348	+0	Yes	-$193	06-06 17:10
highest temperature in chengdu on april 8 2026 22corhigher	3	$403	204	203	+0	Yes	+$3	04-08 06:01
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 21c	4	$396	269	269	+0	No	+$142	03-20 08:19
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	3	$375	429	105	+324	Yes	-$34	03-24 04:22
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$325	163	163	+0	Gold	+$0	01-25 16:30
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$325	165	165	+0	No	+$0	01-22 15:27
highest temperature in chongqing on march 21 2026 21corhigher	2	$298	151	151	+0	No	+$3	03-21 15:23
highest temperature in singapore on march 19 2026 34c	11	$288	150	150	+0	No	+$0	03-19 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?	21	$268	239	239	+0	Yes	+$209	06-16 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 19?	10	$257	154	184	-30	Yes	+$6	06-19 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 19?	15	$236	171	171	+0	No	+$5	06-19 11:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 13c	6	$235	147	147	+0	No	+$11	03-19 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?	12	$219	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 12:33
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 11c	2	$210	107	107	+0	No	+$4	03-19 04:53
highest temperature in wuhan on march 21 2026 17c	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	03-21 08:06
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$198	108	108	+0	Yes	+$3	01-30 07:06
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 19c	9	$194	123	123	+0	No	$0	03-19 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12?	12	$191	110	110	+0	Yes	+$29	06-12 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 6?	10	$191	109	109	+0	Yes	-$2	06-06 11:23
highest temperature in chongqing on april 23 2026 24c	14	$187	100	99	+1	No	+$11	04-23 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?	11	$181	270	292	-22	No	-$56	06-20 00:49
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$178	100	100	+0	No	+$6	01-11 13:26
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 18c	4	$177	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	03-19 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 10:51:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x65c888…
09-28 10:50:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x220080…
09-04 10:53:00	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdfec6a…
09-04 10:52:34	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x32bc62…
09-04 10:34:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb903df…
07-19 05:53:07	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	SELL	165	4¢	$7	0xd505eb…
07-19 04:32:37	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x739b4b…
07-18 22:00:13	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x41cf42…
07-18 10:16:34	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0x076e2a…
06-24 12:20:50	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1d9bd0…
06-24 08:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc618d6…
06-24 07:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xca6dc8…
06-24 07:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xe1b1eb…
06-24 07:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x352145…
06-24 06:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x1f4109…
06-24 06:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x88b641…
06-24 05:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x05b848…
06-24 03:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd9f4c1…
06-24 03:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x58e8a1…
06-24 03:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x6514ff…
06-24 02:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xe402d4…
06-24 02:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x94e573…
06-24 02:31:19	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0cfcec…
06-24 02:31:13	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf2fc09…
06-23 19:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x15d7cf…
06-23 18:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x6680fa…
06-23 16:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x37c9e7…
06-23 15:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0xa35864…
06-23 15:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x606a5c…
06-23 15:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xde2238…
06-23 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0abefb…
06-23 15:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2a568b…
06-23 15:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x423e71…
06-23 15:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1b1f2a…
06-23 14:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x927b1c…
06-23 14:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xeffedf…
06-23 14:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf92447…
06-23 14:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x94e0fe…
06-23 14:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xae1c56…
06-23 11:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x47b65d…
06-23 11:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x751dd2…
06-23 11:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb42ad6…
06-23 10:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x668a98…
06-23 10:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	61	19¢	$11	0x947a04…
06-23 10:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x1c3bc6…
06-23 10:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf59318…
06-23 08:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0496e0…
06-23 07:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xd8c45e…
06-23 07:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x30a077…
06-23 06:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x65f72b…
06-23 06:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x3045c1…
06-23 06:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x0fd046…
06-23 06:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x2d7d40…
06-23 06:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x17c5c2…
06-23 06:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x498ee3…
06-23 06:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0x7c940d…
06-23 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xdf8753…
06-23 06:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xede5c5…
06-23 06:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xf84493…
06-23 06:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x78b544…
06-23 06:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0aa215…
06-23 06:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb56788…
06-23 06:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xe8a3f5…
06-23 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xc0a744…
06-23 06:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0xbec6ea…
06-23 06:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0x40c78c…
06-23 06:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5a8b84…
06-23 06:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xe8505d…
06-23 06:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x2c620c…
06-23 05:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x4eb92a…
06-23 05:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x539195…
06-23 05:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xafcb68…
06-23 05:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x472d6c…
06-23 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x07e87f…
06-23 05:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x3b471a…
06-23 05:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x1e18f6…
06-23 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xce722b…
06-23 05:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6c2c08…
06-23 05:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x193435…
06-23 03:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x3b6972…
06-23 03:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xbd081a…
06-23 03:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4cdb4c…
06-23 03:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x4cb79b…
06-23 02:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x8cf1d6…
06-23 02:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x857c71…
06-23 02:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb58cac…
06-23 02:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x8f2112…
06-23 02:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xf26896…
06-23 02:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xdf24ce…
06-23 01:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x66d30f…
06-23 01:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf477e5…
06-23 01:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x8f4001…
06-23 01:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe6eb6e…
06-23 01:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x821112…
06-23 01:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x899f4b…
06-23 01:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x1deee5…
06-23 01:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xc743b3…
06-23 01:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x213e49…
06-23 01:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x62cfb9…
06-23 00:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc344f0…