Substantial-Existence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up		+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$1	05-06 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Up	$-3	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-06 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xeaa377…
05-05 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7bcdde…
05-05 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x57bf36…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3ea1be…
05-05 00:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7a892f…
05-04 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x02bc43…
05-04 20:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x934de7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$4.02K	51	05-06 01:09
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	5	$542	19	05-05 19:23
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$566	8	05-06 01:03