Needy-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

3,410

Trades

9,821

lifetime

Volume

$191.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-27 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$1,736

Politics

1% 100% +$440

Other

0% 33% +$4

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:55 UTC	2	$6.0K	3,039	3,039	+0	Down	+$9	02-28 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:05 UTC	2	$2.3K	2,398	0	+2,398	Down	+$98	02-28 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:50 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,195	0	+2,195	Up	+$195	02-28 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:20 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,565	0	+2,565	Down	-$2,000	02-28 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:40 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,101	0	+2,101	Down	+$101	02-28 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,127	0	+2,127	Up	+$127	02-28 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:05 UTC	2	$1.8K	913	913	+0	Up	+$4	02-28 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:40 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,515	0	+1,515	Down	+$15	02-28 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,524	0	+1,524	Up	+$24	02-28 17:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$1.5K	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$440	04-15 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	19	$1.2K	659	659	+0	Down	-$23	05-13 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	7	$1.1K	1,850	1,850	+0	Down	-$126	04-28 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	22	$1.1K	649	649	+0	Down	-$30	05-12 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	11	$1.0K	558	558	+0	Up	+$15	05-12 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	16	$1.0K	557	557	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Down	+$31	02-27 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$20	02-28 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:55 UTC	3	$950	978	0	+978	Up	+$28	02-28 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:20 UTC	2	$945	977	0	+977	Down	+$32	02-27 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC	3	$934	969	123	+846	Up	-$20	02-28 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:30 UTC	1	$900	928	0	+928	Up	+$28	02-28 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:10 UTC	2	$900	931	0	+931	Up	+$31	02-28 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	2	$850	885	0	+885	Up	+$35	02-28 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	14	$837	542	542	+0	Up	-$5	05-12 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:25 UTC	2	$809	521	514	+8	Up	+$217	02-27 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:45 UTC	2	$800	898	0	+898	Up	+$98	02-28 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:30 UTC	1	$800	866	0	+866	Up	+$66	02-27 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:20 UTC	2	$795	419	418	+0	Down	-$5	02-28 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:15 UTC	3	$781	17,176	0	+17,176	Down	-$781	02-28 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:50 UTC	4	$767	528	523	+5	Down	+$12	02-28 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x444dd3…
10-27 01:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf84d1e…
10-27 01:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd36b37…
10-27 01:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfa5650…
10-27 01:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf0a568…
10-27 01:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x959149…
10-27 01:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3139f3…
10-27 01:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe2fa34…
10-27 01:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3cc01f…
10-27 01:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd137d7…
10-27 01:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bb2b0…
10-27 01:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2378d…
10-27 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d02dd…
10-27 01:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x325f6d…
10-27 01:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa090f7…
10-27 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8fdddd…
10-27 00:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5627a7…
10-27 00:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b0a28…
10-27 00:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8c194c…
10-27 00:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1d5d58…
10-27 00:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaecacd…
10-27 00:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6aea69…
10-27 00:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1b2367…
10-27 00:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28ff74…
10-27 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x96f4a5…
10-27 00:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd64bc2…
10-27 00:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf80c33…
10-27 00:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb6017d…
10-27 00:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc633a4…
10-26 23:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3eb65e…
10-26 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5abad8…
10-26 23:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x17def8…
10-26 23:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0ccff2…
10-26 23:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0aabcb…
10-26 23:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56d1be…
10-26 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18cf79…
10-26 23:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd81724…
10-26 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x334441…
10-26 23:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x19c1c1…
10-26 23:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x569c8e…
10-26 23:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa92ec3…
10-26 23:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe60d4b…
10-26 22:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x94cc23…
10-26 22:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbb0f6b…
10-26 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd312eb…
10-26 22:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x629eeb…
10-26 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f95d9…
10-26 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x766bb1…
10-26 22:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0de12a…
10-26 22:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4baa76…
10-26 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4553c…
10-26 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfacc3d…
10-26 22:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x24778f…
10-26 22:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff957a…
10-26 22:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x850c05…
10-26 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7be482…
10-26 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7749e9…
10-26 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x12975f…
10-26 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4ece08…
10-26 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5ceca3…
10-26 21:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x470bac…
10-26 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfebb1b…
10-26 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bd296…
10-26 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe42620…
10-26 21:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0fc396…
10-26 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x798e46…
10-26 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe0bb7c…
10-26 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03e0b0…
10-26 20:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2ba725…
10-26 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7cdb09…
10-26 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x505f9b…
10-26 20:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcf01b8…
10-26 20:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x449cff…
10-26 20:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xadff06…
10-26 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x69e3cb…
10-26 20:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb946e9…
10-26 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcb13de…
10-26 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x89531e…
10-26 20:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xab0199…
10-26 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb93e9f…
10-26 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6b7c7f…
10-26 20:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f3558…
10-26 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7392c…
10-26 19:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x17cd4a…
10-26 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ecb46…
10-26 19:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xad2ade…
10-26 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf56916…
10-26 19:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb71fc3…
10-26 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79f9f5…
10-26 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x739a7a…
10-26 19:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x066f77…
10-26 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x74a704…
10-26 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48a063…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf6317a…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5ca2e9…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x26d964…
10-26 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9f7c95…
10-26 18:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbc5e71…
10-26 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb11fe2…
10-26 18:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x09cc8a…