Foolhardy-Fright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$544

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

479

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 09-15 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

58% 19% -$501

Crypto

38% 40% -$92

Sports

4% 50% +$51

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+164	$25	3¢	$5	-$20	09-15 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$165	282	282	+0	No	+$55	07-15 20:58
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	3	$114	145	145	+0	Yes	+$94	07-15 20:56
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$97	69	69	+0	Morocco	+$39	06-30 03:53
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	2	$70	1,233	0	+1,233	No	-$70	06-23 19:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$61	144	33	+111	Down	+$5	05-01 21:15
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	06-30 18:59
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	4	$59	241	0	+241	Norway	-$59	06-30 18:46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$53	43	43	+0	Yes	+$33	06-29 19:16
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	1	$50	263	0	+263	No	-$50	06-27 08:33
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	1	$50	156	0	+156	Yes	-$50	07-03 20:19
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	2	$48	38	38	+0	Yes	+$28	07-01 18:02
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	6	$48	220	33	+187	No	-$30	06-30 18:42
France leading at halftime?	3	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	+$27	06-30 21:55
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$45	286	0	+286	Colombia	-$45	07-04 01:59
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	3	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$16	07-10 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	6	$43	33	33	+0	Up	+$11	05-01 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$41	59	55	+4	Up	+$21	05-14 12:13
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?	2	$40	36	36	+0	Yes	+$30	07-11 21:52
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$40	76	20	+56	Paraguay	+$0	06-29 23:30
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	1	$40	398	0	+398	No	-$40	07-18 21:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	7	$39	40	23	+17	Up	+$7	05-02 08:11
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	3	$38	10,021	21	+10,000	No	-$2	07-01 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$36	26	26	+0	Up	+$14	04-30 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$36	50	16	+33	Up	-$4	04-30 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$36	89	0	+89	Up	-$9	05-01 21:17
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$35	53	53	+0	England	+$13	07-18 22:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:30 UTC	4	$35	43	15	+28	Down	-$4	04-22 19:35
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$34	44	44	+0	Argentina	+$14	07-15 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$34	83	0	+83	Down	-$11	04-24 22:24
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?	2	$32	59	59	+0	Yes	+$12	06-30 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 18:16:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x153ce6…
09-15 18:16:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x918abe…
09-13 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x1bf0f4…
09-13 21:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf154ac…
09-13 21:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x773b68…
09-13 21:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdf1af3…
09-13 21:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe57c91…
09-13 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8fbbf0…
09-13 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcf1d91…
09-13 08:10:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6b2212…
09-12 20:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x39f365…
09-12 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1a2496…
09-12 20:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x75087b…
09-12 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa97835…
09-12 09:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x7c264e…
09-12 09:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd864b…
09-12 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x32e3f7…
09-11 17:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x258531…
09-11 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa04fa3…
09-11 17:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x14c15b…
09-11 17:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2367f6…
07-19 20:30:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0xc6466a…
07-19 19:12:09	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x331efd…
07-19 17:11:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xccf0fb…
07-19 17:10:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe2e088…
07-19 17:10:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd9bd6e…
07-18 22:35:58	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x387db2…
07-18 22:34:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x40c8b8…
07-18 22:32:13	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x21f5cb…
07-18 22:31:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	53	46¢	$24	0xef80c6…
07-18 22:18:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0xe3e9d9…
07-18 22:15:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb03577…
07-18 22:12:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd2da26…
07-18 21:40:37	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x360af0…
07-18 21:39:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0x3c1f66…
07-18 21:23:07	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	398	10¢	$40	0x65c640…
07-18 21:21:55	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x38dbb3…
07-18 21:20:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6d8a7e…
07-18 21:10:37	France vs. England: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x76ef4a…
07-18 21:09:22	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x524051…
07-18 21:07:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf46897…
07-18 21:07:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x5c78e1…
07-16 15:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xffc9b0…
07-16 15:40:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a1b04…
07-15 20:58:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	282	39¢	$110	0xd4aadd…
07-15 20:56:11	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	57	72¢	$41	0x8c1d17…
07-15 20:55:29	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	88	71¢	$62	0x1a184b…
07-15 20:50:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x3993c5…
07-15 20:49:50	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x4910d8…
07-15 20:41:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x04ae37…
07-15 20:39:23	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x832458…
07-15 20:17:50	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xa725a8…
07-15 19:30:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xaf3220…
07-15 19:29:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xd7dba6…
07-15 19:29:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x361201…
07-15 19:27:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	256	20¢	$50	0xe1c512…
07-15 19:25:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts first half	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x65cc54…
07-14 20:10:17	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc1d9db…
07-14 19:44:25	France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0c266d…
07-14 15:23:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4f7696…
07-14 15:22:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x16c6af…
07-14 15:22:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts first half	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x582486…
07-12 13:04:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbe9b4c…
07-12 13:03:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9a9cb9…
07-11 23:19:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3d03e4…
07-11 22:39:19	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7b0c8e…
07-11 21:52:49	Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x1b2f43…
07-11 21:52:04	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6dafd5…
07-11 21:50:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xd26467…
07-11 21:44:11	Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xef98db…
07-11 21:42:16	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x62d473…
07-11 21:41:19	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xc9697b…
07-11 21:14:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7851f6…
07-11 21:13:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x25990b…
07-10 21:02:26	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x88e857…
07-10 20:51:43	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x561fb9…
07-10 19:44:46	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xc13c11…
07-10 19:44:20	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf76a5a…
07-10 19:14:19	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x870734…
07-09 21:50:44	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xeea629…
07-09 21:48:53	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4365f2…
07-09 21:47:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts second half	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa2f57c…
07-09 21:34:23	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x0a5271…
07-09 21:32:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts second half	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5aed3a…
07-09 21:30:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11e0cd…
07-09 21:20:52	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts second half	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x376470…
07-09 21:19:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7d8911…
07-09 20:54:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 extra time	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd2492c…
07-09 20:19:29	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x143135…
07-09 20:19:07	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xab0e06…
07-08 12:25:04	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb8667d…
07-08 12:23:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x10feec…
07-08 12:23:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xfa9169…
07-07 20:31:10	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb5dac8…
07-07 20:30:55	Switzerland leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x57d0b7…
07-04 18:19:16	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts second half	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x90b09c…
07-04 17:15:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts first half	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9d69b1…
07-04 17:14:40	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe5cff1…
07-04 17:14:22	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1dab84…
07-04 17:07:05	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3ffb18…