Substantial-Existence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

205

Trades

1,034

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-18 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776259800	2	$12	8	7	+0	open	—	04-15 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 14:41
btc updown 15m 1776262500	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-15 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 13:42
btc updown 15m 1777039200	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$9	6	5	+0	open	—	04-27 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 17:14
btc updown 15m 1776971700	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 07:59
btc updown 15m 1776604500	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:08
btc updown 15m 1776612600	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 15:42
btc updown 15m 1776682800	2	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	04-20 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-08 08:49
btc updown 15m 1776672000	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-20 08:14
btc updown 15m 1776618000	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-19 17:09
btc updown 15m 1777054500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 22:08
btc updown 15m 1776256200	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 12:35
btc updown 15m 1777034700	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 12:47
btc updown 15m 1776267900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 23:30
btc updown 15m 1776261600	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-15 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8f08d0…
05-18 17:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x618cdb…
05-18 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xed22ec…
05-18 16:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x74647b…
05-18 16:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xab32e2…
05-18 15:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5652af…
05-18 15:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3727c0…
05-18 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x791121…
05-18 13:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x87edc1…
05-18 13:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xecb7d0…
05-18 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x218b2f…
05-18 12:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcecbac…
05-18 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x40748f…
05-18 10:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x87ce3a…
05-18 10:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9eb7ce…
05-18 09:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd89a7c…
05-18 08:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xac19f6…
05-18 07:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd374b2…
05-18 07:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7968e8…
05-18 06:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x17f4e4…
05-18 06:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x277761…
05-18 05:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdee173…
05-18 04:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x736147…
05-18 04:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcfac8…
05-18 03:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb9628d…
05-18 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xca97bd…
05-18 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0114b7…
05-18 01:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x94b158…
05-18 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x71a183…
05-18 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf855d…
05-18 00:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5cc325…
05-17 23:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x443316…
05-17 23:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x43c900…
05-17 22:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x209fc3…
05-17 22:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6a66b7…
05-17 18:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc7052c…
05-17 17:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x899f7d…
05-17 14:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x946fe2…
05-17 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc93141…
05-17 11:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x326dfb…
05-17 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x77b315…
05-17 07:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x870ae9…
05-17 03:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4459a2…
05-17 02:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x890cbd…
05-17 01:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc39bfd…
05-17 01:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x95e4bb…
05-16 16:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4b9623…
05-16 15:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe3557b…
05-16 15:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x04015d…
05-16 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5ebf91…
05-16 14:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1d0122…
05-16 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x96b33e…
05-16 11:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5b5fc2…
05-16 10:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9a24ef…
05-16 09:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x25fc00…
05-16 09:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc2db1e…
05-16 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7cc43f…
05-16 07:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7d17df…
05-16 07:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3318cb…
05-16 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x962d5a…
05-16 05:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x54a623…
05-15 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xaa9e38…
05-15 20:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x745ac6…
05-15 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2eaa7a…
05-15 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8fa636…
05-15 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3dd923…
05-15 17:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x781fc1…
05-15 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf2986f…
05-15 16:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfa31ec…
05-15 15:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x950fc8…
05-15 15:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf4f089…
05-15 14:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd2ab1d…
05-15 14:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5c621c…
05-15 13:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc0356f…
05-15 12:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfc5247…
05-15 12:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x30173f…
05-15 10:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5989ca…
05-15 10:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2c0917…
05-15 09:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9424e4…
05-15 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4248f2…
05-15 08:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfd6df0…
05-15 07:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe7b17b…
05-15 05:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe1b91d…
05-15 04:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0c144a…
05-15 04:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9066ce…
05-15 03:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x667890…
05-15 03:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd8ceab…
05-15 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe41758…
05-15 01:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x721344…
05-15 00:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6db813…
05-14 23:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcea350…
05-14 23:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x64161c…
05-14 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xad7469…
05-14 20:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x17d70c…
05-14 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x403a4e…
05-14 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe7c3d1…
05-14 18:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbba79a…
05-14 18:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc0231e…
05-14 17:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x686547…
05-14 17:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb54920…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	997	$373.3K	101,836	05-18 18:10
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	997	$307.1K	43,060	05-18 18:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	987	$150.1K	50,086	05-18 18:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	986	$329.4K	46,919	05-18 18:10
Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71	985	$1.77K	3,566	05-18 18:09
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	982	$62.2K	13,186	05-18 18:06
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	972	$197.5K	16,986	05-18 18:01
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	970	$469.8K	149,807	05-18 18:13