Subdued-Panpipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,893

lifetime

Volume

$4.84M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.67K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-11 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

93% 88% +$207,403

Other

6% 77% -$27,680

Sports

1% 50% +$272

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	339	$745.6K	427,707	430,763	-3,055	No	+$4,689	02-01 01:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	422	$656.6K	869,596	636,345	+233,251	Yes	+$163,974	02-28 06:58
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	139	$321.6K	182,249	182,549	-300	No	+$471	02-12 01:26
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	88	$321.5K	164,970	167,583	-2,613	No	+$1,095	02-24 19:25
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	29	$205.2K	109,611	109,611	+0	No	+$320	02-27 21:28
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	36	$183.6K	136,169	53,287	+82,882	No	+$354	02-09 21:48
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	40	$179.6K	90,308	90,308	+0	No	+$813	02-05 03:33
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	53	$172.4K	90,903	90,903	+0	No	+$2,680	02-04 10:52
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	41	$154.6K	79,831	79,831	+0	No	+$104	02-25 19:51
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	8	$151.1K	121,878	38,643	+83,235	No	+$4,656	02-21 22:53
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$143.6K	72,427	72,427	+0	No	+$964	02-21 03:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$128.4K	64,437	64,437	+0	Yes	+$67	03-08 23:00
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	80	$110.7K	55,958	55,958	+0	No	+$170	02-02 11:09
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	65	$101.6K	51,890	51,945	-55	No	+$284	01-25 23:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	56	$97.5K	73,503	72,503	+1,000	No	-$40,897	03-09 19:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	171	$85.9K	66,196	66,046	+150	Yes	+$1,864	02-28 06:34
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	8	$84.8K	85,689	0	+85,689	No	+$904	02-23 23:26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	204	$83.6K	72,135	68,076	+4,059	Yes	+$3,880	02-28 06:32
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	82	$78.3K	38,843	41,123	-2,280	No	+$311	01-26 23:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	31	$72.5K	112,197	42,488	+69,709	No	-$949	01-24 03:05
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	29	$65.5K	36,149	36,149	+0	No	+$803	03-08 22:42
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	32	$60.4K	31,174	31,174	+0	No	+$459	02-06 23:29
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	27	$55.1K	52,473	3,865	+48,609	No	+$782	01-24 23:04
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	9	$51.2K	28,704	28,704	+0	No	+$137	02-20 19:53
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	16	$49.8K	50,343	0	+50,342	No	+$504	02-17 12:21
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	75	$45.3K	43,975	43,569	+406	Yes	+$2,042	02-28 06:35
internet access restored in iran by friday	90	$42.8K	21,255	23,048	-1,794	No	+$1,383	01-17 08:14
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	13	$39.3K	23,921	23,921	+0	Charles Oliveira	+$1,232	03-08 05:10
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	17	$34.5K	37,032	0	+37,032	No	+$2,541	01-15 00:42
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	38	$23.1K	11,805	11,805	+0	No	+$132	01-29 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 03:50:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbef9b9…
06-25 16:08:19	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x8c86bf…
06-25 16:07:35	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x6c5ef8…
06-25 16:06:55	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xb0af21…
06-25 16:06:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xfb4a78…
06-25 16:05:28	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e739f…
06-25 16:04:50	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xffc533…
06-25 16:04:50	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9a4d38…
06-25 16:04:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xe462bc…
06-25 16:04:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5f090c…
06-25 16:02:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x872ef8…
06-13 08:04:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	616	93¢	$572	0x33ff3f…
05-19 03:05:50	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xabf797…
05-18 20:44:57	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	616	99¢	$613	0x3fcfa5…
05-18 17:36:09	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,401	99¢	$1,392	0x250706…
05-18 12:41:57	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	Yes	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0x9207e8…
05-18 12:34:57	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x42b2d3…
05-18 12:34:06	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2,438	94¢	$2,287	0xbe7e40…
05-16 22:09:11	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x00edd1…
05-16 22:02:37	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x600367…
05-16 21:57:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	45¢	$50	0x48257d…
05-16 21:56:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	45¢	$200	0xcc0028…
05-16 17:41:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0xb4aa63…
05-16 14:04:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	72¢	$198	0xbfdf83…
05-16 13:42:33	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x7c16fd…
05-16 10:38:11	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xb2de2a…
05-16 09:11:06	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xa0e1e4…
05-16 09:03:47	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	Yes	BUY	800	91¢	$728	0xb853df…
05-16 08:34:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xc6b18a…
05-16 08:33:06	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x9b572a…
05-16 07:34:09	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x4ee6c2…
05-14 03:11:40	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	88¢	$518	0x65c116…
05-13 14:57:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xe0a2ed…
05-13 06:16:50	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	88¢	$308	0x9deb20…
05-12 20:45:50	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdc2db8…
05-12 17:04:12	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x268e19…
05-12 16:59:37	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xbec394…
05-12 05:40:34	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,663	94¢	$1,563	0x0a0de7…
05-11 19:17:57	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	694	91¢	$631	0x3411fd…
05-11 18:32:46	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xfe19ba…
05-11 18:27:38	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa157a1…
05-11 17:30:31	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa7cffb…
05-11 16:30:02	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	91¢	$165	0x81bbaa…
05-10 22:57:03	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb3a1dd…
05-10 20:52:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x93256f…
05-10 20:14:59	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf6a438…
05-10 20:01:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x23fca0…
05-10 19:56:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x17ec70…
05-10 19:32:41	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x1e5c6a…
05-10 19:02:28	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x6fa062…
05-10 18:00:35	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xad6816…
05-10 17:29:43	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe36f39…
05-10 16:55:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x1185f2…
05-10 16:38:56	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	89¢	$67	0xc9f2da…
05-10 14:06:52	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x95d578…
05-10 13:57:21	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x77f393…
05-10 10:55:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xc67c99…
05-10 09:24:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x8ae3cf…
05-10 08:26:45	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x164d19…
05-09 15:44:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,410	91¢	$1,283	0xcf9de0…
05-09 13:55:46	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf45c44…
05-09 13:51:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x827c91…
05-09 12:49:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xd5e713…
05-09 12:43:52	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	91¢	$107	0x5d51a8…
05-09 08:02:32	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xb63ac8…
05-09 08:00:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc5d368…
05-09 06:06:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	91¢	$94	0xdfe53a…
03-09 19:28:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	38,963	14¢	$5,267	0xd97e02…
03-09 19:27:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2,118	51¢	$1,071	0xc5afea…
03-09 19:25:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8,062	55¢	$4,459	0xfe9a57…
03-09 19:23:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xde227f…
03-09 19:20:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0xccf295…
03-09 16:43:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1,630	67¢	$1,092	0x3496be…
03-09 16:42:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xc00d33…
03-09 16:42:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	7,128	68¢	$4,813	0xb5fbae…
03-09 14:53:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xeb8188…
03-09 14:53:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	752	78¢	$587	0x95ee95…
03-09 14:52:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x02bfea…
03-09 09:41:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x64fd12…
03-09 09:41:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	208	70¢	$146	0x2b3d22…
03-09 09:23:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x2b20c0…
03-09 09:22:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x21fb55…
03-09 09:19:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	108	74¢	$80	0x26ddf2…
03-09 09:19:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x82ccee…
03-09 09:18:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xb30e8e…
03-09 09:18:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x7dfe6c…
03-09 09:18:27	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x349d14…
03-09 09:16:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x7f766a…
03-09 09:16:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xbb8777…
03-09 09:15:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x915e5a…
03-09 09:15:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	235	75¢	$176	0xaed1e0…
03-09 09:13:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x28cbc1…
03-09 09:13:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	134	75¢	$100	0xe8f2a6…
03-09 09:12:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfbe449…
03-09 09:11:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0x0d77df…
03-09 09:11:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	179	75¢	$134	0xe6b8ed…
03-09 09:11:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x155898…
03-09 09:10:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xe0818c…
03-09 09:10:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8cef5c…
03-09 09:08:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xab0c59…