Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$20

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 10-30 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

71% 22% +$0

Tech

29% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:47:13	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x11a7d6…
10-30 08:00:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x358382…
10-29 23:11:46	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcf952b…
10-29 23:07:40	Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2adad1…
10-29 22:11:22	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd5f48c…
10-29 21:47:28	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb54def…
10-29 14:45:16	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3e1432…
10-29 14:42:25	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xaba696…
10-29 07:04:43	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2f0cf6…
10-28 13:40:23	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbf06cd…
10-28 13:03:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe4c444…
10-28 10:11:50	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x54d1d9…
10-28 10:09:26	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc06378…
10-28 10:09:07	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x9b06ec…
10-27 23:01:02	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5b89cc…
10-27 19:33:32	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7694f…
10-27 16:03:33	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc89f05…
10-27 16:03:33	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x484c03…
10-27 13:03:17	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa2bbf2…
10-27 12:02:36	Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xab72b0…
10-26 23:07:12	Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb84ef9…
10-26 08:05:32	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x3347ca…
10-25 14:06:26	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb82704…
10-25 13:02:54	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6413b8…
10-24 12:02:14	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdb5f8a…
10-24 03:43:03	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc658ef…
10-24 02:03:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x42b3ec…
10-24 01:51:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x26d69a…
10-23 17:04:24	Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x379d17…
10-23 05:47:35	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xba2d94…
10-23 05:40:50	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x594c70…
10-23 05:40:48	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc0331b…
10-23 05:40:48	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x71384c…
10-23 05:40:48	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1b5cf4…
10-23 04:36:26	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x4eb059…
10-23 00:49:24	Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42570b…
10-22 13:15:05	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x3c9f6f…
10-22 10:04:17	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe1c636…
10-22 10:04:17	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8eddd2…
10-22 10:04:17	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2f1468…
10-22 06:18:22	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf8b6bb…
10-22 06:06:04	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb20a23…
10-22 05:46:16	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xe92852…
10-22 03:52:30	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x145b79…
10-22 02:49:50	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd42836…
10-22 02:49:50	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6281d9…
10-21 18:47:39	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x76dbab…
10-21 15:40:11	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x13828e…
10-21 15:40:09	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x95d59e…
10-21 15:40:09	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4df9e3…
10-21 07:53:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x6dcfeb…
10-19 14:16:57	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x90a099…
10-18 14:17:18	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd1693b…
10-18 05:51:36	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1d7a48…
10-16 06:17:58	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x31e02f…
10-15 14:23:40	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xef8cd9…
10-15 14:23:38	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xacac56…
10-15 09:39:53	Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9c8507…
10-15 07:56:17	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa80e04…
10-14 19:11:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x9f367c…
10-13 20:44:34	Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x201337…
10-13 20:44:31	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x68fff8…
10-13 20:40:21	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8c0226…
10-13 17:42:07	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x60bd86…
10-13 09:01:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfeb99a…
10-12 17:38:00	Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf7e869…
10-11 03:19:17	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x529c37…
10-09 00:20:17	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xedcbee…
10-08 23:36:18	Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x85a5fc…
10-08 15:28:20	Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x67c43e…
10-07 17:03:01	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8b1e70…
10-07 13:45:44	Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfe430f…
10-07 13:45:44	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x64de94…
10-07 13:14:10	Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbb7351…
10-07 13:14:10	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x387584…
10-07 07:42:02	Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfc235…
10-06 15:42:48	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x002a20…
10-05 22:56:04	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa72ab8…
10-05 12:47:46	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7ea609…
10-05 04:08:53	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x139bba…
10-05 03:59:14	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb16038…
10-05 03:53:25	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf4b1f…
10-05 03:46:11	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd981ff…
10-05 03:46:11	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9421b1…
10-04 23:05:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5f627a…
10-04 06:32:52	Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa4805b…
10-04 06:32:52	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x622588…
10-04 06:31:59	Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x556749…
10-04 06:31:59	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x441acd…
10-03 23:17:23	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe4bb61…
10-03 22:40:38	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf20c6…
10-02 15:41:24	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9c2e88…
10-02 15:35:15	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x077eeb…
10-02 14:30:30	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6fb4b5…
10-02 14:14:06	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5f50dc…
10-02 12:04:42	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0a2cae…
10-02 09:43:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4e5ed0…
10-02 08:45:38	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbc4890…
10-02 08:45:36	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x34b28b…
10-02 05:55:20	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfdd6ad…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	09-21 00:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	09-30 20:14
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$2	15	15	+0	No	+$1	08-10 23:47
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	10-01 00:02
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	15	$1	193	70	+123	No	+$0	10-23 05:47
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	4	$1	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-04 01:40
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	09-30 20:45
Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-24 18:32
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	8	$0	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-27 14:53
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-08 11:36
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	3	$0	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 14:06
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	08-13 12:32
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	09-30 20:06
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	09-30 20:37
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	4	$0	20	0	+20	open	—	10-01 04:46
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 06:06
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	3	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	10-27 12:02
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	5	$0	25	0	+25	open	—	10-01 07:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$0	15	15	+0	open	—	10-21 07:53
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$0	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 08:05
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	7	$0	30	0	+30	open	—	10-29 14:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	3	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	10-24 02:03
Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	5	$0	126	57	+69	No	$0	10-22 06:18
Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	2	$0	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 23:07
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$0	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 17:04
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	2	$0	9	9	+0	open	—	10-30 08:00
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	09-23 20:02
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	3	$0	15	0	+15	No	$0	08-03 21:06
Does Ox Alpha belong to xAI?	3	$0	14	5	+9	No	+$0	08-25 14:21
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	1	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	10-13 20:40