Knowledgeable-Introduction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$894

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

6,923

Trades

11,171

lifetime

Volume

$65.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-20 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% -$907

Other

0% 75% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 1000 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:20 UTC	8	$75	141	0	+141	Down	-$75	03-26 08:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$70	94	0	+94	Down	-$14	10-19 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$68	59	59	+0	Up	-$30	05-26 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$65	46	46	+0	Up	-$18	05-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$63	42	42	+0	Down	-$15	05-25 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$61	36	36	+0	Up	-$2	05-22 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$58	38	38	+0	Down	-$11	05-28 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:25 UTC	4	$50	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	07-07 16:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$50	65	0	+65	Up	+$15	10-19 02:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$50	69	0	+69	Down	+$19	10-19 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$50	40	40	+0	Down	-$18	05-22 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$49	53	0	+53	Down	+$4	05-26 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$48	33	33	+0	Down	-$11	05-26 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:40 UTC	4	$47	26	26	+0	Down	+$4	07-07 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$47	38	38	+0	Up	-$22	05-25 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:00 UTC	1	$47	100	0	+100	Down	-$47	03-27 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:55 UTC	3	$47	112	0	+112	Down	-$47	03-27 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:50 UTC	1	$47	96	0	+96	Down	+$49	03-27 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:25 UTC	4	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$53	03-27 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	6	$47	92	0	+92	Down	+$45	03-27 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$46	39	39	+0	Down	-$22	05-22 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$46	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	05-26 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$45	33	33	+0	Up	-$16	05-27 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$45	50	0	+50	Up	+$5	05-26 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$44	30	30	+0	Up	-$10	05-27 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$43	47	0	+47	Up	+$4	05-25 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$42	36	36	+0	Up	-$20	05-22 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$42	46	0	+46	Up	+$4	05-25 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$42	46	0	+46	Down	+$4	05-26 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$41	31	31	+0	Up	-$13	05-21 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd7ce30…
10-20 14:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x90cf17…
10-20 14:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x576868…
10-20 14:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xaad8ec…
10-20 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8be2eb…
10-20 14:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2519db…
10-20 14:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e06d9…
10-20 13:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb74db6…
10-20 13:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x81a111…
10-20 13:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc95223…
10-20 13:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xa8c493…
10-19 03:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x73157b…
10-19 03:06:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xded79a…
10-19 03:06:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x010e1d…
10-19 03:06:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbb5ab1…
10-19 03:03:02	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x66791d…
10-19 03:02:36	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x43b6e1…
10-19 03:02:35	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x03e2ab…
10-19 03:02:05	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf7b62…
10-19 02:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6dd595…
10-19 02:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa52d42…
10-19 02:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x693556…
10-19 02:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1ebebc…
10-19 02:48:11	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1da80a…
10-19 02:43:12	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x45cd3f…
10-19 02:38:08	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x139e60…
10-19 02:37:54	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6669af…
10-19 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdd9e6d…
10-19 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5c3eb0…
10-19 02:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdbc1bd…
10-19 02:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc4fbd9…
10-19 02:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x2214f7…
10-19 02:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe126d2…
10-19 02:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xbe0bea…
10-19 02:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5c23c8…
10-19 02:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	369	3¢	$10	0xb11609…
10-19 02:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x56624a…
10-19 02:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x184f7f…
10-19 02:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9ddd87…
10-19 02:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1d9823…
10-19 02:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8d44d8…
10-19 02:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6d9e3f…
10-19 02:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xbc2a7b…
10-19 02:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6e1187…
10-19 02:00:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb01fae…
10-19 01:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x62c526…
10-19 01:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb194d4…
10-19 01:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x543cfb…
10-19 01:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x554511…
10-19 01:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xbd9c1b…
10-19 01:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x0e5ecb…
10-19 01:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x85e90a…
10-19 01:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe46364…
10-19 01:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xeb1617…
10-19 01:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2a8bd0…
10-19 01:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcd45fc…
10-19 01:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x75e76e…
10-19 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0195c0…
10-19 01:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x666d6a…
10-19 01:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x685025…
10-19 01:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x616702…
10-19 01:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7608be…
10-19 01:27:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x86502a…
10-19 01:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x73862e…
10-19 01:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x173842…
10-19 01:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf52729…
10-19 01:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x08c6e9…
10-19 01:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7b27c7…
10-19 01:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x91021c…
10-19 01:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x444da6…
10-19 01:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x60ec3c…
10-19 01:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xa962c2…
10-19 01:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1973d8…
10-19 01:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x901a5e…
10-19 01:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1ec3d1…
10-18 09:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x495ca6…
10-18 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8b1fe9…
10-18 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x29ee7e…
10-18 09:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7f3566…
10-18 09:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcaf113…
10-18 09:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x95ef9b…
10-18 09:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x179a78…
10-18 09:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6063d2…
10-18 09:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xbc4d2d…
10-18 09:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5111fe…
10-18 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9f894d…
10-18 09:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6b76ab…
10-06 00:02:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0xcb5c76…
10-05 23:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x804735…
10-05 23:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x489054…
10-05 23:32:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd4f6d6…
10-05 23:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2529df…
10-05 23:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x19dfa2…
10-05 23:27:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xaf4cb8…
10-05 23:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2885b0…
10-05 23:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbd0596…
10-04 23:33:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad645c…
10-04 23:26:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9ae2a6…
10-04 23:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x825751…
10-04 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0bf02b…